Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF, $18.31) reaffirms fiscal Q4 guidance
Abercrombie & Fitch re-iterated its guidance for its fiscal fourth quarter ending in February.
In the retailer’s reaffirming projections, comparable-store sales is in a range of flat to up +2%. In the year-ago quarter, it increased +3%.
Net sales guidance is in a range of flat to up +2% (which includes adverse currency impact of about $5 million).
As for gross profit re-iteration, the company expects about -150 basis points decline in the gross profit rate from 59.1% in the year-earlier period. Seventy basis points of that decline is attributed to currency fluctuations and expected China tariffs.
CEO Fran Horowitz said that the company experienced record revenues in the U.S. over Black Friday week ( including the Tuesday before Thanksgiving through Cyber Monday).
In a separate event, Chief Financial Officer Scott Lipesky indicated at the ICR Conference in Orlando, Florida, that the company is willing to exit even the top-notch shopping centers if it wants to reduce its physical presence. “We’re willing to walk away from any mall at this point,” he said . “For us, it’s about getting the right store in the right location at the right size.” (as mentioned in Bloomberg).
Momentum Indicator for ANF turns positive, indicating new upward trend
ANF saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on June 26, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 73 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 73 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ANF just turned positive on June 26, 2025. Looking at past instances where ANF's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
ANF moved above its 50-day moving average on June 18, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ANF advanced for three days, in of 345 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for ANF moved out of overbought territory on July 15, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 60 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 60 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 63 cases where ANF's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ANF declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
ANF broke above its upper Bollinger Band on July 01, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.431) is normal, around the industry mean (3.964). P/E Ratio (21.196) is within average values for comparable stocks, (110.742). ANF's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (1.444). ANF has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.028). P/S Ratio (1.624) is also within normal values, averaging (1.139).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ANF’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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General Information
an operator of apparel and personal care stores
Industry ApparelFootwearRetail
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