Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF, $18.97) misses Q1 same-store sales growth estimates, announces three more store closures; shares plunge -22%
Abercrombie & Fitch shares took a -22% nosedive in early trading Wednesday, following disappointing same-store sale growth and the company’s plans to close more stores.
The retail company’s same-store sales increased +1% during the fiscal first quarter, missing analysts’ estimates of +1.3% (based on Refinitiv survey of analysts).
However, the company’s total sales of $734 million exceeded analysts’ expectations of $733.4 million. Revenue was also higher from the year-ago quarter’s $730.9 million.
Net loss of -29 cents a share for the quarter was narrower than analysts’ anticipated -43 cents loss. The bottom line was also better compared to the year-ago quarter’s loss of -62 cents a share.
Looking ahead, Abercrombie said that it projects second quarter net sales growth to be flat to up +2% - which is a lower range compared to analysts’ estimates of +2.8% growth. For the full year, Abercrombie predicts that net sales growth would range between +2% and +4%.
The company also announced on Wednesday that it will shutter three more flagship stores — a Hollister store in the SoHo neighborhood in New York; an Abercrombie store in Fukuoka, Japan; and an Abercrombie store in Milan, Italy. That would bring the total number of flagship store closures since 2017 to five.
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Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
Momentum Indicator for ANF turns negative, indicating new downward trend
ANF saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on August 17, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 69 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 69 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for ANF moved out of overbought territory on August 12, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 55 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 55 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ANF turned negative on August 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 40 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ANF declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
ANF broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 03, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 51 cases where ANF's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The 50-day moving average for ANF moved above the 200-day moving average on August 10, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ANF advanced for three days, in of 337 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 285 cases where ANF Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ANF’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.614) is normal, around the industry mean (3.515). P/E Ratio (10.543) is within average values for comparable stocks, (22.291). ANF's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.839). ANF has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.033). P/S Ratio (0.975) is also within normal values, averaging (0.748).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ANF’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock better than average.
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General Information
an operator of apparel and personal care stores
Industry ApparelFootwearRetail
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