GOVI
Price
$26.00
Change
-$0.06 (-0.23%)
Updated
Oct 23 closing price
Net Assets
1.21B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
TLT
Price
$81.34
Change
-$0.40 (-0.49%)
Updated
Oct 23 closing price
Net Assets
46.91B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
ZROZ
Price
$58.33
Change
-$0.41 (-0.70%)
Updated
Oct 23, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
1.96B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
Interact to see
Advertisement

GOVI or TLT or ZROZ

GOVI vs TLT vs ZROZ Comparison Chart in %
loading
loading
loading
View a ticker or compare two or three
A.I.Advisor
Oct 21, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? Invesco Equal Weight 0-30 Year Treasury ETF (GOVI) vs. iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) vs. PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon U.S. Treasury Index Exchange-Traded Fund (ZROZ)

Key Takeaways

  • GOVI provides equal-weighted exposure across a 0-30 year Treasury ladder with approximately 30 holdings, offering balanced duration risk compared to the longer-focused peers.
  • TLT delivers market-capitalization-weighted exposure to U.S. Treasuries with maturities exceeding 20 years and maintains around 47 holdings, emphasizing the longest segment of the yield curve.
  • ZROZ focuses exclusively on zero-coupon Treasury STRIPS with maturities of 25 years or more, resulting in the highest duration sensitivity among the three with roughly 22 holdings.
  • All three ETFs share an identical expense ratio of 0.15 percent and passive structures, though their differing maturity profiles and weighting methodologies create distinct risk and return characteristics.
  • TLT offers the highest liquidity profile due to its larger assets under management (AUM) and trading volume, while GOVI and ZROZ provide more specialized laddered or zero-coupon exposures.
  • Structural differences in duration and coupon treatment position these ETFs for varying responses to interest rate movements across recent market cycles.

Introduction

These three ETFs compete within the U.S. Treasury bond segment but pursue differentiated strategies for accessing government fixed income. GOVI emphasizes a laddered, equal-weighted approach across a broad maturity spectrum. TLT targets long-duration Treasuries through market-value weighting. ZROZ isolates zero-coupon instruments for amplified interest rate sensitivity. Investors comparing them seek varying degrees of duration exposure, diversification, and liquidity within the same broad asset class.

Invesco Equal Weight 0-30 Year Treasury ETF (GOVI) Overview

GOVI tracks the ICE 1-30 Year Laddered Maturity U.S. Treasury Index. The fund holds approximately 30 U.S. Treasury securities in equal weights, creating a maturity ladder from 1 to 30 years. Top holdings typically include a mix of notes and bonds across the February annual ladder. Sector allocation is 100 percent U.S. Treasuries. The expense ratio stands at 0.15 percent. The ETF employs a passive strategy with monthly rebalancing and physical replication. This equal-weight design reduces concentration in any single maturity point compared to market-cap-weighted alternatives.

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) Overview

TLT tracks the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. The fund holds approximately 47 U.S. Treasury bonds with remaining maturities greater than 20 years, weighted by market capitalization. Top holdings concentrate in the longest-maturity securities. Sector allocation remains 100 percent U.S. Treasuries. The expense ratio is 0.15 percent. The ETF uses a passive approach with physical replication. Its structure delivers targeted long-duration exposure favored for hedging or rate-view strategies.

PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon U.S. Treasury Index Exchange-Traded Fund (ZROZ) Overview

ZROZ tracks the ICE BofA Long U.S. Treasury Principal STRIPS Index. The fund invests in approximately 22 zero-coupon Treasury STRIPS with maturities of 25 years or longer. Holdings consist solely of principal-only securities without periodic coupon payments. Sector allocation is 100 percent U.S. Treasuries. The expense ratio equals 0.15 percent. The ETF follows a passive strategy with physical replication. The zero-coupon focus creates the highest duration and price volatility among the group in response to rate changes.

Industry and Thematic Landscape

The U.S. Treasury market remains central to global fixed-income strategies amid ongoing monetary policy shifts and fiscal dynamics. Capital flows into government bonds often increase during periods of economic uncertainty or equity volatility. Macroeconomic drivers such as inflation trends, Federal Reserve rate decisions, and supply dynamics from Treasury issuance influence all three ETFs. Geopolitical events can also affect demand for safe-haven Treasuries. Regulatory developments around bond market structure have minimal direct impact on these passive Treasury vehicles.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent weeks and months, performance differences have stemmed primarily from duration profiles. TLT and ZROZ, with longer effective durations, have shown greater sensitivity to interest rate movements than the laddered GOVI. ZROZ’s zero-coupon structure amplifies price swings compared to coupon-paying holdings in TLT and GOVI. Relative volatility remains highest for ZROZ due to its concentrated long-duration exposure. Drawdowns during rising-rate periods have been more pronounced for the longer-maturity funds. GOVI’s equal-weight ladder has delivered more stable trend consistency across recent market cycles by spreading exposure across maturities.

AI Screener

Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Tickeron’s AI would currently favor GOVI on the basis of its diversified laddered structure, balanced duration profile, and equal-weight methodology that mitigates concentration risk while maintaining cost efficiency comparable to peers. The fund’s construction supports more stable risk-adjusted positioning across varying rate environments relative to the higher-duration alternatives.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

Interact to see
Advertisement
SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for GOVI with price predictions
Oct 22, 2026

GOVI in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026

GOVI moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 26 of 39 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on GOVI as a result. In 52 of 90 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GOVI just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where GOVI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 29 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.

Following a +1.40% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GOVI advanced for three days, in 178 of 295 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GOVI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.

GOVI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for GOVI entered a downward trend on October 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for TLT with price predictions
Oct 22, 2026

TLT in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026

TLT moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 40 of 50 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TLT as a result. In 70 of 95 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TLT just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where TLT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

Following a +2.01% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TLT advanced for three days, in 194 of 281 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TLT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.

TLT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for TLT entered a downward trend on October 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for ZROZ with price predictions
Oct 22, 2026

ZROZ in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026

ZROZ moved above its 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 40 of 48 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ZROZ as a result. In 69 of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ZROZ just turned positive on October 13, 2026. Looking at past instances where ZROZ's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

Following a +3.16% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ZROZ advanced for three days, in 197 of 268 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 7 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ZROZ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.

ZROZ broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for ZROZ entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
GOVITLTZROZ
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
81%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
71%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
84%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
58%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
74%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
76%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
64%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
69%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
74%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
62%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
72%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
77%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
64%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
72%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
78%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
60%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
69%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
74%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 19 days ago
66%
Bearish Trend 19 days ago
78%
Bearish Trend 5 days ago
87%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
77%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
76%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
85%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
View a ticker or compare two or three
GOVI
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
TLT
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
ZROZ
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
Interact to see
Advertisement
Interesting Tickers
1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
1 Day
ETFs / NAMEPrice $Chg $Chg %
ZMAY26.42-0.05
-0.17%
Innovator Equity Defined Protection ETF - 1 Yr May (ZMAY)
FCPI56.32-0.62
-1.09%
Fidelity Stocks for Inflation ETF (FCPI)
UPGR20.49-0.36
-1.71%
Xtrackers US Green Infrastructure Select Equity ETF (UPGR)
GFLW32.06-0.83
-2.52%
VictoryShares Free Cash Flow Growth ETF (GFLW)
QSIX41.29-1.17
-2.77%
Pacer Metaurus Nasdaq 100 Dividend Multiplier 600 ETF (QSIX)