These three ETFs compete within the U.S. Treasury bond segment but pursue differentiated strategies for accessing government fixed income. GOVI emphasizes a laddered, equal-weighted approach across a broad maturity spectrum. TLT targets long-duration Treasuries through market-value weighting. ZROZ isolates zero-coupon instruments for amplified interest rate sensitivity. Investors comparing them seek varying degrees of duration exposure, diversification, and liquidity within the same broad asset class.
GOVI tracks the ICE 1-30 Year Laddered Maturity U.S. Treasury Index. The fund holds approximately 30 U.S. Treasury securities in equal weights, creating a maturity ladder from 1 to 30 years. Top holdings typically include a mix of notes and bonds across the February annual ladder. Sector allocation is 100 percent U.S. Treasuries. The expense ratio stands at 0.15 percent. The ETF employs a passive strategy with monthly rebalancing and physical replication. This equal-weight design reduces concentration in any single maturity point compared to market-cap-weighted alternatives.
TLT tracks the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. The fund holds approximately 47 U.S. Treasury bonds with remaining maturities greater than 20 years, weighted by market capitalization. Top holdings concentrate in the longest-maturity securities. Sector allocation remains 100 percent U.S. Treasuries. The expense ratio is 0.15 percent. The ETF uses a passive approach with physical replication. Its structure delivers targeted long-duration exposure favored for hedging or rate-view strategies.
ZROZ tracks the ICE BofA Long U.S. Treasury Principal STRIPS Index. The fund invests in approximately 22 zero-coupon Treasury STRIPS with maturities of 25 years or longer. Holdings consist solely of principal-only securities without periodic coupon payments. Sector allocation is 100 percent U.S. Treasuries. The expense ratio equals 0.15 percent. The ETF follows a passive strategy with physical replication. The zero-coupon focus creates the highest duration and price volatility among the group in response to rate changes.
The U.S. Treasury market remains central to global fixed-income strategies amid ongoing monetary policy shifts and fiscal dynamics. Capital flows into government bonds often increase during periods of economic uncertainty or equity volatility. Macroeconomic drivers such as inflation trends, Federal Reserve rate decisions, and supply dynamics from Treasury issuance influence all three ETFs. Geopolitical events can also affect demand for safe-haven Treasuries. Regulatory developments around bond market structure have minimal direct impact on these passive Treasury vehicles.
In recent weeks and months, performance differences have stemmed primarily from duration profiles. TLT and ZROZ, with longer effective durations, have shown greater sensitivity to interest rate movements than the laddered GOVI. ZROZ’s zero-coupon structure amplifies price swings compared to coupon-paying holdings in TLT and GOVI. Relative volatility remains highest for ZROZ due to its concentrated long-duration exposure. Drawdowns during rising-rate periods have been more pronounced for the longer-maturity funds. GOVI’s equal-weight ladder has delivered more stable trend consistency across recent market cycles by spreading exposure across maturities.
Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening.
Tickeron’s AI would currently favor GOVI on the basis of its diversified laddered structure, balanced duration profile, and equal-weight methodology that mitigates concentration risk while maintaining cost efficiency comparable to peers. The fund’s construction supports more stable risk-adjusted positioning across varying rate environments relative to the higher-duration alternatives.
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
GOVI moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 26 of 39 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on GOVI as a result. In 52 of 90 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GOVI just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where GOVI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 29 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
Following a +1.40% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GOVI advanced for three days, in 178 of 295 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GOVI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
GOVI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for GOVI entered a downward trend on October 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
TLT moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 40 of 50 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TLT as a result. In 70 of 95 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TLT just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where TLT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
Following a +2.01% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TLT advanced for three days, in 194 of 281 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TLT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.
TLT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for TLT entered a downward trend on October 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
ZROZ moved above its 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 40 of 48 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ZROZ as a result. In 69 of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ZROZ just turned positive on October 13, 2026. Looking at past instances where ZROZ's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
Following a +3.16% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ZROZ advanced for three days, in 197 of 268 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 7 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ZROZ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.
ZROZ broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for ZROZ entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
| GOVI | TLT | ZROZ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 76% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 74% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 77% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 19 days ago 66% | 19 days ago 78% | 5 days ago 87% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 85% | 2 days ago 90% |
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| ZMAY | 26.42 | -0.05 | -0.17% |
| Innovator Equity Defined Protection ETF - 1 Yr May (ZMAY) | |||
| FCPI | 56.32 | -0.62 | -1.09% |
| Fidelity Stocks for Inflation ETF (FCPI) | |||
| UPGR | 20.49 | -0.36 | -1.71% |
| Xtrackers US Green Infrastructure Select Equity ETF (UPGR) | |||
| GFLW | 32.06 | -0.83 | -2.52% |
| VictoryShares Free Cash Flow Growth ETF (GFLW) | |||
| QSIX | 41.29 | -1.17 | -2.77% |
| Pacer Metaurus Nasdaq 100 Dividend Multiplier 600 ETF (QSIX) | |||