13.64% Decline: The Unfavorable Week for Coinbase Global
While the world of investment banking and brokerage saw a largely positive trend during the week of June 1, 2023, to June 8, 2023, Coinbase Global (COIN, $54.9) emerged as one of the top losers, experiencing a sharp decline of 13.64%. This reduction brought its per-share price down to $54.9, an unfavorable outcome in an industry where 160 out of 191 analyzed stocks, a striking 83.64%, displayed an uptrend.
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Coinbase Global, an acclaimed crypto exchange platform, has witnessed a turbulent journey with significant ups and downs, and this week was no exception. The drop in its share value stands in stark contrast to the general market sentiment, which demonstrated growth and resilience. Of the 191 stocks tracked in the Investment Banks/Brokers Industry, a robust 160 revealed an uptrend, representing a bullish market sentiment and a majority industry growth.
In the same period, however, 31 stocks, constituting 16.36%, indicated a downtrend. Among this minority, Coinbase Global's downturn was significant, propelling it to the list of top losers for the week. This scenario underscores the inherent volatility of the crypto market, in which Coinbase operates, compared to traditional financial markets.
As market observers, we may speculate on several reasons behind Coinbase's sharp decline. The correlation between the platform's performance and the broader crypto market trends, coupled with potential regulatory concerns, market competition, and investor sentiment, can all play significant roles.
What remains clear is that, in the world of finance, high tides and rough seas coexist. The market teems with constant movement, where one week's losers may be the next week's gainers. As we continue to analyze the performance of Coinbase Global and the Investment Banks/Brokers Industry, we stay committed to providing you with timely updates and informed insights. Stay tuned for further analysis, and as always, tread with caution and wisdom in the fast-paced world of investment.
Momentum Indicator for COIN turns negative, indicating new downward trend
COIN saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on September 20, 2023. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 41 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for COIN turned negative on September 21, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 19 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 19 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
COIN moved below its 50-day moving average on August 30, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for COIN crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 21, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 8 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where COIN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for COIN entered a downward trend on August 30, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where COIN's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 17 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where COIN advanced for three days, in of 126 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
COIN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. COIN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.925) is normal, around the industry mean (4.710). P/E Ratio (7.981) is within average values for comparable stocks, (35.759). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.531) is also within normal values, averaging (2.342). COIN has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.035). P/S Ratio (6.024) is also within normal values, averaging (129.899).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. COIN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock worse than average.
Notable companies
Industry description
Market Cap
High and low price notable news
Volume
Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
General Information
Industry InvestmentBanksBrokers
COIN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, COIN has been closely correlated with AFRM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if COIN jumps, then AFRM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To COIN | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COIN | 100% | +1.11% | ||
| AFRM - COIN | 81% Closely correlated | +0.20% | ||
| MSTR - COIN | 81% Closely correlated | +1.48% | ||
| U - COIN | 74% Closely correlated | -0.79% | ||
| SQ - COIN | 72% Closely correlated | +1.97% | ||
| CFLT - COIN | 71% Closely correlated | +0.71% | ||
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