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BP vs SU
Which Stock Would AI Choose? BP p.l.c. (BP) vs. Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) has outperformed BP p.l.c. (BP) year-to-date (YTD, a measure of performance from the start of the calendar year), gaining approximately 53% compared to BP's 35%.
- Both stocks have benefited from elevated oil prices amid geopolitical tensions, but SU shows stronger momentum with lower price-to-earnings (P/E, a valuation ratio comparing stock price to earnings per share) at 19 versus BP's 37.
- BP offers a higher dividend yield of 4.3%, appealing to income-focused investors, while SU prioritizes growth with recent record output.
- In recent market activity, SU demonstrates superior profitability metrics, including a 12.1% profit margin and 13.2% return on equity (ROE, a measure of profitability relative to shareholders' equity), versus BP's lower figures.
- Energy sector volatility from oil price swings affects both, with BP showing resilience through strong trading results.
Introduction
BP p.l.c. (BP) and Suncor Energy Inc. (SU), both integrated oil majors, offer investors exposure to upstream production, refining, and marketing amid fluctuating global energy demand. This stock comparison analyzes their recent performance in a market influenced by geopolitical tensions driving oil prices higher, such as those linked to the Iran conflict. Traders seeking momentum plays and long-term investors eyeing dividends or growth in the energy sector will find value in understanding their relative positioning, business models, and responses to sector catalysts like elevated crude benchmarks. With oil volatility persisting, contrasts in regional focus and operational strengths highlight trade-offs for portfolio allocation.
BP Overview and Recent Performance
BP p.l.c. (BP), a global integrated energy company headquartered in London, operates across exploration, production, refining, and renewables. In recent weeks, BP's stock has traded around $46, reflecting YTD gains of over 35% from a 52-week low near $28. Elevated oil prices, boosted by supply disruptions from geopolitical events, have propelled first-quarter profits more than double, with exceptional results from its oil trading division. Sentiment has improved on strong quarterly earnings exceeding estimates, though concerns linger over potential North Sea exits and operational uncertainties. Market cap stands at about $120 billion, with a forward dividend yield of 4.3% supporting income appeal, despite a higher P/E ratio indicating premium valuation.
SU Overview and Recent Performance
Suncor Energy Inc. (SU), Canada's leading integrated energy firm, focuses on oil sands production, refining, and retail fuels, primarily in Western Canada. Recently, shares have hovered near $68, delivering robust YTD returns of nearly 53% from a 52-week low around $34. High oil prices have enhanced cash flows from record upstream output and refining margins, contributing to gains of over 49% in the past six months. Investor sentiment reflects optimism ahead of upcoming earnings, bolstered by analyst upgrades, though exposure to oil sands costs remains a watchpoint. With a market cap of roughly $80 billion, SU trades at a P/E of 19 and offers a 2.6% dividend yield, balancing growth and shareholder returns.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BP p.l.c. (BP) and Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) share integrated models but differ in scale and focus: BP's global diversification spans renewables and trading, while SU leverages oil sands for high-margin upstream growth. Recent momentum favors SU with superior YTD gains and quarterly surges, versus BP's steady climb amid trading windfalls. Valuation contrasts show SU's attractive P/E and ROE, though BP provides higher yield. Risk factors include BP's geopolitical exposures and SU's regional cost pressures; both face oil volatility but exhibit low betas (market volatility measures) under 0.6. Sector sentiment tilts toward North American resilience for SU, balancing BP's international positioning.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI models currently lean toward Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) over BP p.l.c. (BP), driven by stronger trend consistency, superior YTD relative performance, and more favorable profitability metrics like ROE and margins. SU's catalysts from record production position it better amid sustained oil strength, though BP remains viable for dividend stability. This probabilistic edge reflects observable data rather than guarantees.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BP is a StrongBuy and SU is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BP’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileSU’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- BP’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- SU’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BP’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SU’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BP’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- SU’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 7 bearish.
Price Growth
BP (@Integrated Oil) experienced а -0.44% price change this week, while SU (@Integrated Oil) price change was -1.00% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was -0.04%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.12%, and the average quarterly price growth was +29.00%.
Reported Earning Dates
BP is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
SU is expected to report earnings on Aug 11, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (-0.04% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
| BP | SU | BP / SU | |
| Capitalization | 113B | 72.8B | 155% |
| EBITDA | 35B | 16.2B | 216% |
| Gain YTD | 26.204 | 38.864 | 67% |
| P/E Ratio | 34.61 | 16.33 | 212% |
| Revenue | 195B | 54.5B | 358% |
| Total Cash | 35.8B | 3.27B | 1,094% |
| Total Debt | 74.2B | 14.8B | 501% |
BP | SU | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 7 | 74 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 24 Undervalued | 31 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 23 | 18 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 84 | 61 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 99 | 20 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BP's Valuation (24) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SU (31). This means that BP’s stock grew similarly to SU’s over the last 12 months.
SU's Profit vs Risk Rating (18) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as BP (23). This means that SU’s stock grew similarly to BP’s over the last 12 months.
SU's SMR Rating (61) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as BP (84). This means that SU’s stock grew similarly to BP’s over the last 12 months.
SU's Price Growth Rating (45) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as BP (47). This means that SU’s stock grew similarly to BP’s over the last 12 months.
SU's P/E Growth Rating (20) in the Integrated Oil industry is significantly better than the same rating for BP (99). This means that SU’s stock grew significantly faster than BP’s over the last 12 months.
| BP | SU | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 6 days ago 76% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 58% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 52% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 56% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 51% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 59% | 11 days ago 68% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 17 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 59% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 63% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 50% |
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SU and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SU has been closely correlated with CVE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SU jumps, then CVE could also see price increases.