AWR Stock American States Water (AWR, $84.05) price may drop as it broke higher Bollinger Band on Sep 16, 2024

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AWR - American States Water Company

Bollinger signal

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Odds of DOWN Trend

Price: $84.05

Daily change: +$0.93 (+1.12%)

Daily volume: 231.1K

Capitalization: $3.1B

Industry: Water Utilities

AWR's RSI Oscillator recovers from overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Oscillator for AWR moved out of overbought territory on October 17, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 31 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 31 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 62 cases where AWR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AWR declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

AWR broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 08, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for AWR entered a downward trend on November 13, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 05, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AWR as a result. In of 89 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AWR just turned positive on November 06, 2024. Looking at past instances where AWR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 53 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

AWR moved above its 50-day moving average on November 15, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for AWR crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 08, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 21 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AWR advanced for three days, in of 312 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AWR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.415) is normal, around the industry mean (2.091). P/E Ratio (21.327) is within average values for comparable stocks, (788.724). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (4.239) is also within normal values, averaging (301.186). Dividend Yield (0.023) settles around the average of (0.044) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.460) is also within normal values, averaging (6.716).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AWR’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock worse than average.