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DVN or NOG or OXY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Devon Energy Corporation (DVN) vs. Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. (NOG) vs. Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) leads year-to-date performance with gains exceeding 43%, reflecting strong market positioning in recent weeks.
- Devon Energy Corporation (DVN) trades at the lowest P/E ratio of 12.12 among peers, signaling attractive valuation amid 39% YTD returns.
- Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. (NOG) posted 10% production growth to 148,303 Boe per day in Q1 2026, driving recent stock momentum.
- DVN benefits from merger clearance speculation with Coterra Energy, boosting sentiment in recent market activity.
- OXY announced a CEO transition effective June 1, 2026, with COO Richard Jackson succeeding Vicki Hollub, amid mixed trading sessions.
- All three stocks show sensitivity to oil price trends, with DVN delivering the strongest one-year return at 66%.
Introduction
Devon Energy Corporation (DVN), Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. (NOG), and Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) are key players in the U.S. oil and gas exploration and production (E&P) sector. This stock comparison evaluates their business models, recent performance, and market dynamics amid volatile energy prices and geopolitical influences. Investors tracking relative performance in upstream oil operations, as well as traders assessing valuation and momentum, will gain insights into sector trade-offs and positioning in the current market environment.
DVN Overview and Recent Performance
Devon Energy Corporation (DVN) is an independent E&P company focused on high-quality assets in the Delaware Basin, Eagle Ford, and Williston Basin. In recent weeks, its stock has traded around the $50 level, reflecting a year-to-date gain of approximately 39% driven by rising oil prices and positive analyst sentiment. Key influences include regulatory clearance for a potential merger with Coterra Energy, which has fueled optimism, alongside trading above 50- and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs), signaling bullish momentum. Analysts maintain a favorable outlook with an average brokerage recommendation near strong buy and price targets averaging $59.
NOG Overview and Recent Performance
Northern Oil and Gas, Inc. (NOG) specializes in non-operated E&P, partnering on premium acreage in the Bakken, Permian, and other U.S. basins to leverage operator expertise. Recent market activity saw its shares hover near $26–$28, with year-to-date returns around 25% amid broader energy sector gains. Q1 2026 results highlighted a 10% production increase to 148,303 barrels of oil equivalent (Boe) per day, 50% oil-weighted, supporting revenue growth and a maintained $0.45 quarterly dividend. Sentiment remains constructive, though higher volatility reflects its smaller market cap of $2.8 billion.
OXY Overview and Recent Performance
Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY) operates as a large-cap E&P firm with significant Permian Basin exposure and chemical operations, managing legacy debt from the Anadarko acquisition. Shares have advanced over 43% year-to-date to around $59, outperforming the market in select sessions despite occasional pullbacks. A major development is the CEO transition announced in recent weeks, with Vicki Hollub retiring June 1, 2026, and COO Richard Jackson assuming leadership, potentially stabilizing operations. Analyst price targets average $64, underscoring resilience in oil-driven markets.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Business models differ notably: DVN and OXY emphasize operated assets for control, while NOG’s non-op approach offers growth via partnerships but higher execution risk. Growth drivers include NOG’s production surge versus DVN’s merger potential and OXY’s scale. Recent momentum favors OXY YTD, but DVN excels over one year. Risks encompass oil volatility, with NOG most sensitive as a small-cap. Valuation tilts to DVN’s low P/E versus peers’ higher multiples; sentiment is buoyed by DVN catalysts and OXY leadership continuity.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently favor DVN probabilistically, citing its superior one-year trend consistency, position above key SMAs, compelling valuation, and merger-related catalysts amid stable oil exposure. While OXY offers scale and NOG growth potential, DVN’s relative positioning suggests stronger near-term momentum.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DVN’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileNOG’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and OXY’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- DVN’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- NOG’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- OXY’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DVN’s TA Score shows that 2 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NOG’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and OXY’s TA Score reflects 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DVN’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 6 bearish.
- NOG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- OXY’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
DVN (@Oil & Gas Production) experienced а -4.65% price change this week, while NOG (@Oil & Gas Production) price change was -5.90% , and OXY (@Oil & Gas Production) price fluctuated -4.30% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Production industry was -0.85%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.06%, and the average quarterly price growth was +23.09%.
Reported Earning Dates
DVN is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
NOG is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
OXY is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Production (-0.85% weekly)The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.
| DVN | NOG | OXY | |
| Capitalization | 50.8B | 2.26B | 56.2B |
| EBITDA | 7.06B | 159M | 11B |
| Gain YTD | 20.940 | -1.969 | 38.177 |
| P/E Ratio | 12.28 | 70.67 | 76.42 |
| Revenue | 16.5B | 2.06B | 21.1B |
| Total Cash | 1.82B | 37M | 3.81B |
| Total Debt | 8.59B | 2.55B | 16.6B |
DVN | NOG | OXY | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 86 | 79 | 80 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 68 Overvalued | 15 Undervalued | 81 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 65 | 76 | 51 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 45 | 74 | 16 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 16 | 1 | 3 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 65 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NOG's Valuation (15) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DVN (68) and is significantly better than the same rating for OXY (81). This means that NOG's stock grew somewhat faster than DVN’s and significantly faster than OXY’s over the last 12 months.
OXY's Profit vs Risk Rating (51) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as DVN (65) and is in the same range as NOG (76). This means that OXY's stock grew similarly to DVN’s and similarly to NOG’s over the last 12 months.
OXY's SMR Rating (100) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as DVN (100) and is in the same range as NOG (100). This means that OXY's stock grew similarly to DVN’s and similarly to NOG’s over the last 12 months.
OXY's Price Growth Rating (16) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as DVN (45) and is somewhat better than the same rating for NOG (74). This means that OXY's stock grew similarly to DVN’s and somewhat faster than NOG’s over the last 12 months.
NOG's P/E Growth Rating (1) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as OXY (3) and is in the same range as DVN (16). This means that NOG's stock grew similarly to OXY’s and similarly to DVN’s over the last 12 months.
| DVN | NOG | OXY | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 77% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 75% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 65% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 69% | 10 days ago 76% | 8 days ago 69% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 68% | 6 days ago 74% | 6 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 90% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 68% |
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