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LNC or MFC or PRU
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Lincoln National Corporation (LNC) vs. Manulife Financial Corporation (MFC) vs. Prudential Financial, Inc. (PRU) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- MFC has shown the strongest one-year performance at around 25%, outperforming peers amid global diversification benefits.
- LNC trades at the lowest P/E ratio (price-to-earnings ratio) near 7x, appealing for value-oriented investors despite YTD declines.
- PRU offers a high dividend yield above 5.6%, supported by resilient earnings but faces international sales headwinds.
- All three stocks in the life insurance sector have experienced volatility in recent weeks, influenced by interest rate expectations and equity market swings.
- MFC's international exposure, particularly in Asia, provides growth drivers contrasting with the more U.S.-centric LNC and PRU.
- Recent quarterly results show mixed beats and misses, with LNC and MFC exceeding EPS (earnings per share) estimates in Q4 2025.
Introduction
Lincoln National Corporation (LNC), Manulife Financial Corporation (MFC), and Prudential Financial, Inc. (PRU) are prominent players in the life insurance and retirement services sector. This comparison evaluates their recent stock performance, valuation metrics, and market positioning amid shifting interest rates and economic uncertainty. Investors seeking income through dividends or exposure to insurance-linked stability, as well as traders monitoring sector rotation, will find insights into relative strengths and risks. With all three offering yields above 5%, the focus is on momentum, growth prospects, and sensitivity to broader financial market trends.
LNC Overview and Recent Performance
Lincoln National Corporation (LNC) provides life insurance, annuities, and group protection products primarily in the U.S. market. In recent market activity, the stock has traded around $38, reflecting a one-month gain of over 6% but a YTD decline of approximately 16%. Its Q4 2025 earnings beat expectations with EPS of $2.21 versus $1.88 estimated, driven by improved net investment income (NII). Sentiment has been influenced by concerns over equity market volatility impacting variable annuities and ongoing balance sheet strengthening post prior challenges. Trading at a forward P/E near 7x and dividend yield around 5%, LNC appeals to value investors, though ROE (return on equity) at 12% underscores recovery efforts.
MFC Overview and Recent Performance
Manulife Financial Corporation (MFC), a Canada-based global firm, offers life insurance, wealth management, and asset management across Asia, Canada, and the U.S. The stock hovers near $39, near its 52-week high, with a one-year return exceeding 24%. Recent weeks have seen modest pullbacks amid broader market caution, but Q4 2025 results topped forecasts with EPS of $0.80 against $0.76 expected. Strong Asia growth and disciplined expense management have bolstered sentiment, with P/E around 13x and solid dividend support. MFC's international diversification mitigates U.S.-centric risks, contributing to relative outperformance in volatile conditions.
PRU Overview and Recent Performance
Prudential Financial, Inc. (PRU) delivers retirement, life insurance, and investment products with significant U.S. and international exposure, including Japan. Currently trading near $99, the stock has posted a one-month uptick of less than 1% but YTD losses around 12%. Q4 2025 earnings slightly missed with EPS of $3.30 versus $3.37 anticipated, pressured by a sales pause in Japan and declining estimates. Interest rate sensitivity and annuity sales trends have shaped recent behavior, yet a 5.7% yield and P/E near 10x highlight income appeal. ROE at about 12% reflects operational stability amid sector headwinds.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
All three operate in life insurance with annuities and retirement focus, but MFC stands out with Asia-driven growth versus the U.S.-heavy LNC and PRU. Recent momentum favors MFC's 25% annual gain over PRU's flat performance and LNC's recovery mode. Valuation-wise, LNC offers the cheapest entry at lowest P/E, while PRU provides highest yield. Risks include rate fluctuations affecting NII and equity exposure; PRU faces Japan-specific issues, LNC legacy concerns. Market sentiment tilts toward diversified MFC amid global recovery signals.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI models currently lean toward MFC based on superior trend consistency, international catalysts, and relative strength in recent months. While LNC's value metrics and PRU's yield remain attractive, MFC's positioning suggests higher probability of outperformance in the near term, contingent on sustained economic stability.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
LNC’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileMFC’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and PRU’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- LNC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MFC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- PRU’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
LNC’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MFC’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s), and PRU’s TA Score reflects 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- LNC’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- MFC’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- PRU’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
LNC (@Life/Health Insurance) experienced а -3.10% price change this week, while MFC (@Life/Health Insurance) price change was -1.71% , and PRU (@Life/Health Insurance) price fluctuated -0.70% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Life/Health Insurance industry was -0.62%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.71%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.81%.
Reported Earning Dates
LNC is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
MFC is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
PRU is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Life/Health Insurance (-0.62% weekly)Life insurance companies mainly sell policies that pay a death benefit as a lump sum upon the death of the insured to their beneficiaries. Life insurance policies may be sold as term life, (which guarantees payment of a stated death benefit and expires at the end of a specified term) or permanent /typically whole life (which is more expensive but lasts a lifetime and carries a cash accumulation component). Life insurance firms may also sell long-term disability policies that help to replace the insured individual’s income if they become sick or disabled. Health insurance, on the other hand, helps pay for medical expenses. Anthem, Inc., MetLife, Inc. and Aflac Incorporated are some of the largest U.S. companies in this industry.
| LNC | MFC | PRU | |
| Capitalization | 6.93B | 66.5B | 36.9B |
| EBITDA | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Gain YTD | -16.720 | 9.427 | -3.287 |
| P/E Ratio | 4.12 | 16.47 | 11.15 |
| Revenue | 18.9B | 53.2B | 63B |
| Total Cash | 34.8B | 25B | 83.5B |
| Total Debt | 6.37B | 13.4B | 23.1B |
LNC | MFC | PRU | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 25 | 6 | 19 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 7 Undervalued | 42 Fair valued | 10 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 12 | 59 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 77 | 98 | 99 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 46 | 48 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 50 | 82 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
LNC's Valuation (7) in the Life Or Health Insurance industry is in the same range as PRU (10) in the Financial Conglomerates industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for MFC (42) in the Life Or Health Insurance industry. This means that LNC's stock grew similarly to PRU’s and somewhat faster than MFC’s over the last 12 months.
MFC's Profit vs Risk Rating (12) in the Life Or Health Insurance industry is somewhat better than the same rating for PRU (59) in the Financial Conglomerates industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for LNC (100) in the Life Or Health Insurance industry. This means that MFC's stock grew somewhat faster than PRU’s and significantly faster than LNC’s over the last 12 months.
LNC's SMR Rating (77) in the Life Or Health Insurance industry is in the same range as MFC (98) in the Life Or Health Insurance industry, and is in the same range as PRU (99) in the Financial Conglomerates industry. This means that LNC's stock grew similarly to MFC’s and similarly to PRU’s over the last 12 months.
MFC's Price Growth Rating (46) in the Life Or Health Insurance industry is in the same range as PRU (48) in the Financial Conglomerates industry, and is in the same range as LNC (50) in the Life Or Health Insurance industry. This means that MFC's stock grew similarly to PRU’s and similarly to LNC’s over the last 12 months.
MFC's P/E Growth Rating (50) in the Life Or Health Insurance industry is in the same range as LNC (62) in the Life Or Health Insurance industry, and is in the same range as PRU (82) in the Financial Conglomerates industry. This means that MFC's stock grew similarly to LNC’s and similarly to PRU’s over the last 12 months.
| LNC | MFC | PRU | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 64% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 49% | 1 day ago 56% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 58% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 57% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 58% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 54% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 72% | 10 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 59% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 71% | 1 day ago 51% | 8 days ago 56% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 49% | 1 day ago 71% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 44% |
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LNC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LNC has been closely correlated with MET. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if LNC jumps, then MET could also see price increases.
PRU and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PRU has been closely correlated with MFC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PRU jumps, then MFC could also see price increases.