After Thursday’s Big Selloff, Outlooks are Mixed for Select Sector SPDR ETFs
September 3 saw the most significant across the board selling the market has seen in the last three months. As I write this during the morning session of Friday, September 4, we are seeing some following through selling with all 11 main sectors down—just as they were on Thursday.
Looking at Tickeron’s Scorecard for the 11 Select Sector SPDR ETFs, there are only three sectors that are considered buys at this point. The Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF) is rated as the only “strong buy”. The Real Estate Select Sector SPDR (XLRE) and the Communication Services Select Sector SPDR (XLC) are each rated as a “buy”.
There are four sectors that are rated as “holds”. The one that jumped out at me was the Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK) which has been hit the hardest over the last two days. The hold ratings also include the consumer staples sector, the consumer discretionary sector, and the healthcare sector.
On the bearish side, we see four sector ETFs with “sell” or “strong sell” ratings. The only one rated as a “strong sell” is the Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE). The ETFs that are rated as “sells” right now are the Industrial Select Sector SPDR (XLI), the Utilities Select Sector SPDR (XLU), and the Materials Select Sector SPDR (XLB).
Because these are ETFs, we don’t have a fundamental screener like we would with individual stocks. But we do have the technical analysis screener and it shows a number of bearish signals from two specific indicators.
The RSI Indicator saw six of the sector SPDR ETFs generate bearish signals on September 3. They included the ETFs for consumer staples, consumer discretionary, technology, industrials, communication services, and materials. The financial sector generated a bearish signal 15 days ago.
The other indicator that has produced a great deal of bearish signals is the Bollinger Bands. Four of the select sector SPDRs produced bearish signals on 9/3 and another one produced a bearish signal on 9/2. The sectors seeing the bearish signals from the Bollinger Bands include consumer staples, real estate, healthcare, and industrials. The one that generated a bearish signal on Wednesday was the materials sector.
If we go out a little further, 10 of the 11 select sector SPDRs have generated bearish signals from the Bollinger Bands within the last 20 days. The only sector that hasn’t generated a sell signal is the energy sector.
The idea behind this article was to show investors where the various select sector SPDR ETFs stand after the big selloff on Thursday. I wanted to show how the artificial intelligence that Tickeron employs viewed the various sectors. Right now there is a lot of emotion that is likely dictating what investors are doing—whether it is panic selling or trying to buy the dip. Because Tickeron’s platform uses artificial intelligence, it removes the emotion from the outlook.
As I was writing the article, I realized that it was also becoming somewhat of a tutorial on how subscribers can use Tickeron to help make decisions. There are a number of tools that I use on the platform, but the screener and the scorecard are probably my two favorites. Those two tools give me a great deal of information in a simple format with everything on the same page.
In this case I started with the 11 select sector SPDR ETFs in order to get an idea of what the platform was showing for the different sectors. But I could very easily build a watchlist for my portfolio and then look at the scorecard and screener for my current holdings. This would allow me to check on the ratings and various indicators with a simple click of a button.
At a time when volatility is increasing and stocks are seeing wild swings, Tickeron can help in several ways. As I said before, it can help remove emotions from the decision making process. Secondly, it can help place a great deal of information at your fingertips on a single page.
Contributor
Harry Richardson — Algorithmic Trader & Strategy Developer Harry is an algorithmic trader specializing in impulse and breakout trading strategies across cryptocurrency and equity markets. With more than 10 years of experience in developing automated trading systems, he focuses on building structured algorithms designed to capture momentum while maintaining strict risk control. His approach combines quantitative analysis, real-market execution, and continuous performance monitoring. Vitalii prioritizes risk management, drawdown control, and strategy stability over short-term optimization, ensuring algorithms are adaptable to changing market conditions. He has developed and tested hundreds of automated strategies, working extensively with live trading environments, forward testing, and portfolio-level algorithm management. His work centers on transforming trading ideas into fully operational, scalable automated systems.
XLF's RSI Indicator ascends from oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for XLF moved out of oversold territory on October 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 22 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 21 of the 22 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 46 of 54 cases where XLF's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
Following a +0.97% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XLF advanced for three days, in 288 of 341 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.
XLF may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 08, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on XLF as a result. In 62 of 80 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
XLF moved below its 50-day moving average on September 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for XLF crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 17, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XLF declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.
The Aroon Indicator for XLF entered a downward trend on October 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
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