Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF, $18.31) reaffirms fiscal Q4 guidance
Abercrombie & Fitch re-iterated its guidance for its fiscal fourth quarter ending in February.
In the retailer’s reaffirming projections, comparable-store sales is in a range of flat to up +2%. In the year-ago quarter, it increased +3%.
Net sales guidance is in a range of flat to up +2% (which includes adverse currency impact of about $5 million).
As for gross profit re-iteration, the company expects about -150 basis points decline in the gross profit rate from 59.1% in the year-earlier period. Seventy basis points of that decline is attributed to currency fluctuations and expected China tariffs.
CEO Fran Horowitz said that the company experienced record revenues in the U.S. over Black Friday week ( including the Tuesday before Thanksgiving through Cyber Monday).
In a separate event, Chief Financial Officer Scott Lipesky indicated at the ICR Conference in Orlando, Florida, that the company is willing to exit even the top-notch shopping centers if it wants to reduce its physical presence. “We’re willing to walk away from any mall at this point,” he said . “For us, it’s about getting the right store in the right location at the right size.” (as mentioned in Bloomberg).
ANF's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for ANF entered a downward trend on March 24, 2025. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 156 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 156 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ANF declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ANF's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 18 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on March 27, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ANF as a result. In of 73 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ANF just turned positive on March 18, 2025. Looking at past instances where ANF's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ANF advanced for three days, in of 363 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
ANF may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.431) is normal, around the industry mean (3.964). P/E Ratio (21.196) is within average values for comparable stocks, (110.742). ANF's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (1.444). ANF has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.028). P/S Ratio (1.624) is also within normal values, averaging (1.139).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. ANF’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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General Information
an operator of apparel and personal care stores
Industry ApparelFootwearRetail