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PAAS vs RGLD
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) vs. Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) operates as a primary silver and gold producer with direct exposure to mining operations across the Americas, while Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD) focuses on royalty and streaming interests that provide revenue without operational costs.
- Recent market activity shows both stocks advancing amid elevated precious metals prices, with RGLD reporting record operating cash flow in its second quarter 2026 results released on August 5.
- PAAS has highlighted exploration progress and upcoming second quarter results scheduled for August 12, alongside effects from its prior acquisition of MAG Silver Corp.
- RGLD demonstrated revenue growth exceeding 115% year-over-year in the latest quarter, supported by higher gold-equivalent ounce sales and reaffirmed full-year guidance.
- Relative performance reflects contrasts in business models, with RGLD offering potentially more stable margins through its asset-light approach compared to PAAS's direct production risks.
- Market sentiment remains tied to broader precious metals trends, with both companies positioned to benefit from sustained demand in gold and silver sectors.
Introduction
Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) and Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD) represent distinct approaches within the precious metals sector, making their comparison relevant for investors and traders evaluating exposure to silver and gold. PAAS engages in active mining and production, while RGLD generates income through royalties and streams on third-party operations. This analysis examines their recent performance, business structures, and positioning in the current environment. Market participants focused on sector rotation, commodity price sensitivity, or portfolio diversification may find the relative strengths and trade-offs between these two stocks particularly informative for informed decision-making.
PAAS Overview and Recent Performance
Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) is a leading silver producer with operations spanning multiple countries in the Americas, supplemented by gold output. The company maintains a portfolio of mines and development projects, with recent emphasis on exploration updates at sites such as Timmins to support potential production growth and extended mine life. In recent weeks, PAAS stock has reflected broader strength in silver prices, alongside market attention to its completed acquisition of MAG Silver Corp. and preparations for second quarter 2026 financial results expected on August 12. Sentiment has been influenced by operational developments and commodity price movements, contributing to price appreciation during periods of favorable metals market conditions.
RGLD Overview and Recent Performance
Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD) acquires and manages precious metal royalty and streaming interests across global jurisdictions, focusing on gold with additional silver and other metals exposure. This model allows participation in production economics without bearing direct mining costs or risks. In recent market activity, RGLD delivered strong second quarter 2026 results announced on August 5, including record operating cash flow, revenue more than doubling year-over-year, and higher gold-equivalent ounce sales. The company also repurchased shares, reduced debt, and reaffirmed production guidance, with performance supported by elevated metal prices. These factors have contributed to positive price momentum in recent sessions.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) and Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD) differ fundamentally in their approaches to precious metals exposure. PAAS maintains direct operational involvement in mining, which ties performance closely to production volumes, cost management, and site-specific developments, introducing higher operational leverage and potential volatility. RGLD employs a royalty and streaming model that delivers more predictable cash flows with reduced capital expenditure requirements and lower exposure to execution risks. Both benefit from rising gold and silver prices, yet RGLD's recent quarterly results highlighted stronger revenue expansion and cash generation. Sector exposure overlaps in precious metals, though PAAS carries greater sensitivity to mining-specific factors such as labor, permitting, and reserve depletion. Market sentiment for each reflects these structural differences, with RGLD often viewed for stability and PAAS for higher-beta participation in commodity upswings.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including recent earnings consistency, margin stability, and positioning within the royalty segment, Tickeron’s AI models may currently assign a relatively higher probability of favorable near-term momentum to Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD) compared with Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS). The royalty structure has shown resilience in translating higher metal prices into cash flow without proportional cost increases, as evidenced in the latest quarter. PAAS continues to offer direct leverage to silver production trends but carries additional variables from active operations. These assessments remain probabilistic and dependent on ongoing market and company-specific developments.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is PAAS is a Hold and RGLD is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
PAAS’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileRGLD’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- PAAS’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- RGLD’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
PAAS’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while RGLD’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- PAAS’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- RGLD’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
PAAS (@Precious Metals) experienced а +15.32% price change this week, while RGLD (@Precious Metals) price change was +13.34% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was +17.52%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +19.78%, and the average quarterly price growth was -14.14%.
Reported Earning Dates
PAAS is expected to report earnings on Aug 12, 2026.
RGLD is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (+17.52% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| PAAS | RGLD | PAAS / RGLD | |
| Capitalization | 21.8B | 19.8B | 110% |
| EBITDA | 2.22B | 1.03B | 214% |
| Gain YTD | 0.571 | 5.984 | 10% |
| P/E Ratio | 16.34 | 25.86 | 63% |
| Revenue | 4B | 1.31B | 306% |
| Total Cash | 1.61B | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 845M | 596M | 142% |
PAAS | RGLD | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 36 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 18 Undervalued | 27 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 46 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 45 | 66 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 44 | 46 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 80 | 49 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PAAS's Valuation (18) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as RGLD (27). This means that PAAS’s stock grew similarly to RGLD’s over the last 12 months.
RGLD's Profit vs Risk Rating (46) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as PAAS (50). This means that RGLD’s stock grew similarly to PAAS’s over the last 12 months.
PAAS's SMR Rating (45) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as RGLD (66). This means that PAAS’s stock grew similarly to RGLD’s over the last 12 months.
PAAS's Price Growth Rating (44) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as RGLD (46). This means that PAAS’s stock grew similarly to RGLD’s over the last 12 months.
RGLD's P/E Growth Rating (49) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as PAAS (80). This means that RGLD’s stock grew similarly to PAAS’s over the last 12 months.
| PAAS | RGLD | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 76% | 5 days ago 53% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 72% | 5 days ago 59% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 79% | 5 days ago 62% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 76% | 5 days ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 80% | 5 days ago 69% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 80% | 5 days ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 81% | 5 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 72% | 14 days ago 64% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 74% | 5 days ago 56% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 72% | 5 days ago 61% |
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RGLD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RGLD has been closely correlated with WPM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if RGLD jumps, then WPM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To RGLD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RGLD | 100% | +1.83% | ||
| WPM - RGLD | 88% Closely correlated | -0.60% | ||
| OR - RGLD | 85% Closely correlated | +2.00% | ||
| AEM - RGLD | 85% Closely correlated | +0.93% | ||
| FNV - RGLD | 85% Closely correlated | +0.94% | ||
| PAAS - RGLD | 84% Closely correlated | +1.13% | ||
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