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Jun 21, 2023

89% Chance of Uptrend: Heritage Global (HGBL) Technical Analysis and Market Overview

Heritage Global (HGBL) has recently shown promising signs of a potential uptrend in its price movement. On June 16, 2023, the Aroon Indicator for HGBL entered an uptrend, indicating the stock's positive momentum. A.I.dvisor's analysis detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70, while the AroonDown red line is below 30. This pattern suggests a bullish move could be on the horizon. Traders may consider taking a long position in the stock or exploring call options for the next month. Backtesting this indicator, A.I.dvisor found 240 similar cases, with 214 of them resulting in successful outcomes. Based on this data, the odds of success in a potential uptrend are estimated to be around 89%.
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Further emphasizing the positive outlook, the Aroon Indicator for HGBL triggered a bullish signal on the same day, confirming the upward move. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified the AroonUp green line above 70 and the AroonDown red line below 30, indicating a setup for a bullish move. Historical analysis of 240 similar instances revealed that in 214 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed, reinforcing the 89% chance of a continued upward trend.

Examining the market capitalization within the Investment Banks/Brokers Industry, the average market capitalization is 9.43B. Market capitalization for tickers in the group ranges from 13 to 928.5B. Notably, PKRSF holds the highest valuation in this group at 928.5B, while the lowest valued company is BFCH at 13.

In terms of price movements within the Investment Banks/Brokers Industry, the average weekly price growth is 1%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth is 2%, and the average quarterly price growth is 23%. Noteworthy outliers include GREE, which experienced the highest price growth at 78%, while TCJH saw the biggest fall at -77%.

Analyzing the volume dynamics, the average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Investment Banks/Brokers Industry is 112%. For the same stocks of the industry, the average monthly volume growth is 97%, and the average quarterly volume growth is 205%.

Heritage Global (HGBL) is showing strong indications of an uptrend, supported by the Aroon Indicator and historical analysis. Traders should consider the odds of success in an upward move and the market dynamics within the Investment Banks/Brokers Industry. Additionally, the fundamental analysis ratings provide further insights into HGBL's potential for growth.

Related Ticker: HGBL

HGBL sees its Stochastic Oscillator recovers from oversold territory

On September 18, 2023, the Stochastic Oscillator for HGBL moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 63 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In of the 63 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where HGBL's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 22 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for HGBL just turned positive on September 14, 2023. Looking at past instances where HGBL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 58 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HGBL advanced for three days, in of 209 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

HGBL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 08, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on HGBL as a result. In of 115 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HGBL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for HGBL entered a downward trend on September 18, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. HGBL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.089) is normal, around the industry mean (4.710). P/E Ratio (6.353) is within average values for comparable stocks, (35.759). HGBL's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.342). HGBL has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.035). P/S Ratio (2.031) is also within normal values, averaging (129.899).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS), Goldman Sachs Group (NYSE:GS), Charles Schwab Corp (The) (NYSE:SCHW), CME Group (NASDAQ:CME).

Industry description

These banks specialize in underwriting (helping companies with debt financing or equity issuances), IPOs, facilitating mergers and other corporate reorganizations and acting as a broker or financial advisor for institutions. They might also trade securities on their own accounts. Investment banks potentially thrive on expanding its network of clients, since that could help them increase profits. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and CME Group Inc are some of the largest investment banking companies.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Investment Banks/Brokers Industry is 9.46B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 13 to 928.5B. PKRSF holds the highest valuation in this group at 928.5B. The lowest valued company is BFCH at 13.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Investment Banks/Brokers Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 188%. IHLDF experienced the highest price growth at 68%, while GRNBF experienced the biggest fall at -32%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Investment Banks/Brokers Industry was -28%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 1% and the average quarterly volume growth was -36%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 63
Price Growth Rating: 58
SMR Rating: 69
Profit Risk Rating: 76
Seasonality Score: -14 (-100 ... +100)
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Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a company which engages in the provision of corporate and financial asset liquidation transactions, valuations, and advisory services

Industry InvestmentBanksBrokers

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
N/A
Address
12625 High Bluff Drive
Phone
+1 858 847-0659
Employees
75
Web
https://www.hginc.com
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HGBL and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor tells us that HGBL and MSCI have been poorly correlated (+22% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that HGBL and MSCI's prices will move in lockstep.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To HGBL
1D Price
Change %
HGBL100%
-0.33%
MSCI - HGBL
22%
Poorly correlated
+0.73%
RJF - HGBL
21%
Poorly correlated
+0.65%
FDS - HGBL
21%
Poorly correlated
+0.26%
EVR - HGBL
21%
Poorly correlated
+1.16%
JEF - HGBL
20%
Poorly correlated
-0.38%
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