CENX Century Aluminum Company Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Aroon Indicator for CENX shows an upward move is likely

CENX's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on August 20, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 226 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 198 of the 226 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 88%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

The 10-day moving average for CENX crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 04, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.

Following a +1.56% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CENX advanced for three days, in 235 of 291 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for CENX moved out of overbought territory on August 12, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 37 of the 42 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 88%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 11, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CENX as a result. In 74 of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CENX turned negative on September 11, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 40 of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 90%.

CENX moved below its 50-day moving average on September 10, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 50-day moving average for CENX moved below the 200-day moving average on August 17, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CENX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.

CENX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 07, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 20 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 65, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. CENX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 80 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.108) is normal, around the industry mean (2.601). P/E Ratio (7.608) is within average values for comparable stocks, (9.016). CENX has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.014). CENX's P/S Ratio (1.657) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.904).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.