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DD vs DOW
Which Stock Would AI Choose? DuPont de Nemours (DD) vs. Dow Inc. (DOW) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- DD and DOW are both materials-science leaders, yet they sit at opposite ends of the specialty-versus-commodity spectrum after DD's recent portfolio reshaping.
- DD beat first-quarter earnings estimates, expanded margins, and raised its full-year outlook, while DOW posted a wider reported loss but a narrower-than-expected adjusted loss.
- Momentum has diverged sharply: DOW shares climbed on Middle East-driven polyethylene tightness, whereas DD's trailing-year return was negative despite improving execution.
- DOW offers a substantially higher dividend yield (roughly 4.7%) versus DD (roughly 1.8%), reflecting their different capital-return profiles.
- Analyst sentiment is more favorable on DD (consensus "Buy") than on DOW (consensus "Hold"), highlighting a tension between fundamentals and price trend.
Introduction
DuPont de Nemours (DD) and Dow Inc. (DOW) share a corporate lineage yet now pursue very different strategies. Both are frequently grouped as "materials" or "chemicals" names, but a stock comparison between them reveals two contrasting risk-and-return profiles. DD has narrowed into higher-margin specialty materials across healthcare, water, and diversified industrial markets, while DOW remains a scaled, integrated commodity-chemical producer. This comparison is relevant for investors weighing quality-specialty exposure against a cyclical value opportunity, and for traders assessing which name offers more consistent trend and momentum characteristics in the current environment.
DD Overview and Recent Performance
DuPont de Nemours (DD) provides technology-based materials and solutions through two segments: Healthcare & Water Technologies and Diversified Industrials. The company has been in a period of significant portfolio transformation, having completed the separation of its electronics business into an independent company (Qnity) and, more recently, divested its Aramids business.
In its most recent quarter, DD delivered adjusted earnings per share (EPS) ahead of consensus, driven by organic growth, favorable product mix, and productivity gains. Operating EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) rose double digits, with margins expanding meaningfully. Healthcare led growth, while construction-linked building technologies remained soft. Management subsequently raised its full-year sales and earnings guidance and announced an accelerated share repurchase plan.
Despite this improving execution, DD's stock has been a relative laggard in recent market activity, with a negative trailing-year return. The combination of a complex transformation, PFAS-related litigation exposure, and uneven end-market demand has weighed on sentiment even as fundamentals have strengthened.
DOW Overview and Recent Performance
Dow Inc. (DOW) is one of the world's largest integrated materials-science companies, serving packaging, infrastructure, mobility, and consumer markets with a globally integrated asset base. Its portfolio leans toward commodity products such as polyethylene and other plastics, making earnings sensitive to global supply-demand balances and energy costs.
In its most recent quarter, DOW reported a wider loss on a reported basis, hurt by lower prices and volumes, though its adjusted loss was narrower than analysts expected. Sales declined year over year across most segments. However, the company has been a notable outperformer in the market, with shares rising sharply over recent weeks and months. The primary catalyst has been disruption to global polyethylene supply linked to Middle East conflict, which tightened the market and supported pricing. DOW is also advancing its "Transform to Outperform" cost program and received proceeds from litigation that strengthened its balance sheet and liquidity.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
At the business-model level, the two companies differ fundamentally. DD is oriented toward specialty, technology-driven materials with higher margins and more differentiated end markets, while DOW is a commodity-scale producer whose earnings hinge on global supply, demand, and feedstock economics. This distinction drives their divergent risk profiles: DD carries more litigation and transformation risk, while DOW carries more cyclical and energy-price risk.
On recent momentum, DOW has clearly led, buoyed by a supply-side catalyst in polyethylene and a "higher-for-longer" crude environment that supports earnings stability. DD, by contrast, has delivered stronger operational results but lagged on price, suggesting the market has not yet fully rewarded its execution. Growth drivers also differ: DD leans on healthcare, water, aerospace, and EV-battery adhesives, whereas DOW's near-term story is tied to tight commodity supply and self-help cost savings.
On valuation and income, DOW trades at a modest forward multiple with a much higher dividend yield, while DD commands a premium multiple with a lower yield. Sector exposure is another contrast: DD skews toward defensive, innovation-driven niches, while DOW is a broad barometer of global industrial activity.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, stability, catalysts, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely favor DOW in the current environment. DOW has exhibited stronger and more consistent positive price momentum, supported by a durable supply-side catalyst and improving balance-sheet flexibility. DD's improving fundamentals and raised guidance are notable, but its negative trailing momentum and ongoing transformation and litigation overhang introduce greater uncertainty. This assessment reflects a probabilistic weighting of current conditions rather than a definitive forecast, and relative positioning could shift as catalysts evolve.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DD is a StrongBuy and DOW is a Hold.
DD's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for DD turned positive on September 21, 2026. Looking at past instances where DD's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 29 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 21, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on DD as a result. In 47 of 78 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
DD moved above its 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +1.61% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DD advanced for three days, in 192 of 303 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 125 of 222 cases where DD Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 56%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 55%.
DD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. DD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 79 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 90 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 98 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.325) is normal, around the industry mean (2.359). DD has a moderately high P/E Ratio (321.667) as compared to the industry average of (-17.286). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.717) is also within normal values, averaging (1.548). Dividend Yield (0.018) settles around the average of (0.040) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.527) is also within normal values, averaging (48.960).
Momentum Indicator for DOW turns positive, indicating new upward trend
DOW saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 90 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 59 of the 90 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 66%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for DOW just turned positive on October 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where DOW's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 29 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
DOW moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for DOW crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
Following a +2.54% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DOW advanced for three days, in 174 of 292 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 9 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DOW declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
DOW broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for DOW entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. DOW’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 94 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.449) is normal, around the industry mean (1.145). P/E Ratio (-17.383) is within average values for comparable stocks, (3.185). DOW's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (38.891) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (3.769). Dividend Yield (0.044) settles around the average of (0.139) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.524) is also within normal values, averaging (0.578).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. DOW’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.
DD | DOW | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 9 | 19 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 98 Overvalued | 94 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 35 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 90 | 93 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 79 | 40 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
DOW's Valuation (94) in the Chemicals Specialty industry is in the same range as DD (98) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that DOW’s stock grew similarly to DD’s over the last 12 months.
DD's Profit vs Risk Rating (35) in the Integrated Oil industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DOW (100) in the Chemicals Specialty industry. This means that DD’s stock grew somewhat faster than DOW’s over the last 12 months.
DD's SMR Rating (90) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as DOW (93) in the Chemicals Specialty industry. This means that DD’s stock grew similarly to DOW’s over the last 12 months.
DOW's Price Growth Rating (45) in the Chemicals Specialty industry is in the same range as DD (46) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that DOW’s stock grew similarly to DD’s over the last 12 months.
DOW's P/E Growth Rating (40) in the Chemicals Specialty industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DD (79) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that DOW’s stock grew somewhat faster than DD’s over the last 12 months.
| DD | DOW | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 70% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 66% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 66% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | 1 day ago 63% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 63% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 4 days ago 60% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 55% | 12 days ago 66% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 59% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DD’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while DOW’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- DD’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- DOW’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DD’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while DOW’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DD’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- DOW’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
DD (@Chemicals: Specialty) experienced а +2.66% price change this week, while DOW (@Chemicals: Major Diversified) price change was +7.25% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Specialty industry was -0.07%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.87%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5.97%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Major Diversified industry was -2.29%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -7.59%, and the average quarterly price growth was -26.69%.
Reported Earning Dates
DD is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
DOW is expected to report earnings on Jan 28, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Chemicals: Specialty (-0.07% weekly)The specialty chemicals sector includes companies that produce chemicals and industrial gases, which are of relatively high-value, often made to customer specifications. Examples of specialty chemicals are electronic chemicals, industrial gases, coatings, adhesives and sealants, industrial and institutional cleaning chemicals. The products are often valued on the basis of their purposes/performances rather than for their composition. Linde Plc, Ecolab Inc., Air Products and Chemicals, Inc., and Dow, Inc. are some of the largest companies making specialty chemicals.
@Chemicals: Major Diversified (-2.29% weekly)The major diversified chemicals industry includes companies that produce a wide range of chemicals and industrial gases. The products are often used as raw materials in the manufacturing of various types of goods, including plastics, paints, carpets, and fixtures to name a few. Major companies making diversified chemicals include DuPont de Nemours Inc., Celanese Corporation, Celanese Corporation and Westlake Chemical Corporation.
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DD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DD has been closely correlated with DOW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DD jumps, then DOW could also see price increases.