Jonathan Merton's Avatar
published in Blogs
May 16, 2023

AFRM Trading Update: Robot Generates Impressive 5.42% Increase

This article explores the success of an AI trading robot, specifically the "Swing trader: Top High-Volatility Stocks (TA)" from Tickeron's robot factory. Over the course of a week, this AI trading robot delivered exceptional performance, generating a remarkable return of 5.42% for AFRM (Affirm Holdings Inc.).

The robot's strategy was guided by the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator, which turned positive on May 08, 2023. Moreover, historical analysis reveals a strong correlation between AFRM's positive MACD and subsequent stock price appreciation. Additionally, we will delve into the recent earnings report, which showcased surprising results for AFRM. Let's explore these developments in more detail.

Positive MACD Indicates Favorable Market Conditions: On May 08, 2023, the MACD indicator for AFRM turned positive, signaling a potential shift in market sentiment. Historical analysis reveals that in 18 out of 19 previous instances where AFRM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise over the following month. This pattern suggests a strong correlation between a positive MACD and a continued upward trend, with odds of 90% in favor of further price appreciation. The AI trading robot capitalized on this bullish signal, resulting in an impressive 5.42% return for AFRM.

Earnings Report Surpasses Expectations: The most recent earnings report for AFRM, released on May 09, revealed earnings per share of -68 cents. While negative earnings might raise concerns, it is important to note that the actual figure beat the estimated earnings of -92 cents. This positive deviation from expectations indicates better-than-anticipated performance, which often translates into increased investor confidence. With 3.89 million shares outstanding, AFRM's current market capitalization stands at 3.76 billion dollars.

Implications and Conclusion: The success of the "Swing trader: Top High-Volatility Stocks (TA)" AI trading robot from Tickeron's robot factory, in conjunction with the positive MACD and surprising earnings results, paint an optimistic picture for AFRM. The robot's ability to capture the opportunity presented by a positive MACD showcases the potential of AI-driven strategies in identifying favorable market conditions. Additionally, the earnings report exceeding expectations further reinforces the positive sentiment surrounding AFRM.

Investors should consider these factors when evaluating their investment decisions. While past performance is not indicative of future results, the historical correlation between positive MACD and subsequent price appreciation suggests the possibility of continued upward momentum for AFRM.

Related Ticker: AFRM

Momentum Indicator for AFRM turns positive, indicating new upward trend

AFRM saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on May 08, 2023. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 38 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AFRM just turned positive on May 08, 2023. Looking at past instances where AFRM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 19 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

AFRM moved above its 50-day moving average on May 08, 2023 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for AFRM crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 12, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 4 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AFRM advanced for three days, in of 130 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for AFRM moved out of overbought territory on May 19, 2023. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 15 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 15 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 29 cases where AFRM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AFRM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

AFRM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 09, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.658) is normal, around the industry mean (31.381). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (167.504). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (4.103). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.033) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.734) is also within normal values, averaging (70.843).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AFRM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AFRM’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), SERVICENOW (NYSE:NOW), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), Shopify (NYSE:SHOP), Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ:PANW), Activision Blizzard (NASDAQ:ATVI).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 7.68B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 2.48T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 2.48T. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 8%, and the average quarterly price growth was 27%. ABXXD experienced the highest price growth at 216%, while DTRK experienced the biggest fall at -67%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 10%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 18% and the average quarterly volume growth was 164%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 72
Price Growth Rating: 60
SMR Rating: 83
Profit Risk Rating: 89
Seasonality Score: 13 (-100 ... +100)
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