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Jun 21, 2023

89% Chance of Uptrend: Heritage Global (HGBL) Technical Analysis and Market Overview

Heritage Global (HGBL) has recently shown promising signs of a potential uptrend in its price movement. On June 16, 2023, the Aroon Indicator for HGBL entered an uptrend, indicating the stock's positive momentum. A.I.dvisor's analysis detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70, while the AroonDown red line is below 30. This pattern suggests a bullish move could be on the horizon. Traders may consider taking a long position in the stock or exploring call options for the next month. Backtesting this indicator, A.I.dvisor found 240 similar cases, with 214 of them resulting in successful outcomes. Based on this data, the odds of success in a potential uptrend are estimated to be around 89%.
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Further emphasizing the positive outlook, the Aroon Indicator for HGBL triggered a bullish signal on the same day, confirming the upward move. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified the AroonUp green line above 70 and the AroonDown red line below 30, indicating a setup for a bullish move. Historical analysis of 240 similar instances revealed that in 214 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed, reinforcing the 89% chance of a continued upward trend.

Examining the market capitalization within the Investment Banks/Brokers Industry, the average market capitalization is 9.43B. Market capitalization for tickers in the group ranges from 13 to 928.5B. Notably, PKRSF holds the highest valuation in this group at 928.5B, while the lowest valued company is BFCH at 13.

In terms of price movements within the Investment Banks/Brokers Industry, the average weekly price growth is 1%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth is 2%, and the average quarterly price growth is 23%. Noteworthy outliers include GREE, which experienced the highest price growth at 78%, while TCJH saw the biggest fall at -77%.

Analyzing the volume dynamics, the average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Investment Banks/Brokers Industry is 112%. For the same stocks of the industry, the average monthly volume growth is 97%, and the average quarterly volume growth is 205%.

Heritage Global (HGBL) is showing strong indications of an uptrend, supported by the Aroon Indicator and historical analysis. Traders should consider the odds of success in an upward move and the market dynamics within the Investment Banks/Brokers Industry. Additionally, the fundamental analysis ratings provide further insights into HGBL's potential for growth.

Related Ticker: HGBL

Aroon Indicator for HGBL shows an upward move is likely

HGBL's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on June 20, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 254 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 254 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 27, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on HGBL as a result. In of 112 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

HGBL moved above its 50-day moving average on June 27, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for HGBL crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on July 02, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HGBL advanced for three days, in of 225 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 9 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HGBL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

HGBL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 11, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 80%.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. HGBL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.595) is normal, around the industry mean (5.641). P/E Ratio (8.030) is within average values for comparable stocks, (35.678). HGBL's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.610). HGBL has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.030). P/S Ratio (1.645) is also within normal values, averaging (109.850).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS), Goldman Sachs Group (NYSE:GS), Charles Schwab Corp (The) (NYSE:SCHW), CME Group (NASDAQ:CME).

Industry description

These banks specialize in underwriting (helping companies with debt financing or equity issuances), IPOs, facilitating mergers and other corporate reorganizations and acting as a broker or financial advisor for institutions. They might also trade securities on their own accounts. Investment banks potentially thrive on expanding its network of clients, since that could help them increase profits. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and CME Group Inc are some of the largest investment banking companies.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Investment Banks/Brokers Industry is 11.26B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 13 to 928.5B. PKRSF holds the highest valuation in this group at 928.5B. The lowest valued company is BFCH at 13.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Investment Banks/Brokers Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 16,327%. MATEF experienced the highest price growth at 150%, while SKYC experienced the biggest fall at -51%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Investment Banks/Brokers Industry was 78%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 4% and the average quarterly volume growth was -26%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 59
P/E Growth Rating: 63
Price Growth Rating: 50
SMR Rating: 67
Profit Risk Rating: 72
Seasonality Score: 19 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
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General Information

a company which engages in the provision of corporate and financial asset liquidation transactions, valuations, and advisory services

Industry InvestmentBanksBrokers

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
N/A
Address
12625 High Bluff Drive
Phone
+1 858 847-0659
Employees
82
Web
https://www.hginc.com
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