UPST Upstart Holdings Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where UPST's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 33 of 40 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 49 of 58 cases where UPST's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for UPST just turned positive on October 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where UPST's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.

Following a +1.38% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UPST advanced for three days, in 236 of 279 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UPST declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

The Aroon Indicator for UPST entered a downward trend on October 08, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 82 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. UPST’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 90 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.811) is normal, around the industry mean (3.945). UPST's P/E Ratio (44.288) is considerably higher than the industry average of (14.459). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.040) is also within normal values, averaging (3.918). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.050) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.160) is also within normal values, averaging (5.901).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. UPST’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock worse than average.