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Vitalii Liubimov's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jan 15, 2021

3 Smaller, Large-Cap Chip Stocks Expected to Move Higher

In the investment world the definition of a large-cap stock is any company that has a market cap over $10 billion. That leaves a lot of room between $10 billion and the $1 trillion market cap we now have for a few stocks. Combing Tickeron’s list of A.I. Trend Predictions from January 14, I couldn’t help but notice three semiconductor companies with smaller, but still large-cap, stocks that received bullish signals with high probabilities of success.

All three stocks get a “strong buy” rating from Tickeron’s scorecard and the signals all had confidence levels of 88%-89%. The three companies are ON Semiconductor (ON), Qorvo (QRVO), and Teradyne (TER). All three have market caps below $25 billion and they score very well on the fundamental and technical screener.

All three stocks get one negative score on their fundamental analysis, but it’s a different indicator in each case. Teradyne gets four positive readings from the fundamentals, Qorvo gets three positives, and ON Semiconductor gets two positive readings. The only area where all three score really well is in the Profit vs. Risk ratings. Teradyne and Qorvo both get great marks in the Price Growth Ratings.

The companies do even better on the technical analysis screener. All three stocks get four bullish signals. Teradyne doesn’t get any bearish signals while Qorvo and ON Semiconductor each get one bearish signal.

One of the more interesting observations was that the four bullish signals were the same for all three stocks. The signals came from the Aroon Indicator, the MACD indicators, the Momentum indicators, and the Moving Average indicators. The bearish signals for Qorvo and ON Semiconductor were both from the Bollinger Bands.

All three of these stocks have rallied tremendously since their March lows. ON Semiconductor is up nearly 350%, Teradyne is up over 200%, and Qorvo is up over 150%. The rallies have put all three stocks in overbought territory based on their 10-week RSIs and their weekly stochastic indicators. But as the saying goes, “overbought can always become more overbought.”

Looking at the sentiment indicators for the three stocks, something else caught my attention. The short interest ratios for both ON Semiconductor and for Teradyne are extremely high. Teradyne’s is 7.41 and ON’s is 8.04. The average short interest ratio is around 3.0. What the high short interest ratios suggest is that there is considerable bearish sentiment building toward the stocks.

From a contrarian perspective, a high short interest ratio is a good sign because it means, if the stock continues to rally, the short sellers can add buying pressure if they have to cover.

The complete comparison of the three stocks from Tickeron appears below. It shows how the stocks compare to one another and how they stack up against other stocks.

 

Related Ticker: SMH

SMH in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on November 20, 2025

SMH moved below its 50-day moving average on November 20, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 41 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for SMH moved out of overbought territory on October 30, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 46 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 07, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SMH as a result. In of 80 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SMH turned negative on November 04, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SMH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SMH advanced for three days, in of 346 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

SMH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 310 cases where SMH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ:AVGO), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd (NYSE:TSM), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU), Applied Materials (NASDAQ:AMAT), Lam Research Corp (NASDAQ:LRCX), QUALCOMM (NASDAQ:QCOM), Intel Corp (NASDAQ:INTC), KLA Corp (NASDAQ:KLAC).

Industry description

The investment seeks to replicate as closely as possible, before fees and expenses, the price and yield performance of the MVIS® US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index. The fund normally invests at least 80% of its total assets in securities that comprise the fund's benchmark index. The index includes common stocks and depositary receipts of U.S. exchange-listed companies in the semiconductor industry. Such companies may include medium-capitalization companies and foreign companies that are listed on a U.S. exchange. The fund is non-diversified.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the VanEck Semiconductor ETF ETF is 374.47B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 5.16B to 4.39T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 4.39T. The lowest valued company is OLED at 5.16B.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the VanEck Semiconductor ETF ETF was -6%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was -6%, and the average quarterly price growth was 37%. AVGO experienced the highest price growth at 2%, while AMD experienced the biggest fall at -17%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the VanEck Semiconductor ETF ETF was 30%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was 95% and the average quarterly volume growth was 61%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 44
P/E Growth Rating: 43
Price Growth Rating: 44
SMR Rating: 51
Profit Risk Rating: 55
Seasonality Score: 37 (-100 ... +100)
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These past five trading days, the ETF lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The ETF tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period.
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