TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis
The investment seeks to track the investment results of the ICE® U... Show more
TLT sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
TLT saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on May 08, 2025. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 08, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TLT as a result. In of 93 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
TLT moved below its 50-day moving average on April 30, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for TLT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 15, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TLT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TLT advanced for three days, in of 281 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
TLT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
General Information
Category LongGovernment
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| FLN | 19.14 | 0.35 | +1.86% |
| First Trust Latin America AlphaDEX® ETF | |||
| AOK | 37.97 | 0.09 | +0.24% |
| iShares Core 30/70 Cnsrv Allc ETF | |||
| STOT | 46.98 | -0.02 | -0.04% |
| SPDR® DoubleLine Shrt Dur Ttl RetTactETF | |||
| EAGG | 46.67 | -0.03 | -0.06% |
| iShares ESG U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF | |||
| THLV | 27.81 | -0.02 | -0.07% |
| THOR Equal Weight Low Volatility ETF | |||
TLT and ETFs
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TLT has been closely correlated with VGLT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 100% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TLT jumps, then VGLT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TLT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLT | 100% | -0.41% | ||
| VGLT - TLT | 100% Closely correlated | -0.42% | ||
| SPTL - TLT | 100% Closely correlated | -0.42% | ||
| EDV - TLT | 99% Closely correlated | -0.64% | ||
| SCHQ - TLT | 99% Closely correlated | -0.38% | ||
| UTHY - TLT | 99% Closely correlated | -0.44% | ||
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