RIO Rio Tinto plc Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where RIO's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 22 of 25 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for RIO just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where RIO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.

Following a +1.74% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RIO advanced for three days, in 238 of 338 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.

RIO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on RIO as a result. In 40 of 82 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 49%.

RIO moved below its 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for RIO crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 24, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 44%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RIO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 55%.

The Aroon Indicator for RIO entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 3 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.346) is normal, around the industry mean (12.026). P/E Ratio (12.789) is within average values for comparable stocks, (146.692). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.050) is also within normal values, averaging (1.026). RIO's Dividend Yield (0.049) is considerably higher than the industry average of (0.009). P/S Ratio (2.541) is also within normal values, averaging (283.864).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 22 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 23 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. RIO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 99 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.