BP BP plc Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

BP in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on September 30, 2026

BP moved above its 50-day moving average on September 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 28 of 39 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 33 of 59 cases where BP's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 02, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on BP as a result. In 65 of 101 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.

Following a +1.82% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BP advanced for three days, in 213 of 357 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 150 of 279 cases where BP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 54%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for BP moved out of overbought territory on September 16, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 37 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 24 of the 37 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 65%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for BP turned negative on September 18, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 26 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 52%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 52%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 15 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 28, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 19 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.958) is normal, around the industry mean (1.887). P/E Ratio (21.224) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.521). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.058) is also within normal values, averaging (1.088). Dividend Yield (0.045) settles around the average of (0.035) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.548) is also within normal values, averaging (3.764).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. BP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 74 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 99 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.