These three ETFs allow investors to fine-tune exposure along the U.S. Treasury yield curve through targeted duration strategies. TLH, TLT, and UTHY do not track identical indexes; instead, they represent tiered approaches to long-duration government debt. TLH and TLT deliver diversified baskets of Treasuries within defined maturity bands, while UTHY provides single-security precision on the 30-year point. In an environment shaped by shifting monetary policy and yield-curve dynamics, comparing their structural features helps investors match duration needs with risk tolerance and portfolio objectives.
TLH seeks to track the ICE U.S. Treasury 10-20 Year Bond Index, providing exposure to U.S. Treasury securities with remaining maturities between 10 and 20 years. The fund holds approximately 61 bonds, with allocations weighted by market value. Top holdings typically include a range of intermediate-to-long Treasuries such as 10-year, 15-year, and 20-year notes and bonds. Sector allocation is 100% U.S. government debt. The expense ratio stands at 0.15%. As a passive, physically replicated ETF issued by iShares (BlackRock), TLH rebalances periodically to maintain index alignment and offers monthly distributions. Its design emphasizes targeted duration without the extreme rate sensitivity of longer-maturity funds.
TLT tracks the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index, focusing on Treasuries with maturities exceeding 20 years. It typically contains around 47-48 holdings, diversified across long-dated notes and bonds. Top positions feature prominent long-term Treasuries, including various 30-year bonds. Allocation remains entirely within U.S. government securities. The expense ratio is 0.15%. Issued by iShares (BlackRock) as a passive ETF, TLT uses physical replication and monthly rebalancing aligned with the index. It provides higher duration exposure than shorter-maturity Treasury ETFs while maintaining broad diversification within the long end of the curve.
UTHY aims to track the Bloomberg U.S. Treasury Bellwether 30Y Total Return USD Unhedged Index by investing primarily in the most recently issued on-the-run 30-year U.S. Treasury bond. The fund maintains approximately two holdings, with over 99% typically allocated to the single current 30-year security and minimal cash. This single-bond structure distinguishes it from diversified peers. Sector exposure is 100% U.S. Treasury debt. The expense ratio is 0.15%. Launched in 2023 by F/m Investments, UTHY operates as a passive ETF with monthly distributions and aims to minimize rollover costs associated with frequent Treasury auctions.
The U.S. Treasury bond ETF sector operates within the broader fixed-income market, influenced by Federal Reserve policy, inflation trends, fiscal deficits, and global demand for safe-haven assets. Capital flows into duration products often accelerate during periods of anticipated rate cuts or economic uncertainty. Regulatory developments around Treasury issuance and auction schedules directly affect on-the-run securities held by funds like UTHY. Macroeconomic drivers such as employment data, GDP growth, and geopolitical events shape yield-curve movements, while sector risks include interest-rate volatility and potential changes in Treasury supply. These factors impact all three ETFs through their shared focus on government debt without credit risk.
In recent market cycles, duration differences have produced varied responses to interest-rate shifts. TLH has generally exhibited lower volatility than TLT due to its shorter maturity band, resulting in more moderate drawdowns during rising-rate periods. TLT has shown greater price sensitivity and trend consistency with long-end yield movements, offering amplified exposure to rate declines. UTHY, with its concentrated 30-year focus, has displayed the highest duration and potential for larger price swings relative to the diversified funds. Performance differentials arise primarily from structural maturity exposure rather than active management, with all three remaining sensitive to broader Treasury market dynamics and macroeconomic signals.
Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Visit the AI Screener to explore data-driven insights for ETF selection and portfolio construction.
Based on observable structural strength, TLH currently aligns with a favorable risk-adjusted profile through its balanced duration, diversified holdings across dozens of issues, and cost-efficient passive construction. TLT offers compelling liquidity and deeper long-duration exposure for investors tolerant of higher volatility. UTHY provides precise ultra-long targeting but carries elevated concentration risk due to its single-bond approach. Tickeron’s AI would likely favor TLH for most diversified portfolios seeking stable positioning along the yield curve, while acknowledging that selection depends on specific duration objectives and risk parameters.
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
TLH moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 29 of 37 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TLH as a result. In 53 of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TLH just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where TLH's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
Following a +1.75% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TLH advanced for three days, in 193 of 298 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
The 10-day RSI Indicator for TLH moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 24 of the 28 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 86%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 9 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TLH declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.
TLH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for TLH entered a downward trend on October 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
TLT moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 39 of 50 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TLT as a result. In 71 of 95 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TLT just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where TLT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
Following a +2.01% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TLT advanced for three days, in 194 of 281 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
The 10-day RSI Indicator for TLT moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 23 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 22 of the 23 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 90%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 9 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TLT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.
TLT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for TLT entered a downward trend on October 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
UTHY moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 27 of 36 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on UTHY as a result. In 42 of 67 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for UTHY just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where UTHY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 22 of 32 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
Following a +2.00% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UTHY advanced for three days, in 141 of 209 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
The 10-day RSI Indicator for UTHY moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 18 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 16 of the 18 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 89%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UTHY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
UTHY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for UTHY entered a downward trend on October 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
| TLH | TLT | UTHY | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 89% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 83% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 63% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 69% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 68% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 67% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 20 days ago 72% | 20 days ago 78% | 20 days ago 74% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 89% | 2 days ago 89% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 85% | 2 days ago 72% |
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
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