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published in Blogs
Jun 24, 2025

A Close Look at Chicago Rivet & Machine's (CVR) Weekly Loss as the Penny Stock Drops 15.1% to $11.53

Chicago Rivet & Machine Co. (CVR), a penny stock trading under the ticker CVR, experienced a significant decline of 15.1% in the week ending June 23, 2025, closing at $11.53 per share. This sharp drop positioned CVR as one of the top weekly losers among penny stocks, raising questions about its performance, market dynamics, and potential trading strategies. This article, written from the perspective of a financial analyst, writer, and artificial intelligence specialist, explores the factors behind CVR’s decline, compares it to correlated stocks, evaluates inverse ETF trading opportunities, and highlights the role of Tickeron’s AI-driven tools in navigating such market movements. Additionally, it incorporates key market trends as of June 23, 2025, and provides actionable insights for traders.

These past five trading days, the stock lost -9.30% with an average daily volume of 266 shares traded. The stock tracked a drawdown of -14.53% for this period.

Understanding CVR’s 15.1% Weekly Decline

Chicago Rivet & Machine Co., a manufacturer of fasteners and rivets for industrial applications, has long operated in a niche market. However, its stock price volatility, characteristic of penny stocks, was evident in the week ending June 23, 2025. The 15.1% drop to $11.53 reflects a combination of macroeconomic pressures and company-specific challenges. According to data from Tickeron.com, CVR’s market capitalization stood at approximately $11.2 million, with a float of 0.85 million shares and a short interest of 1.3%. The stock’s low liquidity and small market cap amplify price swings, making it susceptible to rapid declines during bearish market sentiment.

Technical indicators provide further context. The 10-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) for CVR entered oversold territory on June 18, 2025, signaling potential selling pressure. Additionally, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) turned negative on June 5, 2025, indicating a bearish trend. In 78% of past instances where CVR’s MACD declined for three days, the stock continued to fall over the following month, aligning with the recent 15.1% loss. These metrics, available on Tickeron’s CVR analysis page), suggest that the decline may be part of a broader downward trend, prompting traders to monitor for reversal signals.

Key Market Trends on June 23, 2025

The broader market on June 23, 2025, showed mixed signals, with some sectors outperforming others. According to Tickeron.com, technology-focused ETFs like the Invesco AI and Next Gen Software ETF (IGPT) advanced, with a Momentum Indicator crossing above the 0 level on June 22, 2025, indicating bullish momentum. Conversely, energy stocks like Vertex Energy (VTNRQ) faced volatility, with analysts revising 12-month price targets downward. The Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund (VTI) also saw a three-day decline, projecting further potential weakness with a 70% probability of continued downside. These trends highlight a divergence between growth-oriented tech investments and traditional industrial sectors, which likely contributed to CVR’s underperformance as a fastener manufacturer tied to cyclical industries like automotive and construction.

Social media sentiment on platforms like X, tracked by Tickeron’s AI tools, showed bearish discussions around small-cap industrial stocks, with traders citing rising interest rates and supply chain constraints as headwinds. While CVR-specific chatter was limited, the broader sentiment aligned with its 15.1% decline, underscoring the importance of monitoring real-time market narratives.

Comparison with a Highly Correlated Stock: SXC (SunCoke Energy)

To contextualize CVR’s performance, consider SunCoke Energy (SXC), a stock with a high historical correlation to CVR due to its exposure to industrial and cyclical markets. As of June 23, 2025, SXC traded at $9.87, down 8.3% for the week, according to Tickeron’s SXC analysis. While SXC also faced downward pressure, its smaller decline suggests greater resilience, possibly due to its larger market cap ($820 million) and higher liquidity. Both stocks exhibited negative MACD signals in May 2025, but SXC’s Momentum Indicator briefly turned positive on June 12, 2025, hinting at a potential recovery. Traders analyzing CVR may find value in monitoring SXC’s movements, as correlated stocks often provide early signals of sector-wide trends.

Trading CVR with an Inverse ETF: A Strategic Hedge

For traders seeking to capitalize on CVR’s volatility, pairing it with an inverse ETF exhibiting strong anti-correlation can be a powerful strategy. One such ETF is the ProShares Short SmallCap600 (SBB), which inversely tracks small-cap stocks like CVR. As CVR fell 15.1% in the week ending June 23, 2025, SBB gained approximately 4.2%, reflecting its anti-correlation. By holding a long position in SBB alongside a short position in CVR, traders could hedge against further downside while profiting from CVR’s decline. This approach, detailed on Tickeron’s trading resources, leverages the inverse ETF’s ability to rise when small-cap stocks fall, offering a balanced risk-reward profile in volatile markets.

Leveraging Tickeron’s AI Virtual Agents for CVR Trading

Tickeron’s AI Virtual Agents provide a cutting-edge solution for navigating CVR’s volatility. Powered by Financial Learning Models (FLMs), these agents combine technical analysis with machine learning to identify bullish and bearish signals in real time. For CVR, Tickeron’s Double Agents recently flagged a bearish pattern on June 17, 2025, predicting a 65% probability of continued decline based on historical data. These insights, accessible via Tickeron’s platform, enable traders to make informed decisions with greater precision. Additionally, Tickeron’s user-friendly trading bots, designed for beginners, allow seamless execution of CVR trades, while high-liquidity stock robots ensure efficient order fulfillment. By integrating AI-driven tools, traders can stay ahead of market shifts and optimize their strategies.

Outlook and Trading Considerations

The 15.1% weekly decline in CVR to $11.53 underscores the risks and opportunities inherent in penny stocks. While technical indicators suggest potential for further downside, reversal signals like an RSI rebound could present short-term buying opportunities. Traders should monitor correlated stocks like SXC, explore inverse ETF strategies with SBB, and leverage Tickeron’s AI Virtual Agents for data-driven insights. As market trends on June 23, 2025, favor technology over industrials, CVR’s recovery may hinge on broader economic stabilization. For now, caution and strategic hedging remain key.

 Disclaimers and Limitations

Related Ticker: CVR, SXC

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Illinois Tool Works (NYSE:ITW), Ingersoll Rand (NYSE:IR), Generac Holdings (NYSE:GNRC).

Industry description

The industry makes and maintains machines for consumers, the industry, and most other companies. While it has traditionally been categorized as heavy industry, some smaller companies are also branching into the light category. The industry is pivotal in providing the equipment for production in businesses like agriculture, mining, industry and construction, gas, electricity and water utilities. It also supplies supporting equipment for almost all sectors of the economy, such as equipment for heating, and air conditioning of buildings. Illinois Tool Works Inc., Parker-Hannifin Corporation and Rockwell Automation Inc are some of the major U.S. companies operating in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Industrial Machinery Industry is 9.41B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 59.62 to 135.33B. SMAWF holds the highest valuation in this group at 135.33B. The lowest valued company is KRNT at 59.62.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Industrial Machinery Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 4%, and the average quarterly price growth was 6%. IHICF experienced the highest price growth at 58%, while HSYDF experienced the biggest fall at -22%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Industrial Machinery Industry was 42%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 24% and the average quarterly volume growth was -38%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 54
P/E Growth Rating: 60
Price Growth Rating: 57
SMR Rating: 67
Profit Risk Rating: 71
Seasonality Score: 4 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a producer of rivets, cold-formed fasteners, screw machine products and automatic rivet setting machines

Industry IndustrialMachinery

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Metal Fabrication
Address
901 Frontenac Road
Phone
+1 630 357-8500
Employees
208
Web
https://www.chicagorivet.com
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