TLH
Price
$95.33
Change
-$0.43 (-0.45%)
Updated
Oct 23 closing price
Net Assets
11.82B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
TLT
Price
$81.34
Change
-$0.40 (-0.49%)
Updated
Oct 23 closing price
Net Assets
47.28B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
UTHY
Price
$38.42
Change
-$0.17 (-0.44%)
Updated
Oct 23 closing price
Net Assets
216.02M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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TLH or TLT or UTHY

TLH vs TLT vs UTHY Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 21, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? iShares 10-20 Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLH) vs. iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) vs. F/m US Treasury 30 Year Bond ETF (UTHY)

Key Takeaways

  • TLH, TLT, and UTHY are all passive U.S. Treasury bond ETFs but target distinct segments of the yield curve: intermediate-to-long (10-20 years), long (20+ years), and ultra-long single-bond (30-year on-the-run) exposure.
  • All three share an identical 0.15% expense ratio, offering comparable cost efficiency for institutional and retail investors seeking government bond duration.
  • TLH and TLT provide broad diversification across dozens of Treasury issues, while UTHY concentrates nearly 100% in one current 30-year bond, introducing higher concentration risk but precise duration targeting.
  • Structural differences drive risk profiles: TLH offers moderate duration, TLT higher interest-rate sensitivity, and UTHY the longest duration with the most concentrated holdings.
  • In the current environment of evolving rate expectations, these ETFs serve complementary roles for duration management rather than direct competition within the same maturity bucket.
  • Liquidity profiles vary, with TLT exhibiting the highest trading volume and options market depth among the three.

Introduction

These three ETFs allow investors to fine-tune exposure along the U.S. Treasury yield curve through targeted duration strategies. TLH, TLT, and UTHY do not track identical indexes; instead, they represent tiered approaches to long-duration government debt. TLH and TLT deliver diversified baskets of Treasuries within defined maturity bands, while UTHY provides single-security precision on the 30-year point. In an environment shaped by shifting monetary policy and yield-curve dynamics, comparing their structural features helps investors match duration needs with risk tolerance and portfolio objectives.

iShares 10-20 Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLH) Overview

TLH seeks to track the ICE U.S. Treasury 10-20 Year Bond Index, providing exposure to U.S. Treasury securities with remaining maturities between 10 and 20 years. The fund holds approximately 61 bonds, with allocations weighted by market value. Top holdings typically include a range of intermediate-to-long Treasuries such as 10-year, 15-year, and 20-year notes and bonds. Sector allocation is 100% U.S. government debt. The expense ratio stands at 0.15%. As a passive, physically replicated ETF issued by iShares (BlackRock), TLH rebalances periodically to maintain index alignment and offers monthly distributions. Its design emphasizes targeted duration without the extreme rate sensitivity of longer-maturity funds.

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) Overview

TLT tracks the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index, focusing on Treasuries with maturities exceeding 20 years. It typically contains around 47-48 holdings, diversified across long-dated notes and bonds. Top positions feature prominent long-term Treasuries, including various 30-year bonds. Allocation remains entirely within U.S. government securities. The expense ratio is 0.15%. Issued by iShares (BlackRock) as a passive ETF, TLT uses physical replication and monthly rebalancing aligned with the index. It provides higher duration exposure than shorter-maturity Treasury ETFs while maintaining broad diversification within the long end of the curve.

F/m US Treasury 30 Year Bond ETF (UTHY) Overview

UTHY aims to track the Bloomberg U.S. Treasury Bellwether 30Y Total Return USD Unhedged Index by investing primarily in the most recently issued on-the-run 30-year U.S. Treasury bond. The fund maintains approximately two holdings, with over 99% typically allocated to the single current 30-year security and minimal cash. This single-bond structure distinguishes it from diversified peers. Sector exposure is 100% U.S. Treasury debt. The expense ratio is 0.15%. Launched in 2023 by F/m Investments, UTHY operates as a passive ETF with monthly distributions and aims to minimize rollover costs associated with frequent Treasury auctions.

Industry and Thematic Landscape

The U.S. Treasury bond ETF sector operates within the broader fixed-income market, influenced by Federal Reserve policy, inflation trends, fiscal deficits, and global demand for safe-haven assets. Capital flows into duration products often accelerate during periods of anticipated rate cuts or economic uncertainty. Regulatory developments around Treasury issuance and auction schedules directly affect on-the-run securities held by funds like UTHY. Macroeconomic drivers such as employment data, GDP growth, and geopolitical events shape yield-curve movements, while sector risks include interest-rate volatility and potential changes in Treasury supply. These factors impact all three ETFs through their shared focus on government debt without credit risk.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent market cycles, duration differences have produced varied responses to interest-rate shifts. TLH has generally exhibited lower volatility than TLT due to its shorter maturity band, resulting in more moderate drawdowns during rising-rate periods. TLT has shown greater price sensitivity and trend consistency with long-end yield movements, offering amplified exposure to rate declines. UTHY, with its concentrated 30-year focus, has displayed the highest duration and potential for larger price swings relative to the diversified funds. Performance differentials arise primarily from structural maturity exposure rather than active management, with all three remaining sensitive to broader Treasury market dynamics and macroeconomic signals.

AI Screener

Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Visit the AI Screener to explore data-driven insights for ETF selection and portfolio construction.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural strength, TLH currently aligns with a favorable risk-adjusted profile through its balanced duration, diversified holdings across dozens of issues, and cost-efficient passive construction. TLT offers compelling liquidity and deeper long-duration exposure for investors tolerant of higher volatility. UTHY provides precise ultra-long targeting but carries elevated concentration risk due to its single-bond approach. Tickeron’s AI would likely favor TLH for most diversified portfolios seeking stable positioning along the yield curve, while acknowledging that selection depends on specific duration objectives and risk parameters.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for TLH with price predictions
Oct 23, 2026

TLH in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026

TLH moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 29 of 37 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TLH as a result. In 53 of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TLH just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where TLH's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.

Following a +1.75% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TLH advanced for three days, in 193 of 298 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for TLH moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 24 of the 28 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 86%.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 9 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TLH declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.

TLH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for TLH entered a downward trend on October 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for TLT with price predictions
Oct 23, 2026

TLT in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026

TLT moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 39 of 50 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TLT as a result. In 71 of 95 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TLT just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where TLT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.

Following a +2.01% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TLT advanced for three days, in 194 of 281 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for TLT moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 23 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 22 of the 23 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 90%.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 9 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TLT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.

TLT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for TLT entered a downward trend on October 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for UTHY with price predictions
Oct 23, 2026

UTHY in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026

UTHY moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 27 of 36 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on UTHY as a result. In 42 of 67 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for UTHY just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where UTHY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 22 of 32 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

Following a +2.00% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UTHY advanced for three days, in 141 of 209 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for UTHY moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 18 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 16 of the 18 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 89%.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UTHY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.

UTHY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for UTHY entered a downward trend on October 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
TLHTLTUTHY
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
86%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
89%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
75%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
82%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
83%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
61%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
75%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
63%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
77%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
73%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
69%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
69%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
72%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
68%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
69%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
72%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
71%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
65%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
69%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
67%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 20 days ago
72%
Bearish Trend 20 days ago
78%
Bearish Trend 20 days ago
74%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
79%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
89%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
89%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
79%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
85%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
72%
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TLH
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
TLT
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
UTHY
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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