GDX
Price
$80.20
Change
-$1.49 (-1.82%)
Updated
Oct 23 closing price
Net Assets
26.43B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
GDXJ
Price
$99.35
Change
-$1.85 (-1.83%)
Updated
Oct 23 closing price
Net Assets
8.02B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
SGDJ
Price
$74.01
Change
-$2.72 (-3.54%)
Updated
Oct 23 closing price
Net Assets
311.55M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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GDX or GDXJ or SGDJ

GDX vs GDXJ vs SGDJ Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 21, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) vs. VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) vs. Sprott Junior Gold Miners ETF (SGDJ)

Key Takeaways

  • VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) provides broad exposure to large-cap gold mining companies through a market-capitalization-weighted index, offering greater liquidity and lower concentration risk than its junior-focused peers.
  • VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) targets smaller-capitalization gold and silver miners with a significantly larger number of holdings, increasing diversification but also volatility relative to senior producers.
  • Sprott Junior Gold Miners ETF (SGDJ) employs a custom factors-based index on junior miners, resulting in fewer holdings and a lower expense ratio, with potential emphasis on momentum and growth characteristics.
  • All three exchange-traded funds (ETFs) operate as passive vehicles tracking gold mining equities, delivering leveraged exposure to gold prices without direct commodity ownership or futures contracts.
  • Expense ratios range from 0.50% for SGDJ to 0.52% for GDXJ, with GDX at 0.51%; structural differences in holdings size and weighting drive variations in risk-adjusted positioning.
  • GDX generally exhibits stronger liquidity and broader market-cap exposure, while GDXJ and SGDJ tilt toward higher-beta junior miners that may amplify moves in gold prices during favorable cycles.

Introduction

These three ETFs compete within the gold mining equity sector, offering investors distinct approaches to the same underlying theme of precious metals production. VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) focuses on established producers, while VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) and Sprott Junior Gold Miners ETF (SGDJ) emphasize smaller, earlier-stage companies. The comparison highlights tiered risk exposures, with GDX providing more stable large-cap representation and the junior ETFs delivering potentially higher sensitivity to gold price movements and exploration success.

VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) Overview

VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) seeks to replicate the performance of the MarketVector Global Gold Miners Index before fees and expenses. The index targets companies deriving significant revenue from gold mining activities worldwide. The fund holds approximately 60 to 65 securities, with top positions typically including major producers such as Newmont and Barrick Gold. Sector allocation concentrates nearly entirely in materials, reflecting pure-play gold mining exposure. The net expense ratio stands at 0.51%. As a passive, market-capitalization-weighted ETF, it rebalances periodically to maintain alignment with the index and features high liquidity due to substantial assets under management.

VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) Overview

VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) tracks the MVIS Global Junior Gold Miners Index, focusing on small-capitalization companies primarily involved in gold and silver mining. The portfolio includes roughly 150 to 162 holdings, providing broader diversification across junior miners compared with senior-focused strategies. Top holdings often feature companies such as Alamos Gold, Coeur Mining, and Equinox Gold. Allocation remains concentrated in the materials sector. The net expense ratio is 0.52%. This passive, market-capitalization-weighted structure rebalances on a schedule aligned with the index, resulting in higher volatility potential due to the smaller size and earlier development stage of constituent companies.

Sprott Junior Gold Miners ETF (SGDJ) Overview

Sprott Junior Gold Miners ETF (SGDJ) aims to match the Solactive Junior Gold Miners Custom Factors Index before fees and expenses. The index applies custom factors, including momentum and revenue growth elements, to select junior gold mining companies primarily in developed markets. The fund maintains approximately 33 holdings, resulting in higher concentration than broader junior indices. Top positions typically include names such as Alamos Gold and Coeur Mining. Materials sector exposure dominates. The net expense ratio is 0.50%. As a passive ETF with semi-annual index rebalancing, it emphasizes factor tilts within the junior miner universe while maintaining a physical replication approach.

Industry and Thematic Landscape

The gold mining sector responds to macroeconomic drivers including gold price trends, inflation expectations, interest rate environments, and geopolitical tensions that influence safe-haven demand. Capital flows into mining equities often accelerate during periods of monetary easing or currency weakness. Regulatory developments around permitting and environmental standards affect project timelines for both senior and junior producers. Earnings trends among major holdings reflect operational efficiencies, reserve replacement rates, and cost management amid fluctuating commodity prices. Sector risks encompass exploration failures for juniors, labor and energy cost pressures, and broader equity market correlations during risk-off episodes.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent market cycles, VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) has demonstrated more consistent trend behavior with lower relative volatility than the junior-focused ETFs, owing to its large-cap orientation and greater liquidity. VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) and Sprott Junior Gold Miners ETF (SGDJ) have shown amplified sensitivity to gold price movements, leading to sharper drawdowns and recoveries depending on exploration results and financing conditions for smaller miners. Concentration risk remains higher in SGDJ due to fewer holdings, while GDXJ benefits from wider diversification across juniors. Performance differentials arise primarily from market-cap exposure and weighting methodologies rather than short-term price fluctuations.

AI Screener

Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural characteristics, VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) presents a probabilistic edge in the current environment through its combination of broad diversification across large-cap producers, superior liquidity profile, and competitive expense ratio. This positioning supports more stable risk-adjusted exposure within the gold mining theme compared with the higher-volatility junior strategies of VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) and Sprott Junior Gold Miners ETF (SGDJ).

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for GDX with price predictions
Oct 23, 2026

GDX's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for GDX entered a downward trend on October 23, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 148 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 131 of the 148 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 89%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GDX as a result. In 69 of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for GDX turned negative on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 43 of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 88%.

GDX moved below its 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for GDX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 02, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GDX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

The 50-day moving average for GDX moved above the 200-day moving average on October 01, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a +5.17% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GDX advanced for three days, in 292 of 319 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

GDX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for GDXJ with price predictions
Oct 23, 2026

GDXJ in downward trend: 10-day moving average broke below 50-day moving average on October 02, 2026

The 10-day moving average for GDXJ crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 02, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 23, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GDXJ as a result. In 68 of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.

GDXJ moved below its 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GDXJ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.

The Aroon Indicator for GDXJ entered a downward trend on October 23, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for GDXJ's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The 50-day moving average for GDXJ moved above the 200-day moving average on October 08, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a +4.93% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GDXJ advanced for three days, in 268 of 296 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

GDXJ may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SGDJ with price predictions
Oct 23, 2026

SGDJ in downward trend: 10-day moving average moved below 50-day moving average on October 02, 2026

The 10-day moving average for SGDJ crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 02, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

SGDJ moved below its 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SGDJ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.

The Aroon Indicator for SGDJ entered a downward trend on October 23, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The 50-day moving average for SGDJ moved above the 200-day moving average on September 25, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a +4.52% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SGDJ advanced for three days, in 310 of 342 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

SGDJ may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
GDXGDXJSGDJ
RSI
ODDS (%)
N/A
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
88%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
87%
N/A
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
88%
N/A
N/A
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
86%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
87%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
86%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
86%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
85%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
86%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 8 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 8 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 8 days ago
90%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
88%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
86%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
85%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
89%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
85%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
82%
View a ticker or compare two or three
GDX
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
GDXJ
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
SGDJ
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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GDX and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GDX has been closely correlated with WPM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 96% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GDX jumps, then WPM could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To GDX
1D Price
Change %
GDX100%
-1.82%
WPM - GDX
96%
Closely correlated
-2.14%
AEM - GDX
95%
Closely correlated
-1.25%
KGC - GDX
94%
Closely correlated
-1.50%
NEM - GDX
93%
Closely correlated
-4.59%
IAG - GDX
93%
Closely correlated
-0.97%
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GDXJ and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GDXJ has been closely correlated with KGC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 93% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GDXJ jumps, then KGC could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To GDXJ
1D Price
Change %
GDXJ100%
-1.83%
KGC - GDXJ
93%
Closely correlated
-1.50%
PAAS - GDXJ
93%
Closely correlated
-2.24%
FSM - GDXJ
92%
Closely correlated
-3.57%
CGAU - GDXJ
92%
Closely correlated
-1.22%
EQX - GDXJ
92%
Closely correlated
-2.41%
More

SGDJ and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SGDJ has been closely correlated with SKE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 87% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SGDJ jumps, then SKE could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To SGDJ
1D Price
Change %
SGDJ100%
-3.54%
SKE - SGDJ
87%
Closely correlated
-2.51%
EQX - SGDJ
86%
Closely correlated
-2.41%
OGC - SGDJ
86%
Closely correlated
-2.02%
DRD - SGDJ
85%
Closely correlated
-1.56%
SA - SGDJ
84%
Closely correlated
-1.69%
More
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