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HGV vs MTN
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is HGV is a Buy and MTN is a Buy.
HGV in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026
HGV moved above its 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 30 of 37 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where HGV's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 21 of 27 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 30, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on HGV as a result. In 69 of 94 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for HGV just turned positive on September 29, 2026. Looking at past instances where HGV's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 39 of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
Following a +8.19% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HGV advanced for three days, in 188 of 264 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 37 of 55 cases where HGV's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HGV declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
HGV broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 30, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for HGV entered a downward trend on October 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 30 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 46 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.711) is normal, around the industry mean (13.064). P/E Ratio (21.596) is within average values for comparable stocks, (52.912). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.990) is also within normal values, averaging (0.784). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.023) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.601) is also within normal values, averaging (1.049).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. HGV’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 95 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. HGV’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.
MTN in upward trend: 10-day moving average crossed above 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026
The 10-day moving average for MTN crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 16 of 21 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 28, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MTN as a result. In 49 of 89 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MTN just turned positive on October 27, 2026. Looking at past instances where MTN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
MTN moved above its 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +2.03% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MTN advanced for three days, in 169 of 298 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 97 of 155 cases where MTN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 63%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for MTN moved out of overbought territory on October 14, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 26 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 21 of the 26 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 81%.
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MTN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.
MTN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 6 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 23 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MTN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 80 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (22.494) is normal, around the industry mean (13.064). P/E Ratio (36.763) is within average values for comparable stocks, (52.912). MTN's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.730) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.784). Dividend Yield (0.058) settles around the average of (0.023) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.782) is also within normal values, averaging (1.049).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MTN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.
HGV | MTN | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 25 | 37 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 46 Fair valued | 80 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 65 | 23 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 58 | 42 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 95 | 6 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 30 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
HGV's Valuation (46) in the Real Estate Development industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MTN (80) in the Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines industry. This means that HGV’s stock grew somewhat faster than MTN’s over the last 12 months.
HGV's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Real Estate Development industry is in the same range as MTN (100) in the Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines industry. This means that HGV’s stock grew similarly to MTN’s over the last 12 months.
MTN's SMR Rating (23) in the Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines industry is somewhat better than the same rating for HGV (65) in the Real Estate Development industry. This means that MTN’s stock grew somewhat faster than HGV’s over the last 12 months.
MTN's Price Growth Rating (42) in the Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines industry is in the same range as HGV (58) in the Real Estate Development industry. This means that MTN’s stock grew similarly to HGV’s over the last 12 months.
MTN's P/E Growth Rating (6) in the Hotels Or Resorts Or Cruiselines industry is significantly better than the same rating for HGV (95) in the Real Estate Development industry. This means that MTN’s stock grew significantly faster than HGV’s over the last 12 months.
| HGV | MTN | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 81% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 71% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 55% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 62% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 56% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 53% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 4 days ago 57% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 69% | 14 days ago 72% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 83% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 63% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HGV’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while MTN’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- HGV’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- MTN’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HGV’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MTN’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- HGV’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MTN’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
HGV (@Hotels/Resorts/Cruiselines) experienced а +7.11% price change this week, while MTN (@Hotels/Resorts/Cruiselines) price change was +3.59% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Hotels/Resorts/Cruiselines industry was +0.13%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.03%, and the average quarterly price growth was -15.63%.
Reported Earning Dates
HGV is expected to report earnings on Mar 04, 2027.
MTN is expected to report earnings on Dec 09, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Hotels/Resorts/Cruiselines (+0.13% weekly)The industry includes companies that operate and manage one or more of the following: lodging facilities (e.g. hotels and motels), resorts (e.g. ski resorts), spas, cruise ships and timeshare facilities. Marriott International, Inc., Carnival Corporation, Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. and Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. are some of the biggest names in this industry.
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MTN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MTN has been loosely correlated with INSE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 41% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MTN jumps, then INSE could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MTN | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTN | 100% | -1.75% | ||
| INSE - MTN | 41% Loosely correlated | -0.83% | ||
| HGV - MTN | 40% Loosely correlated | +7.64% | ||
| CHDN - MTN | 37% Loosely correlated | +4.03% | ||
| FLUT - MTN | 35% Loosely correlated | +4.29% | ||
| BYD - MTN | 35% Loosely correlated | +0.55% | ||
More | ||||
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| FUND | 9.65 | N/A | N/A |
| Sprott Focus Trust | |||
| SCOW | 23.58 | N/A | N/A |
| Pacer S&P SmallCap 600 Quality FCF Aristocrats ETF (SCOW) | |||
| MEAR | 50.07 | -0.01 | -0.02% |
| iShares Short Maturity Municipal Bond Active ETF (MEAR) | |||
| VBNB | 27.10 | -1.77 | -6.14% |
| VanEck BNB ETF Common Shares Of Beneficial Interest (VBNB) | |||
| AAOG | 0.83 | -0.28 | -25.51% |
| Leverage Shares 2X Long AAOI Daily ETF (AAOG) | |||