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PAAS or RGLD or SA
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) vs. Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD) vs. Seabridge Gold Inc. (SA) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Precious metals prices have surged, with gold reaching approximately $4,642 per ounce in late April amid strong market demand.
- RGLD offers the lowest beta at 0.55, providing relative stability compared to peers.
- PAAS delivered record cash flow from operations of $554 million in FY2025, supporting operational strength.
- SA leads YTD performance at +5.14%, driven by positive project updates like the Snip North MRE (Mineral Resource Estimate).
- Analyst targets indicate upside potential across all three, with RGLD averaging $335, PAAS $72.25, and SA $63.64.
- Recent weeks show mixed momentum, with pullbacks amid broader market volatility but positive sector tailwinds.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines PAAS, a leading silver producer; RGLD, a precious metals royalty and streaming company; and SA, a gold exploration firm. All operate in the precious metals sector, which has seen robust performance driven by elevated gold and silver prices. Investors and traders interested in commodity-linked equities, diversification across production, royalties, and development stages, or hedging against inflation may find this analysis valuable for assessing relative performance, risks, and market positioning in the current environment.
PAAS Overview and Recent Performance
Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) is a primary silver producer with mines across the Americas, also generating gold output. In recent market activity, the stock has traded around $51.81, reflecting YTD gains of 1.41% amid broader sector strength. Sentiment has been influenced by record FY2025 results, including $554 million in cash flow from operations and Q4 revenue of $1.18 billion. Recent weeks featured dips, such as a 5% decline in one session, but analysts remain optimistic, with targets raised to $65 by Scotiabank and $75 by RBC Capital. Upcoming Q1 earnings are expected to show growth, supporting steady performance despite volatility (beta 1.53).
RGLD Overview and Recent Performance
Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD) focuses on acquiring royalties and streams on precious metals projects, minimizing operational risks. Shares recently closed at $230.59, with YTD returns of 4.14%. Recent activity included share price pullbacks, yet positive 2026 guidance for higher gold, silver, and copper volumes bolsters outlook. Q4 FY2025 revenue reached $375 million, with EPS of $1.92 normalized. Low beta of 0.55 underscores stability, while UBS initiated Buy coverage at $325. Q1 results due May 6 add anticipation, as analysts project average targets of $335 amid favorable royalty dynamics.
SA Overview and Recent Performance
Seabridge Gold Inc. (SA) advances large-scale gold projects, notably KSM in British Columbia. Trading near $28.07, it leads peers YTD at +5.14%. Recent developments, including the maiden Snip North MRE and KSM designated a provincial priority project, have lifted sentiment. High beta of 1.79 reflects exploration risks, with no recent revenue but ongoing spin-outs like Valor Gold. Analysts maintain Outperform ratings, targeting up to $71, as project catalysts drive momentum despite mixed short-term returns.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
PAAS leverages operational scale as a producer, sensitive to costs and output, contrasting RGLD's low-risk royalty model with fixed payments and no mining exposure. SA offers high-upside exploration but higher execution risks. Recent momentum varies: SA strongest YTD, while all face pullbacks. Risk profiles differ by beta—RGLD lowest (0.55), SA highest (1.79)—with sector tailwinds from gold above $4,600/oz. Valuation sensitivity ties to metal prices; sentiment favors RGLD's stability and PAAS's cash generation over SA's catalysts.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently favors RGLD due to its low volatility, superior analyst targets, and resilient royalty structure amid high precious metals prices. While PAAS shows operational strength and SA growth potential, RGLD's trend consistency and relative positioning suggest higher probability of outperformance in the near term.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
PAAS’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileRGLD’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and SA’s FA Score reflects 0 green FA rating(s).
- PAAS’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- RGLD’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- SA’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
PAAS’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while RGLD’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and SA’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- PAAS’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- RGLD’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- SA’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
PAAS (@Precious Metals) experienced а -12.03% price change this week, while RGLD (@Precious Metals) price change was -7.41% , and SA (@Precious Metals) price fluctuated -19.33% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was -13.21%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -15.70%, and the average quarterly price growth was -20.08%.
Reported Earning Dates
PAAS is expected to report earnings on Aug 12, 2026.
RGLD is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
SA is expected to report earnings on Aug 18, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (-13.21% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| PAAS | RGLD | SA | |
| Capitalization | 18.8B | 17.2B | 2.67B |
| EBITDA | 2.22B | 1.03B | -87.49M |
| Gain YTD | -13.815 | -8.661 | -10.561 |
| P/E Ratio | 15.43 | 25.96 | 222.18 |
| Revenue | 4B | 1.31B | 0 |
| Total Cash | 1.61B | 234M | N/A |
| Total Debt | 845M | 596M | N/A |
PAAS | RGLD | SA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 55 | 61 | 57 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 18 Undervalued | 25 Undervalued | 94 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 65 | 56 | 69 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 45 | 66 | 94 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | 61 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 93 | 67 | 61 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 3 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PAAS's Valuation (18) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as RGLD (25) and is significantly better than the same rating for SA (94). This means that PAAS's stock grew similarly to RGLD’s and significantly faster than SA’s over the last 12 months.
RGLD's Profit vs Risk Rating (56) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as PAAS (65) and is in the same range as SA (69). This means that RGLD's stock grew similarly to PAAS’s and similarly to SA’s over the last 12 months.
PAAS's SMR Rating (45) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as RGLD (66) and is somewhat better than the same rating for SA (94). This means that PAAS's stock grew similarly to RGLD’s and somewhat faster than SA’s over the last 12 months.
SA's Price Growth Rating (45) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as PAAS (59) and is in the same range as RGLD (61). This means that SA's stock grew similarly to PAAS’s and similarly to RGLD’s over the last 12 months.
SA's P/E Growth Rating (61) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as RGLD (67) and is in the same range as PAAS (93). This means that SA's stock grew similarly to RGLD’s and similarly to PAAS’s over the last 12 months.
| PAAS | RGLD | SA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 62% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 86% | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 75% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 74% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 80% | 10 days ago 72% | 10 days ago 76% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 72% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 86% | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 72% |
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SA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SA has been closely correlated with AEM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SA jumps, then AEM could also see price increases.