Go to the list of all blogs
Harry Richardson's Avatar
published in Blogs
Sep 14, 2020
After a Week of Selling, Winning and Losing Industries Emerge

After a Week of Selling, Winning and Losing Industries Emerge

Since the low in March, the overall market has gone through two pretty distinct rallies with brief interruptions in June and now again at the beginning of September. Using the S&P 500 as a barometer for the overall market, we see that the index was up 44.5% from March 23 through June 8. From June 8 through June 26, the index fell 7%. It’s hard to call a 7% decline a pullback, but the period on the chart looks more like a short-term disruption.

The second rally took place from June 26 through September 2 and it saw the index gain 19%. From September 2 through September 10, the index fell 6.75%. It isn’t clear just yet whether the current disruption in the rally is over yet or if it is the start of something bigger.

It’s unclear whether the current disruption will last longer or become something more. But I wanted to find out which sectors and industries have performed the best during the rallies and during the disruptions.

I started with the current disruption and went to Tickeron’s Group Trends Screener to find out which groups have been performing the best and the worst over the last week. On the positive side, four of the top five groups are in the healthcare sector. The Orphan group was the top performer and it refers to rare diseases, and companies in this category are biotech entities developing treatments for those diseases. The other healthcare oriented groups are Central Nervous System, Immunotherapy, and Novel Medical. All of the groups gained 4% or more as the overall market fell.

As for the downside, all 10 of the worst performing groups were associated with the oil and gas industries—the energy sector. Everything from shale, offshore drilling, oil field services were on the list of worst performers. The losses ranged from 8.36% to 11.75%.  

After looking at the performances from the different groups over the past week, I went back to look at how the different sectors performed during the different phases. I broke them down in the table below with the performances in the first rally, the first consolidation, and then the second rally. The energy sector was far and away the top performer as it rebounded from the temporary negative oil prices and the sector almost doubled from March 23 through June 8.

I used the Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) to represent the overall sector. Since June 8, the energy sector has fallen 29.6% and that is by far the worst performance of the bunch. We see the sector also took the worst hit during the first consolidation.

The tech sector, as represented by the Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK), held up the best during the first consolidation and it was the top performer during the second rally with a gain of 25.1%. So far, in the current pullback, the tech sector has been the worst performer and is down over 10%.

To summarize what has happened so far, the top performing sector in the first rally became the worst performer in the first disruption. The top performer during the first disruption continued on to be the top performing sector in the second rally. Now it has been the worst performer in the second disruption. This presents an interesting dilemma and it has me wondering what the results will be once this disruption is over.

So far during the current disruption, the two sectors that have held up the best are materials and utilities. Will one of those two sectors be the top performer when the next rally happens? It is worth keeping an eye on.

Related Ticker: XLE

Contributor

Harry Richardson — Algorithmic Trader & Strategy Developer Harry is an algorithmic trader specializing in impulse and breakout trading strategies across cryptocurrency and equity markets. With more than 10 years of experience in developing automated trading systems, he focuses on building structured algorithms designed to capture momentum while maintaining strict risk control. His approach combines quantitative analysis, real-market execution, and continuous performance monitoring. Vitalii prioritizes risk management, drawdown control, and strategy stability over short-term optimization, ensuring algorithms are adaptable to changing market conditions. He has developed and tested hundreds of automated strategies, working extensively with live trading environments, forward testing, and portfolio-level algorithm management. His work centers on transforming trading ideas into fully operational, scalable automated systems.


XLE's Stochastic Oscillator is remaining in overbought zone for 3 days

The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for XLE moved out of overbought territory on September 03, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 47 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XLE declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

XLE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 11, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on August 10, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on XLE as a result. In of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XLE just turned positive on September 01, 2026. Looking at past instances where XLE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XLE advanced for three days, in of 390 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 349 cases where XLE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation (NYSE:XOM), Chevron Corp (NYSE:CVX), ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP), MARATHON PETROLEUM Corp (NYSE:MPC), Valero Energy Corp (NYSE:VLO), Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX), SLB Limited (NYSE:SLB), EOG Resources (NYSE:EOG), Kinder Morgan (NYSE:KMI), Targa Resources Corp (NYSE:TRGP).

Industry description

The investment seeks to provide investment results that, before expenses, correspond generally to the price and yield performance of publicly traded equity securities of companies in the Energy Select Sector Index. In seeking to track the performance of the index, the fund employs a replication strategy. It generally invests substantially all, but at least 95%, of its total assets in the securities comprising the index. The index includes companies that have been identified as Energy companies by the GICS®, including securities of companies from the following industries: oil, gas and consumable fuels; and energy equipment and services. It is non-diversified.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the State Street®EngySelSectSPDR®ETF ETF is 114.23B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 15.26B to 660.62B. XOM holds the highest valuation in this group at 660.62B. The lowest valued company is APA at 15.26B.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the State Street®EngySelSectSPDR®ETF ETF was 0%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was 13%, and the average quarterly price growth was 14%. VLO experienced the highest price growth at 6%, while XOM experienced the biggest fall at -2%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the State Street®EngySelSectSPDR®ETF ETF was 8%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was -15% and the average quarterly volume growth was -21%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 49
P/E Growth Rating: 44
Price Growth Rating: 23
SMR Rating: 50
Profit Risk Rating: 25
Seasonality Score: 62 (-100 ... +100)
View a ticker or compare two or three
XLE
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
Interact to see
Advertisement
A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

Category Energy

Profile
Details
Category
Equity Energy
Address
One Lincoln Street Cph0326Boston
Phone
N/A
Web
www.spdrs.com
Interact to see
Advertisement
CIEN shares plunged 14.25% on March 5, 2026, trading at $294.59 versus the prior session's close of $343.55 — a decline of $48.96 per share. The steep sell-off came despite a strong earnings beat: adjusted EPS of $1.35 crushed the consensus estimate of $1.05 by 28.6%, and revenue of $1.43 billion rose 33% year-over-year.
Shares of Victoria's Secret & Co. (VSCO) tumbled approximately 11.87% in early trading on March 5, falling from a prior close of $60.01 to an intraday price near $52.89, with an intraday low of $51.61. The steep decline came despite a Q4 2025 earnings beat, with adjusted EPS of $2.77 topping the consensus estimate of $2.46 and revenue of $2.27 billion exceeding the expected $2.22 billion.
AMPX shares surged +18.57% in today's session, trading at $14.88 versus the prior close of $12.55. Primary catalyst: Q4 and full-year fiscal 2025 earnings, reported before the open, delivered a decisive beat on both EPS and revenue expectations.
EXPE shares are trading up approximately +9.70% intraday on March 5, 2026, rising from a prior close of $221.25 to around $242.71. March 5 is the stock's ex-dividend date for a newly raised quarterly dividend of $0.48 per share — a 20% increase from the prior payout — signaling strong management confidence in cash generation.
SES shares are down approximately 30% intraday on Thursday, March 5, 2026, trading near $1.19 against the prior session's close of $1.71. The primary catalyst is deeply disappointing 2026 revenue guidance of $30–$35 million — roughly 41% below the Wall Street consensus of $51.67 million.
What if a single trading robot could harvest volatility across semiconductors, oil, and communication technology — simultaneously — while filtering out the noise that burns most active traders? That's exactly what the Semiconductors, Oil & Energy, Communication Tech AI Trading Agent delivers. Over the past 364 days (March 5, 2025 – March 4, 2026), this agent generated a Total Net Profit of $20,641.78 on $500-per-trade sizing — an eye-catching Annualized Return of 68.58%. With 1,534 closed trades, a 61.86% win rate, and a dominant Profit Factor of 3.02
What if an AI trading agent could turn market chaos into a 45.55% annualized return? That's exactly what Tickeron's HUBB, AVGO, ITA, QQQ – AI Trading Agent (4 Tickers, 5min) has delivered across 106 days of live trading — posting $11,605.87 in total net profit from a per-trade allocation of $2,500–$8,250, a 69.59% win rate across 444 closed trades, and a Profit Factor of 2.18.
83.97% Win Rate | 87.10% Annualized Return | $44,879.15 Total Net Profit | Profit Factor: 4.92 | Sharpe Ratio: 1.13
HYMC’s latest sell‑off is part of a broader downtrend that accelerated after the company delayed its PEA, which investors interpreted as an uncertainty event despite no immediate change in reported resources or cash position. Technical indicators such as HYMC breaking above its upper Bollinger Band and then rolling over, along with the Aroon indicator turning down in late February, signaled an elevated risk of a sharp pullback that is now playing out.
DSGR reported quarterly EPS of about 0.18 dollars, badly missing consensus estimates of roughly 0.32–0.33 dollars per share and marking a sharp drop from 0.42 dollars a year ago, which triggered a large negative earnings surprise. Revenue of about 481–482 million dollars came in below expectations near 496 million dollars, and adjusted EBITDA margins compressed to about 7.4% from 9.3% in the prior‑year quarter, highlighting cost and mix pressures.
Shares of CRDO surged +11.90% on March 5, 2026, closing at $114.74 versus a prior close of $102.54. Primary catalyst: Strong Q3 fiscal 2026 earnings reported on March 2, with revenue of $407 million beating consensus estimates by more than $19 million and non-GAAP EPS of $1.07 surpassing forecasts by $0.29.
SPY is trading down approximately -1.30% in Friday premarket, slipping from the prior session's close of $681.31 to around $677–$678. The primary catalyst is a sharply negative February 2026 Nonfarm Payrolls report, which showed a decline of 92,000 jobs — a massive miss versus the consensus forecast of +50,000.
WAL shares dropped approximately 12% in early trading on March 6, 2026, from a prior close of ~$80.74 to roughly ~$71, marking one of the stock's sharpest single-session declines in recent months. The primary catalyst was a surprise announcement that Jefferies Financial Group declined to make a $126.4 million payment owed to Western Alliance Bank under a forbearance agreement tied to the LAM Trade Finance loan portfolio.
MRVL shares surged approximately +15% at the open on March 6, 2026, after closing at $75.68 the prior session. The primary catalyst was a strong Q4 fiscal 2026 earnings report released after the close on March 5, with non-GAAP EPS of $0.80 beating the $0.79 consensus estimate and revenue of $2.219 billion exceeding expectations.
Shares of Day One Biopharmaceuticals surged approximately +65.57% on March 6, 2026, rising from a prior close of $12.78 to an intraday price around $21.16. The primary catalyst driving the session's gains is acquisition and takeover speculation, with reports circulating that Day One may be a buyout target.
GAP shares fell approximately 13% in early trading on March 6, 2026, following the company's Q4 fiscal 2025 earnings report released after market close on March 5. Gap met Wall Street's Q4 estimates on both earnings per share and revenue, but fiscal 2026 guidance fell short of analyst expectations.
Shares of Red Cat Holdings surged approximately +22% in early Friday trading on March 6, 2026, building on a powerful week of momentum in defense drone stocks. The primary catalyst is escalating geopolitical conflict — U.S. and Israeli military strikes on Iran, which dramatically boosted investor appetite for domestic drone and defense technology companies.
The primary catalyst for the decline was the pricing of a secondary offering of roughly 9 million shares at about 22.25 dollars per share by Ingram Holdco, an affiliate of Platinum Equity, with all proceeds going to the selling shareholder and not to Ingram Micro itself. Investors often view such secondary offerings as short‑term bearish because they increase the freely tradable float and signal that a major holder is cashing out part of its stake, even if the company’s operations remain intact.
Rumble reported Q4 2025 revenue of about 27.1 million dollars, below consensus expectations near 29 million dollars and down roughly 10% year over year, confirming that top‑line momentum has stalled. GAAP EPS came in at a loss of around 0.13 dollars, missing analyst estimates by roughly 0.05 dollars and underscoring that the platform remains far from break‑even despite prior cost cuts and efficiency efforts.
Tronox’s Q4 2025 non‑GAAP EPS came in at a loss of about 0.60 dollars, missing expectations by roughly 0.02 dollars, while revenue of around 730 million dollars grew about 8% year over year, showing volume resilience but weak earnings power.