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BP vs SU
Which Stock Would AI Choose? BP plc (BP) vs. Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BP plc (BP) and Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) are both major energy producers benefiting from elevated oil prices in recent market activity.
- BP reported expectations for stronger upstream margins and trading results in its Q2 2026 trading statement, despite lower production volumes.
- SU is positioned for significant year-over-year EPS growth in its upcoming Q2 2026 earnings release, supported by oil sands operations.
- Both stocks have delivered strong year-to-date gains amid the energy sector rally, with BP showing notable volatility tied to global crude benchmarks.
- BP offers broader integrated operations across refining and renewables, while SU maintains a more concentrated focus on upstream Canadian production.
- Market sentiment for both remains constructive, influenced by commodity price trends rather than company-specific catalysts alone.
Introduction
BP plc (BP) and Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) represent two prominent players in the global energy sector, making them relevant for comparison among investors seeking exposure to oil and gas markets. This analysis examines their recent performance, business models, and positioning in the current environment of fluctuating commodity prices. Institutional and retail traders focused on sector rotation, relative value, or energy-specific momentum may find the comparison useful for portfolio construction and risk assessment. The review draws on verifiable market data and company disclosures to highlight observable differences without forward-looking speculation.
BP Overview and Recent Performance
BP plc (BP) is an integrated energy company engaged in exploration, production, refining, and marketing of oil, gas, and related products. In recent weeks, the stock has shown resilience amid higher global crude prices, closing at $45.22 on July 31, 2026, following a 2.26% single-day gain. Year-to-date returns have exceeded 33%, outperforming broader equity benchmarks. The company’s July 14, 2026 trading statement highlighted expectations for improved oil and gas realizations, robust trading results, and higher refining margins in the second quarter, partially offset by lower upstream output and a $1 billion impairment charge primarily in transition-related assets. These factors contributed to positive sentiment in the period, with shares trading within a 52-week range of approximately $31.59 to $48.27.
SU Overview and Recent Performance
Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) operates primarily as a Canadian integrated energy firm with significant upstream production from oil sands assets, along with refining and marketing operations. Recent market activity has reflected broader energy sector strength, with the stock trading near $66.73 in late July 2026. Analysts project a substantial year-over-year increase in second-quarter earnings per share to $2.14, with results scheduled for release on August 4, 2026. The company’s production profile and exposure to Western Canadian Select pricing have supported relative stability during periods of elevated benchmark crude. Over the past year, SU has demonstrated competitive total returns within the integrated energy peer group, consistent with commodity-driven price behavior observed across the sector in recent months.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BP plc (BP) operates a diversified global portfolio spanning upstream exploration, downstream refining, and select low-carbon initiatives, providing exposure to multiple segments of the energy value chain. In contrast, Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) maintains a more focused upstream emphasis on oil sands production in Canada, with integrated refining capacity. Recent momentum for both has been supported by higher oil prices, though BP’s trading statement noted production declines while SU anticipates stronger earnings growth. Risk factors differ: BP faces transition-related impairments and global operational complexity, whereas SU contends with regional pricing differentials and regulatory considerations in Canadian energy markets. Sector exposure remains similar, yet BP offers greater geographic diversification. Market sentiment reflects commodity trends for both, with limited differentiation in analyst revisions during the recent period.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency amid the energy price environment, relative stability in reported metrics, and positioning ahead of earnings releases, Tickeron’s AI models currently indicate a probabilistic preference for Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) in this pairing. This assessment incorporates factors including earnings growth projections and sector-specific momentum, while acknowledging variability in commodity-driven outcomes. Such indications are derived from quantitative analysis and should be viewed as informational rather than definitive guidance.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BP is a StrongBuy and SU is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BP’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileSU’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- BP’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- SU’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BP’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SU’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BP’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- SU’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
BP (@Integrated Oil) experienced а +4.17% price change this week, while SU (@Integrated Oil) price change was +1.69% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was +3.40%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.25%, and the average quarterly price growth was +19.35%.
Reported Earning Dates
BP is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
SU is expected to report earnings on Nov 11, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (+3.40% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
| BP | SU | BP / SU | |
| Capitalization | 112B | 74.8B | 150% |
| EBITDA | 35B | 16.2B | 216% |
| Gain YTD | 26.646 | 44.004 | 61% |
| P/E Ratio | 20.51 | 11.88 | 173% |
| Revenue | 195B | 54.5B | 358% |
| Total Cash | 35.8B | 3.27B | 1,094% |
| Total Debt | 74.2B | 14.8B | 501% |
BP | SU | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 21 | 68 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 26 Undervalued | 31 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 21 | 15 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 84 | 60 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 45 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 100 | 49 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BP's Valuation (26) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SU (31). This means that BP’s stock grew similarly to SU’s over the last 12 months.
SU's Profit vs Risk Rating (15) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as BP (21). This means that SU’s stock grew similarly to BP’s over the last 12 months.
SU's SMR Rating (60) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as BP (84). This means that SU’s stock grew similarly to BP’s over the last 12 months.
SU's Price Growth Rating (45) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as BP (45). This means that SU’s stock grew similarly to BP’s over the last 12 months.
SU's P/E Growth Rating (49) in the Integrated Oil industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BP (100). This means that SU’s stock grew somewhat faster than BP’s over the last 12 months.
| BP | SU | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 80% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 63% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 65% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 69% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 68% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 52% | 7 days ago 57% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 83% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 73% |
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BP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BP has been closely correlated with SHEL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BP jumps, then SHEL could also see price increases.
SU and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SU has been closely correlated with CVE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SU jumps, then CVE could also see price increases.