Healthcare sector ETF (XLV) trending lower since November
The overall market recovered from the selling that hit in December and that led the S&P 500 to a new all-time high on May 1. But not all stocks and sectors have recovered fully from the December selloff. One sector that has yet to recover fully is the healthcare sector. The Healthcare Select Sector SPDR (NYSE: XLV) peaked just above $90 back in November and it has yet to get back to that point.
In fact, if you connect the high from November with the highs from March and April, you can see the downward sloped trend line the ETF has formed. The fund moved above the trend line on June 11, but it was unable to close the above-said trend line.
We see that the 10-day RSI and the daily stochastic readings both hit overbought readings in the past few days before turning lower. The stochastic readings made a bearish crossover on June 11 and in the recent past, such events were not a good sign for the fund.
The Tickeron Trend Prediction Engine is also showing that the XLV may have a hard time in the coming days. The tool generated a bearish signal for the XLV on June 10 and the signal showed a confidence level of 70%. For the prediction to be successful, the fund will need to drop at least 4% over the next month. Past predictions on the XLV have been successful 84% of the time.
XLV in -0.77% downward trend, sliding for three consecutive days on November 20, 2025
Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where XLV declined for three days, in of 285 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 11 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
XLV broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 11, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 07, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on XLV as a result. In of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XLV just turned positive on November 11, 2025. Looking at past instances where XLV's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The 50-day moving average for XLV moved above the 200-day moving average on October 17, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XLV advanced for three days, in of 346 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 294 cases where XLV Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
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