FTXL
Price
$213.13
Change
-$15.16 (-6.64%)
Updated
Oct 22 closing price
Net Assets
1.15B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
PSI
Price
$117.36
Change
-$11.76 (-9.11%)
Updated
Oct 22, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
2.63B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
SMH
Price
$523.35
Change
-$33.35 (-5.99%)
Updated
Oct 22 closing price
Net Assets
66.97B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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FTXL or PSI or SMH

FTXL vs PSI vs SMH Comparison Chart in %
View a ticker or compare two or three
A.I.Advisor
Oct 21, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? First Trust Nasdaq Semiconductor ETF (FTXL) vs. Invesco Semiconductors ETF (PSI) vs. VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH)

Key Takeaways

  • First Trust Nasdaq Semiconductor ETF (FTXL) employs a smart beta approach via the Nasdaq US Smart Semiconductor Index, emphasizing liquidity and multi-factor weighting across approximately 30 holdings with a 0.60% expense ratio.
  • Invesco Semiconductors ETF (PSI) uses a quantitative Intellidex methodology to select and tier-weight 30 semiconductor companies, rebalancing quarterly to balance risk factors and reduce mega-cap concentration at a 0.55% expense ratio.
  • VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) tracks a market-cap-weighted index of the 25 largest U.S.-listed semiconductor firms, offering the lowest expense ratio at 0.35% and highest concentration in leading names.
  • All three ETFs provide pure-play exposure to the semiconductor sector but differ in diversification depth, with SMH most concentrated, PSI most balanced by size, and FTXL factor-tilted.
  • Cost efficiency favors SMH, while PSI and FTXL introduce active selection elements within a passive framework that may influence volatility and sector allocation.
  • Structural differences position these ETFs for varying risk-adjusted outcomes based on investor preference for concentration versus breadth in semiconductor exposure.

Introduction

These three ETFs compete within the semiconductor theme, offering distinct strategic approaches to the same core industry. First Trust Nasdaq Semiconductor ETF (FTXL), Invesco Semiconductors ETF (PSI), and VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) track specialized indexes focused on U.S.-listed semiconductor companies, yet they vary in selection criteria, weighting schemes, and concentration levels. Investors compare them to evaluate trade-offs between cost, diversification, and factor exposure amid ongoing technological demand in the sector.

First Trust Nasdaq Semiconductor ETF (FTXL) Overview

First Trust Nasdaq Semiconductor ETF (FTXL) seeks to track the Nasdaq US Smart Semiconductor Index. The index applies a rules-based, multi-factor methodology that incorporates liquidity, value, volatility, and growth characteristics to select and weight U.S. semiconductor companies. The ETF holds approximately 30 securities in a passively managed structure with an expense ratio of 0.60%. It features a smart beta design that tilts toward certain quantitative attributes rather than pure market capitalization. Rebalancing occurs periodically to maintain index alignment, and the fund provides targeted exposure to the semiconductor equipment and production subsector.

Invesco Semiconductors ETF (PSI) Overview

Invesco Semiconductors ETF (PSI) tracks the Dynamic Semiconductor Intellidex Index, which employs a proprietary quantitative model evaluating 30 U.S. semiconductor companies across multiple investment criteria including price momentum, earnings momentum, quality, management action, and value. The ETF uses a tiered weighting approach that reduces concentration in the largest firms and distributes exposure more evenly across market capitalizations. It maintains a passive structure with quarterly rebalancing and reconstitution in February, May, August, and November. The expense ratio stands at 0.55%.

VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) Overview

VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) aims to replicate the MVIS US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index, which selects the 25 largest and most liquid U.S.-listed semiconductor companies by market capitalization. The ETF holds approximately 25 securities in a market-cap-weighted, passive structure with an expense ratio of 0.35%. It allows inclusion of depositary receipts for foreign firms listed on U.S. exchanges, enhancing industry representation while remaining non-diversified. The index methodology prioritizes scale and liquidity among leading semiconductor producers and equipment makers.

Industry and Thematic Landscape

The semiconductor sector benefits from sustained capital investment in artificial intelligence, data centers, advanced computing, and automotive electronics. Macroeconomic drivers include global supply chain resilience efforts, government incentives for domestic manufacturing, and cyclical chip demand tied to consumer electronics and enterprise spending. Regulatory developments around export controls and technology competition influence capital allocation among major holdings. Geopolitical tensions and earnings trends in leading firms continue to shape sector volatility and investor positioning across market cycles.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent market cycles, structural differences have driven relative positioning. The more concentrated market-cap approach of VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) tends to amplify moves in top holdings during periods of strong leadership from large-cap names. Invesco Semiconductors ETF (PSI) quarterly rebalancing and size-balanced weighting may moderate volatility compared with pure mega-cap exposure. First Trust Nasdaq Semiconductor ETF (FTXL) factor tilts can produce distinct behavior relative to traditional capitalization weighting, particularly in environments favoring value or low-volatility semiconductor stocks. All three exhibit sensitivity to broader technology spending trends and supply constraints.

AI Screener

Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Visit the AI Screener to explore opportunities in the semiconductor sector and beyond.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural strength, VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) currently aligns most closely with favorable characteristics including the lowest expense ratio, established liquidity profile, and consistent exposure to leading semiconductor firms. Its market-cap methodology offers straightforward participation in sector leaders with cost efficiency that supports risk-adjusted positioning over longer horizons. First Trust Nasdaq Semiconductor ETF (FTXL) and Invesco Semiconductors ETF (PSI) provide differentiated factor or quantitative approaches that may appeal in specific market regimes, yet SMH demonstrates broader structural advantages in the current environment.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for FTXL with price predictions
Oct 22, 2026

FTXL sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

FTXL saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 09, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 47 of the 52 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FTXL as a result. In 81 of 92 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.

FTXL moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for FTXL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 15 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FTXL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for FTXL's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +3.99% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FTXL advanced for three days, in 287 of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.

FTXL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 288 of 312 cases where FTXL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for PSI with price predictions
Oct 22, 2026

PSI in downward trend: 10-day moving average crossed below 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026

The 10-day moving average for PSI crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 16 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 09, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PSI as a result. In 82 of 93 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for PSI turned negative on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 54 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 48 of the 54 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 89%.

PSI moved below its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PSI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for PSI's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +5.56% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PSI advanced for three days, in 309 of 348 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.

PSI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 296 of 311 cases where PSI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SMH with price predictions
Oct 22, 2026

SMH sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

SMH saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 09, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 45 of the 50 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 09, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SMH as a result. In 71 of 80 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.

SMH moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for SMH crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 18 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SMH declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for SMH's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +2.60% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SMH advanced for three days, in 328 of 358 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

SMH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 299 of 316 cases where SMH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
FTXLPSISMH
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
88%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
88%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
89%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
89%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
86%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
86%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
86%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
87%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
86%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
88%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 21 days ago
88%
Bullish Trend 21 days ago
89%
Bullish Trend 18 days ago
90%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 7 days ago
85%
Bearish Trend 7 days ago
83%
Bearish Trend 7 days ago
81%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
View a ticker or compare two or three
FTXL
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
PSI
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
SMH
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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FTXL and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FTXL has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FTXL jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To FTXL
1D Price
Change %
FTXL100%
-6.64%
LRCX - FTXL
89%
Closely correlated
-11.76%
AMAT - FTXL
85%
Closely correlated
-8.16%
KLAC - FTXL
84%
Closely correlated
-9.55%
ENTG - FTXL
84%
Closely correlated
-13.12%
MU - FTXL
83%
Closely correlated
-6.26%
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