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PFGC or SYY or USFD
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Performance Food Group (PFGC) vs. Sysco (SYY) vs. US Foods (USFD) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- PFGC, SYY, and USFD operate as major players in the U.S. foodservice distribution sector, supplying restaurants, healthcare facilities, and other institutions with food and related products.
- Recent market activity shows these stocks moving in line with broader sector trends, with upcoming quarterly earnings reports serving as near-term catalysts for all three.
- USFD has demonstrated relatively stronger 12-month performance compared to PFGC in available data, while SYY maintains the largest scale among the group.
- Business models emphasize distribution efficiency, customer relationships, and supply chain management, with varying degrees of exposure to independent versus chain restaurant customers.
- Valuation sensitivity appears influenced by earnings growth expectations, margin trends, and macroeconomic factors affecting food-away-from-home spending.
- Market sentiment remains tied to operational execution and sector demand stability rather than company-specific events in recent weeks.
Introduction
PFGC, SYY, and USFD represent leading companies in the foodservice distribution industry, making them a relevant comparison for investors and traders focused on consumer defensive sectors. These stocks appeal to those seeking exposure to the food-away-from-home market, supply chain dynamics, and companies with established distribution networks serving restaurants, healthcare, and institutional clients. The comparison highlights differences in scale, customer mix, and recent relative performance within a shared competitive landscape.
PFGC Overview and Recent Performance
Performance Food Group Company (PFGC) ranks as the third-largest U.S. foodservice distributor. It operates through broadline, specialty, and other segments, delivering products to approximately 300,000 locations. In recent weeks, PFGC shares have reflected sector-wide movements amid preparations for its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings report scheduled for August 12, 2026. Sentiment has been shaped by expectations around volume growth and margin stability in a competitive distribution environment.
SYY Overview and Recent Performance
Sysco Corporation (SYY) stands as the world's largest broadline food distributor, with a wide-reaching network serving foodservice operators across North America and beyond. Recent market activity for SYY has aligned with industry patterns, supported by its scale advantages and upcoming earnings release on August 4, 2026. Performance has been influenced by ongoing efforts to optimize operations and adapt to shifts in customer demand within the foodservice channel.
USFD Overview and Recent Performance
US Foods Holding Corp. (USFD) functions as the second-largest U.S. foodservice distributor, focusing on fresh, frozen, and dry products for restaurants, healthcare, and other venues. In recent weeks, USFD has shown relative resilience in available performance metrics compared to peers over longer periods. Market sentiment draws from its customer base diversification and operational initiatives, with attention on earnings trends and sector positioning.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
PFGC, SYY, and USFD share core business models centered on foodservice distribution but differ in scale and focus. SYY holds the largest market position, while PFGC and USFD compete closely behind. Growth drivers include volume recovery in restaurants and efficiency gains, with recent momentum varying by execution on margins and acquisitions. Risk factors encompass commodity price volatility, labor costs, and economic sensitivity in dining-out trends. Sector exposure remains uniform, though valuation sensitivity differs based on earnings multiples and debt levels. Market sentiment reflects collective positioning ahead of earnings, with contrasts in relative outperformance over trailing periods favoring certain names on observable metrics.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings visibility, and relative positioning within the sector, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a probabilistic edge to USFD. This assessment stems from stronger recent comparative returns and stable operational indicators, though outcomes remain subject to upcoming earnings results and broader market conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
PFGC’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileSYY’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and USFD’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- PFGC’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- SYY’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- USFD’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
PFGC’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SYY’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s), and USFD’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- PFGC’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- SYY’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- USFD’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
PFGC (@Food Distributors) experienced а +0.45% price change this week, while SYY (@Food Distributors) price change was -1.11% , and USFD (@Food Distributors) price fluctuated +8.24% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food Distributors industry was -1.61%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.29%, and the average quarterly price growth was -0.17%.
Reported Earning Dates
PFGC is expected to report earnings on Aug 12, 2026.
SYY is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
USFD is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Food Distributors (-1.61% weekly)Food distributors function as intermediaries between food manufacturers and food service operators (such as chefs, restaurants, beverage managers, cafeterias, industrial caterers, hospitals and nursing homes). Food distribution companies buy, store and then supply food items to the food service operators, thereby allowing the latter to have access to a wide range of food items from various manufacturers. Sysco Corporation, US Foods Holding Corp. and Herbalife Nutrition Ltd. are some of the biggest (by market cap) U.S. companies in this segment. Most food service operators buy from local, specialty, and/or broad line food service distributors on a daily or weekly basis. With the rise in e-commerce, consumers are increasingly expecting lower prices, faster service, and higher quality – something that potentially creates the impetus on distribution networks to raise their game.
| PFGC | SYY | USFD | |
| Capitalization | 18B | 40.3B | 24B |
| EBITDA | 1.64B | 4.06B | 1.66B |
| Gain YTD | 27.780 | 16.950 | 42.021 |
| P/E Ratio | 54.71 | 23.03 | 33.50 |
| Revenue | 66.7B | 83.6B | 39.7B |
| Total Cash | 45.9M | 169M | 49M |
| Total Debt | 7.88B | 15.4B | 5.33B |
PFGC | SYY | USFD | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 68 | 12 | 24 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 58 Fair valued | 30 Undervalued | 60 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 17 | 55 | 8 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 81 | 15 | 57 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 44 | 49 | 42 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 24 | 44 | 54 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SYY's Valuation (30) in the Food Distributors industry is in the same range as PFGC (58) and is in the same range as USFD (60). This means that SYY's stock grew similarly to PFGC’s and similarly to USFD’s over the last 12 months.
USFD's Profit vs Risk Rating (8) in the Food Distributors industry is in the same range as PFGC (17) and is somewhat better than the same rating for SYY (55). This means that USFD's stock grew similarly to PFGC’s and somewhat faster than SYY’s over the last 12 months.
SYY's SMR Rating (15) in the Food Distributors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for USFD (57) and is significantly better than the same rating for PFGC (81). This means that SYY's stock grew somewhat faster than USFD’s and significantly faster than PFGC’s over the last 12 months.
USFD's Price Growth Rating (42) in the Food Distributors industry is in the same range as PFGC (44) and is in the same range as SYY (49). This means that USFD's stock grew similarly to PFGC’s and similarly to SYY’s over the last 12 months.
PFGC's P/E Growth Rating (24) in the Food Distributors industry is in the same range as SYY (44) and is in the same range as USFD (54). This means that PFGC's stock grew similarly to SYY’s and similarly to USFD’s over the last 12 months.
| PFGC | SYY | USFD | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 52% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 76% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 60% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 66% | 5 days ago 48% | 5 days ago 54% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 48% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 65% |
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USFD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, USFD has been loosely correlated with PFGC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 58% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if USFD jumps, then PFGC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To USFD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USFD | 100% | +6.45% | ||
| PFGC - USFD | 58% Loosely correlated | +2.30% | ||
| CHEF - USFD | 41% Loosely correlated | +0.55% | ||
| SYY - USFD | 41% Loosely correlated | +0.17% | ||
| UNFI - USFD | 28% Poorly correlated | -0.40% | ||
| WILC - USFD | 20% Poorly correlated | -5.87% | ||
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