BIRK Birkenstock Holding plc Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis
Birkenstock is a German footwear brand known for comfort-focused, timeless designs, with 76% of 2022 sales coming from its top five iconic models... Show more
BIRK is expected to report earnings to fall 37.53% to 46 cents per share on December 17
Q3'26
Est.
$0.46
Q2'26
Missed
by $0.02
Q1'26
Missed
by $0.09
Q4'25
Beat
by $0.01
Q3'25
Beat
by $0.15
The last earnings report on August 13 showed earnings per share of 74 cents, missing the estimate of 75 cents. With 4.15M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 5.89B.
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BIRK has been loosely correlated with RL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 55% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BIRK jumps, then RL could also see price increases.
BIRK in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on July 23, 2026
BIRK moved below its 50-day moving average on July 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 27 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 17, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BIRK as a result. In of 49 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for BIRK turned negative on August 19, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 22 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 22 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
The 10-day moving average for BIRK crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on July 27, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BIRK declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for BIRK entered a downward trend on August 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where BIRK's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 15 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BIRK advanced for three days, in of 160 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
BIRK may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.799) is normal, around the industry mean (2.634). P/E Ratio (16.684) is within average values for comparable stocks, (38.552). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.013) is also within normal values, averaging (1.072). BIRK has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.031). P/S Ratio (2.470) is also within normal values, averaging (1.796).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. BIRK’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BIRK’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock worse than average.
