MUSA Murphy USA Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

MUSA in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on August 27, 2026

MUSA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 25 of 30 cases where MUSA's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where MUSA's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 15 of 21 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 43 of 61 cases where MUSA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MUSA just turned positive on September 11, 2026. Looking at past instances where MUSA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 30 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.

Following a +2.18% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MUSA advanced for three days, in 236 of 342 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 21, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MUSA as a result. In 59 of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MUSA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 51%.

The Aroon Indicator for MUSA entered a downward trend on September 18, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 15 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 23 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MUSA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 79 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (12.210) is normal, around the industry mean (1.755). P/E Ratio (15.911) is within average values for comparable stocks, (241.673). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.392) is also within normal values, averaging (1.113). Dividend Yield (0.005) settles around the average of (0.017) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.450) is also within normal values, averaging (1.033).