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PGR
Stock ticker: NYSE
AS OF
Oct 16 closing price
Price
$221.74
Change
-$4.76 (-2.10%)
Capitalization
130.03B

PGR Progressive Corp Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Progressive underwrites private and commercial auto insurance and specialty lines; it has almost 24 million personal auto policies in force and is one of the largest auto insurers in the United States... Show more

PGR
Daily Signalchanged days ago
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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for PGR with price predictions
Oct 16, 2025

PGR in -7.76% downward trend, falling for three consecutive days on October 16, 2025

Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where PGR declined for three days, in of 258 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 10, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PGR as a result. In of 92 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for PGR turned negative on October 10, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

PGR moved below its 50-day moving average on October 06, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The Aroon Indicator for PGR entered a downward trend on October 16, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PGR advanced for three days, in of 341 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

PGR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 45, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. PGR’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: PGR's P/B Ratio (3.989) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.281). P/E Ratio (12.492) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.171). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (4.779) is also within normal values, averaging (2.750). Dividend Yield (0.022) settles around the average of (0.038) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.582) is also within normal values, averaging (1.823).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

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PGR
Daily Signalchanged days ago
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A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

PGR is expected to report earnings to fall 4.72% to $4.24 per share on January 28

Progressive Corp PGR Stock Earnings Reports
Q4'25
Est.
$4.24
Q3'25
Missed
by $0.60
Q2'25
Beat
by $1.04
Q1'25
Missed
by $0.37
Q4'24
Beat
by $0.48
The last earnings report on October 15 showed earnings per share of $4.45, missing the estimate of $5.05. With 6.02M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 130.03B.
A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

PGR paid dividends on October 10, 2025

Progressive Corp PGR Stock Dividends
А dividend of $0.10 per share was paid with a record date of October 10, 2025, and an ex-dividend date of October 02, 2025. Read more...
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a provider of automobile and casualty insurance services

Industry PropertyCasualtyInsurance

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Property Or Casualty Insurance
Address
6300 Wilson Mills Road
Phone
+1 440 461-5000
Employees
61432
Web
https://www.progressive.com
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PGR and Stocks

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PGR has been closely correlated with ALL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PGR jumps, then ALL could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To PGR
1D Price
Change %
PGR100%
-2.10%
ALL - PGR
74%
Closely correlated
-2.76%
HIG - PGR
69%
Closely correlated
-3.63%
WRB - PGR
68%
Closely correlated
-3.59%
CNA - PGR
66%
Closely correlated
-2.46%
CB - PGR
66%
Loosely correlated
-3.62%
More

Groups containing PGR

Correlation & Price change

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To PGR
1D Price
Change %
PGR100%
-2.10%
PGR
(8 stocks)
86%
Closely correlated
-2.93%