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Jun 10, 2019

Molson Coors (TAP, $54.76) gets "underperform" rating from Credit Suisse

Credit Suisse initiated coverage on Molson Coors Brewing with an "underperform" rating.

In a note to investors, Credit Suisse  mentioned the brewing company’s significant challenges in its portfolio exposure, and said they apprehend “the time for bold decisions has passed" for Molson Coors. The investment bank also pointed out that a levered balance sheet might be hindering the ability for Molson to make “bold” decisions.

Credit Suisse also indicated that Molson Coors shares have fallen 40% since YE 2016 with fundamentals in nearly every region having worsened. The bank does not perceive any clear path toward stabilization for the brewing company.

A month ago, Molson Coors reported adjusted earnings of 52 cents per share, lower than analysts’ expectations of  57 cents per share (based on Zacks poll).

Related Ticker: TAP

TAP's RSI Indicator leaves overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Oscillator for TAP moved out of overbought territory on March 26, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 31 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 31 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 65 cases where TAP's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 01, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TAP as a result. In of 76 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TAP turned negative on March 28, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

TAP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on March 07, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The 10-day moving average for TAP crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on February 26, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The 50-day moving average for TAP moved above the 200-day moving average on March 11, 2024. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TAP advanced for three days, in of 330 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 216 cases where TAP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. TAP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.085) is normal, around the industry mean (2.777). P/E Ratio (15.407) is within average values for comparable stocks, (29.513). TAP's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.379) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.099). Dividend Yield (0.025) settles around the average of (0.025) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.250) is also within normal values, averaging (5.290).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Anheuser-Busch INBEV SA/NV (NYSE:BUD), Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ), Molson Coors Beverage Company (NYSE:TAP).

Industry description

The alcoholic beverage market includes beer, wine, and spirits. From $230 billion in 2015, the industry has grown to around $250 billion by 2019. In recent years, alcoholic beverage makers have been looking to expand distribution and purchase channels, such as through online stores (e.g. e-commerce platform Drizly) and convenience stores. Anheuser-Busch In Bev and Diageo are major global alcoholic beverage companies, while U.S.-owned companies include Constellation Brands and Brown-Forman Corp. among several others.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Beverages: Alcoholic Industry is 19.92B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 2.66K to 19.33T. PBGDF holds the highest valuation in this group at 19.33T. The lowest valued company is WBEVQ at 2.66K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Beverages: Alcoholic Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5%. VDKB experienced the highest price growth at 20%, while SBEV experienced the biggest fall at -24%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Beverages: Alcoholic Industry was 18%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -36% and the average quarterly volume growth was 23%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 49
P/E Growth Rating: 72
Price Growth Rating: 52
SMR Rating: 72
Profit Risk Rating: 86
Seasonality Score: 8 (-100 ... +100)
Related Portfolios: CONSUMER STAPLES ETFs
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A.I.Advisor
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published General Information

General Information

a beer producer

Industry BeveragesAlcoholic

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Beverages Alcoholic
Address
NH353
Phone
+1 303 279-6565
Employees
16500
Web
https://www.molsoncoors.com
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