MUSA Murphy USA Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

MUSA in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on August 18, 2026

MUSA moved below its 50-day moving average on August 18, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 21 of 36 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day moving average for MUSA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 11, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 6 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 40%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MUSA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.

The Aroon Indicator for MUSA entered a downward trend on September 08, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where MUSA's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 15 of 21 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 43 of 61 cases where MUSA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 11, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MUSA as a result. In 63 of 92 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MUSA just turned positive on September 11, 2026. Looking at past instances where MUSA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 36 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.

Following a +6.61% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MUSA advanced for three days, in 240 of 345 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.

MUSA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 15 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 23 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 52 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MUSA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 80 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: MUSA's P/B Ratio (12.300) is slightly higher than the industry average of (4.068). P/E Ratio (16.017) is within average values for comparable stocks, (35.701). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.392) is also within normal values, averaging (1.345). MUSA has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.005) as compared to the industry average of (0.035). P/S Ratio (0.459) is also within normal values, averaging (1.069).