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MUSA vs ORLY
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MUSA is a StrongBuy and ORLY is a Buy.
Aroon Indicator for MUSA shows an upward move is likely
MUSA's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on October 14, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 308 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 215 of the 308 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 70%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 09, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MUSA as a result. In 58 of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
MUSA moved above its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for MUSA crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
Following a +1.67% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MUSA advanced for three days, in 233 of 339 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 42 of 72 cases where MUSA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MUSA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 51%.
MUSA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 15 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 21 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MUSA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 73 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: MUSA's P/B Ratio (12.495) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.368). P/E Ratio (16.124) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.442). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.392) is also within normal values, averaging (1.159). Dividend Yield (0.005) settles around the average of (0.093) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.450) is also within normal values, averaging (1.057).
ORLY's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ORLY turned positive on September 24, 2026. Looking at past instances where ORLY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 28 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ORLY as a result. In 48 of 80 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
ORLY moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for ORLY crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 50%.
Following a +2.98% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ORLY advanced for three days, in 207 of 384 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 136 of 267 cases where ORLY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 51%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ORLY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 46%.
ORLY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 3 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: ORLY's P/B Ratio (-40.542) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (0.879). P/E Ratio (29.114) is within average values for comparable stocks, (39.808). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.620) is also within normal values, averaging (1.471). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.040) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.798) is also within normal values, averaging (49.084).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 3 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 20 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ORLY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 65 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
MUSA | ORLY | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 20 | 32 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 73 Overvalued | 3 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 21 | 20 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 15 | 3 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 49 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 34 | 65 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ORLY's Valuation (3) in the Specialty Stores industry is significantly better than the same rating for MUSA (73). This means that ORLY’s stock grew significantly faster than MUSA’s over the last 12 months.
ORLY's Profit vs Risk Rating (20) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as MUSA (21). This means that ORLY’s stock grew similarly to MUSA’s over the last 12 months.
ORLY's SMR Rating (3) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as MUSA (15). This means that ORLY’s stock grew similarly to MUSA’s over the last 12 months.
MUSA's Price Growth Rating (46) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as ORLY (49). This means that MUSA’s stock grew similarly to ORLY’s over the last 12 months.
MUSA's P/E Growth Rating (34) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as ORLY (65). This means that MUSA’s stock grew similarly to ORLY’s over the last 12 months.
| MUSA | ORLY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 37% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 55% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 60% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 61% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 57% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 54% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 69% | 8 days ago 54% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 19 days ago 46% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 50% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 51% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MUSA’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while ORLY’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- MUSA’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- ORLY’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MUSA’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ORLY’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MUSA’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- ORLY’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
MUSA (@Specialty Stores) experienced а -2.32% price change this week, while ORLY (@Auto Parts: OEM) price change was +3.95% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Specialty Stores industry was +1.09%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.47%, and the average quarterly price growth was +3.95%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Auto Parts: OEM industry was -3.92%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -11.23%, and the average quarterly price growth was -20.37%.
Reported Earning Dates
MUSA is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
ORLY is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Specialty Stores (+1.09% weekly)The specialty stores sector includes companies dedicated to the sale of retail products focused on a single product category, such as clothing, carpet, books, or office supplies. A specialty store could face intense competition from big-box departmental chains, and therefore offering an adequate collection of the product type it specializes in is key in maintaining/growing its market.
@Auto Parts: OEM (-3.92% weekly)OEM or Original Equipment Manufacturer of auto parts refers to the original producer of a vehicles components, and so OEM car parts are usually identical to the parts used in producing the vehicle in the first place. OEM parts tend to fit the specifications of a particular model, and their compatibility is often guaranteed by the automaker itself. OEM parts could be more expensive to buy (compared to other vendors’ products) when a consumer goes for replacement. However, increased competition from aftermarket parts/third-party vendors could, in some cases, keep EOM prices in check. The industry might progress further in adopting newer technologies like 3D printing to boost supply chain performance and quality. Aptiv PLC, Magna International Inc. and BorgWarner Inc. are major OEMs for autos.
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MUSA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MUSA has been loosely correlated with CASY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 42% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MUSA jumps, then CASY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MUSA | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MUSA | 100% | -0.82% | ||
| CASY - MUSA | 42% Loosely correlated | +2.66% | ||
| ORLY - MUSA | 35% Loosely correlated | +3.14% | ||
| AZO - MUSA | 29% Poorly correlated | +3.61% | ||
| CARS - MUSA | 26% Poorly correlated | +6.03% | ||
| SAH - MUSA | 26% Poorly correlated | +4.05% | ||
More | ||||
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