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AA
Stock ticker: NYSE
AS OF
Jun 4 closing price
Price
$27.37
Change
-$0.29 (-1.05%)
Capitalization
7.09B

AA Alcoa Corp Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Alcoa is a vertically integrated aluminum company whose operations include bauxite mining, alumina refining, and manufacturing primary aluminum... Show more

Industry: #Aluminum
AA
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for AA with price predictions
Jun 04, 2025

AA's RSI Indicator peaks and leaves overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Indicator for AA moved out of overbought territory on May 15, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 33 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 33 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 28, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AA as a result. In of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AA turned negative on May 30, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AA declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 51 cases where AA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

AA moved above its 50-day moving average on June 03, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for AA crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 21, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AA advanced for three days, in of 295 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

AA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 244 cases where AA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.219) is normal, around the industry mean (1.895). P/E Ratio (7.318) is within average values for comparable stocks, (14.645). Dividend Yield (0.015) settles around the average of (0.055) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.506) is also within normal values, averaging (0.752).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. AA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock worse than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

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AA
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

AA is expected to report earnings to fall 67.52% to 69 cents per share on July 16

Alcoa Corp AA Stock Earnings Reports
Q2'25
Est.
$0.70
Q1'25
Beat
by $0.57
Q4'24
Beat
by $0.11
Q3'24
Beat
by $0.29
Q2'24
Beat
by $0.10
The last earnings report on April 16 showed earnings per share of $2.15, beating the estimate of $1.58. With 4.69M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 7.09B.
A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

AA is expected to pay dividends on June 06, 2025

Alcoa Corp AA Stock Dividends
A dividend of $0.10 per share will be paid with a record date of June 06, 2025, and an ex-dividend date of May 20, 2025. The last dividend of $0.10 was paid on March 20. Read more...
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a miner of bauxite and aluminum

Industry Aluminum

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Aluminum
Address
201 Isabella Street
Phone
+1 412 315-2900
Employees
13600
Web
https://www.alcoa.com
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AA and Stocks

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AA has been closely correlated with CENX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AA jumps, then CENX could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To AA
1D Price
Change %
AA100%
-1.05%
CENX - AA
77%
Closely correlated
+1.60%
NHYDY - AA
64%
Loosely correlated
-1.09%
KALU - AA
52%
Loosely correlated
+0.61%
CSTM - AA
46%
Loosely correlated
+4.12%
NHYKF - AA
41%
Loosely correlated
-1.18%
More

Groups containing AA

Correlation & Price change

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To AA
1D Price
Change %
AA100%
-1.05%
AA
(2 stocks)
95%
Closely correlated
+0.27%