AB InBev (BUD, $73.65) Gets a Rating Upgrade from RBC Capital Markets Analyst
RBC Capital Markets upgraded its recommendation of beverage maker AB InBev, following the latter’s debt refinancing.
Shares of the world’s biggest beer company got upgraded to a top pick rating by RBC analyst James Edwardes Jones. Jones indicated that AB InBev’s debt is under control, especially after the company refinanced parts of it.
After AB InBev borrowed a record $75 billion to buy SABMiller in 2016, the former’s debt level peaked at $100 billion. In January, AB InBev issued $15.5 billion in corporate bonds to pay off some of the debt due for repayment between 2021 and 2024 as well as 2026. Jones said, "The recent refinancing was sensible," and added, "It has replaced peaks of debt repayment with a smoother schedule which, at current exchange rates, should be doable from free cash flow, while significant appreciation in the US$ would be manageable."
Jones also suggested that AB InBev’s valuation should be gauged by its price-to-earnings ratio (which is relatively less expensive in this case) versus its enterprise value/EBITDA (relatively expensive) ratio. He cited the beer company’s non-cyclicality as a reason.
Last year, AB InBev’s stock prices suffered declines, apparently due to concerns over the company’s decreasing beer sales coupled with its burgeoning debt.
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Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BUD advanced for three days, in of 298 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 215 cases where BUD Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for BUD moved out of overbought territory on October 02, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 30 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 30 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 25, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BUD as a result. In of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for BUD turned negative on October 08, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 41 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BUD declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
BUD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 27, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.471) is normal, around the industry mean (3.922). P/E Ratio (23.500) is within average values for comparable stocks, (28.956). BUD's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.970) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.099). Dividend Yield (0.014) settles around the average of (0.024) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.114) is also within normal values, averaging (6.048).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. BUD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BUD’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a holding company whose subsidiaries manufactures and distributes alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages
Industry BeveragesAlcoholic