Abandon-Baby Top on Goldman Sachs could be a bad sign
Investment banking giant Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) reported first-quarter earnings results on Monday and the results were a disappointment to investors. The company posted earnings of $5.71 per share on revenue of $8.81 billion. Analysts were expecting the company to earn $4.74 per share on revenue of $8.97 billion.
The stock fell 3.82% on the day as investors processed the information. What was really interesting is what the gap lower did to Goldman’s chart. The stock gapped higher on Friday after JPMorgan beat on earnings and revenues as investors expected similar results for Goldman. Instead, the stock gapped lower on Monday and that left Friday’s candle alone—it didn’t touch Thursday’s candle or Monday’s candle.
This pattern is known as an abandon-baby top and it is viewed as a sign of more bearish action going forward.
The overall fundamentals for Goldman are below average in several aspects. The earnings fell by 18% in the first quarter compared to last year’s results and sales were down 2%. Both of those figures are below average.
The company’s return on equity is at 11.6% and that is average to slightly below average. One area where Goldman is above average is its profit margin of 23.8%.
Goldman is also below average on its price performance over the past year. The Relative Price Strength Price Index from Investor’s Business Daily is a 28. This means that 72% of stocks in IBD’s database have outperformed Goldman in the past year.
GS's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GS turned positive on June 18, 2025. Looking at past instances where GS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 05, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on GS as a result. In of 73 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The 50-day moving average for GS moved above the 200-day moving average on June 10, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GS advanced for three days, in of 341 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 282 cases where GS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 5 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 13 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
GS broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 24, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. GS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 68, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.270) is normal, around the industry mean (5.755). P/E Ratio (18.081) is within average values for comparable stocks, (35.318). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.284) is also within normal values, averaging (2.610). Dividend Yield (0.026) settles around the average of (0.031) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.091) is also within normal values, averaging (82.424).
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General Information
a provider of investment banking, securities and asset management services
Industry InvestmentBanksBrokers
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