CF CF Industries Holding Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Aroon Indicator for CF shows an upward move is likely

CF's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on September 21, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 274 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 201 of the 274 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 73%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a +3.57% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CF advanced for three days, in 249 of 344 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.

CF may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for CF moved out of overbought territory on September 04, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 28 of the 43 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 65%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 16, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CF as a result. In 66 of 95 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CF turned negative on September 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 31 of the 53 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 58%.

CF moved below its 50-day moving average on September 21, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CF declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 26 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 72, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 36 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.175) is normal, around the industry mean (2.574). P/E Ratio (8.946) is within average values for comparable stocks, (43.883). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.543) is also within normal values, averaging (0.828). Dividend Yield (0.017) settles around the average of (0.031) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.667) is also within normal values, averaging (1.476).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CF’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.