PGR Progressive Corp Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

PGR in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on September 11, 2025

PGR moved above its 50-day moving average on September 11, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 57 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 10, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PGR as a result. In of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PGR just turned positive on September 11, 2025. Looking at past instances where PGR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PGR advanced for three days, in of 345 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 357 cases where PGR Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PGR declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

PGR broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 14, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 46, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. PGR’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: PGR's P/B Ratio (4.466) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.397). P/E Ratio (13.988) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.478). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (5.419) is also within normal values, averaging (2.918). Dividend Yield (0.020) settles around the average of (0.037) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.772) is also within normal values, averaging (1.519).