PGR Progressive Corp Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

PGR in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on August 28, 2026

The 10-day moving average for PGR crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 14 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 35 of 56 cases where PGR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 14, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PGR as a result. In 56 of 97 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.

PGR moved above its 50-day moving average on September 11, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +2.23% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PGR advanced for three days, in 193 of 334 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.

PGR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 194 of 323 cases where PGR Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 60%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for PGR turned negative on September 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 23 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 46%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PGR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 48%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 29 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 53, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. PGR’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 66 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: PGR's P/B Ratio (3.741) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.177). P/E Ratio (11.090) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.739). PGR's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (67.777) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (8.694). PGR's Dividend Yield (0.063) is considerably higher than the industry average of (0.022). P/S Ratio (1.426) is also within normal values, averaging (1.612).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 67 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 91 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.