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Sep 06, 2020
After Thursday’s Big Selloff, Outlooks are Mixed for Select Sector SPDR ETFs

After Thursday’s Big Selloff, Outlooks are Mixed for Select Sector SPDR ETFs

September 3 saw the most significant across the board selling the market has seen in the last three months. As I write this during the morning session of Friday, September 4, we are seeing some following through selling with all 11 main sectors down—just as they were on Thursday.

Looking at Tickeron’s Scorecard for the 11 Select Sector SPDR ETFs, there are only three sectors that are considered buys at this point. The Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF) is rated as the only “strong buy”. The Real Estate Select Sector SPDR (XLRE) and the Communication Services Select Sector SPDR (XLC) are each rated as a “buy”.

There are four sectors that are rated as “holds”. The one that jumped out at me was the Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK) which has been hit the hardest over the last two days. The hold ratings also include the consumer staples sector, the consumer discretionary sector, and the healthcare sector.

On the bearish side, we see four sector ETFs with “sell” or “strong sell” ratings. The only one rated as a “strong sell” is the Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE). The ETFs that are rated as “sells” right now are the Industrial Select Sector SPDR (XLI), the Utilities Select Sector SPDR (XLU), and the Materials Select Sector SPDR (XLB).

Because these are ETFs, we don’t have a fundamental screener like we would with individual stocks. But we do have the technical analysis screener and it shows a number of bearish signals from two specific indicators.

The RSI Indicator saw six of the sector SPDR ETFs generate bearish signals on September 3. They included the ETFs for consumer staples, consumer discretionary, technology, industrials, communication services, and materials. The financial sector generated a bearish signal 15 days ago.

The other indicator that has produced a great deal of bearish signals is the Bollinger Bands. Four of the select sector SPDRs produced bearish signals on 9/3 and another one produced a bearish signal on 9/2. The sectors seeing the bearish signals from the Bollinger Bands include consumer staples, real estate, healthcare, and industrials. The one that generated a bearish signal on Wednesday was the materials sector.

If we go out a little further, 10 of the 11 select sector SPDRs have generated bearish signals from the Bollinger Bands within the last 20 days. The only sector that hasn’t generated a sell signal is the energy sector.

The idea behind this article was to show investors where the various select sector SPDR ETFs stand after the big selloff on Thursday. I wanted to show how the artificial intelligence that Tickeron employs viewed the various sectors. Right now there is a lot of emotion that is likely dictating what investors are doing—whether it is panic selling or trying to buy the dip. Because Tickeron’s platform uses artificial intelligence, it removes the emotion from the outlook.

As I was writing the article, I realized that it was also becoming somewhat of a tutorial on how subscribers can use Tickeron to help make decisions. There are a number of tools that I use on the platform, but the screener and the scorecard are probably my two favorites. Those two tools give me a great deal of information in a simple format with everything on the same page.

In this case I started with the 11 select sector SPDR ETFs in order to get an idea of what the platform was showing for the different sectors. But I could very easily build a watchlist for my portfolio and then look at the scorecard and screener for my current holdings. This would allow me to check on the ratings and various indicators with a simple click of a button.

At a time when volatility is increasing and stocks are seeing wild swings, Tickeron can help in several ways. As I said before, it can help remove emotions from the decision making process. Secondly, it can help place a great deal of information at your fingertips on a single page.

Related Ticker: XLF

XLF in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on April 13, 2026

XLF moved above its 50-day moving average on April 13, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 46 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on March 31, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on XLF as a result. In of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XLF just turned positive on March 23, 2026. Looking at past instances where XLF's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The 10-day moving average for XLF crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on April 15, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XLF advanced for three days, in of 340 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 10 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The 50-day moving average for XLF moved below the 200-day moving average on March 18, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XLF declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

XLF broke above its upper Bollinger Band on April 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for XLF entered a downward trend on April 08, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are JPMorgan Chase & Co (NYSE:JPM), VISA (NYSE:V), Mastercard (NYSE:MA), Bank of America Corp (NYSE:BAC), Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS), Goldman Sachs Group (NYSE:GS), Wells Fargo & Co (NYSE:WFC), American Express Company (NYSE:AXP), Citigroup (NYSE:C), Charles Schwab Corp (The) (NYSE:SCHW).

Industry description

The investment seeks investment results that, before expenses, correspond generally to the price and yield performance of publicly traded equity securities of companies in the Financial Select Sector Index. The fund generally invests substantially all, but at least 95%, of its total assets in the securities comprising the index. The index includes companies that have been identified as Financial companies by the Global Industry Classification Standard, including securities of companies from the following industries: financial services; insurance; banks; capital markets; mortgage real estate investment trusts; and consumer finance. The fund is non-diversified.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the State Street®FinSelSectSPDR®ETF ETF is 97.69B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 6.01B to 831.42B. JPM holds the highest valuation in this group at 831.42B. The lowest valued company is MKTX at 6.01B.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the State Street®FinSelSectSPDR®ETF ETF was 3%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was 8%, and the average quarterly price growth was 1%. APO experienced the highest price growth at 20%, while WFC experienced the biggest fall at -5%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the State Street®FinSelSectSPDR®ETF ETF was 58%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was 23% and the average quarterly volume growth was -14%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 65
P/E Growth Rating: 57
Price Growth Rating: 41
SMR Rating: 43
Profit Risk Rating: 46
Seasonality Score: -9 (-100 ... +100)
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These past five trading days, the ETF lost 0.00% with an average daily volume of 0 shares traded.The ETF tracked a drawdown of 0% for this period.
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www.spdrs.com
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