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Oct 25, 2026
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Agilysys (AGYS) Earnings Preview: Sustained Momentum Ahead of Fiscal Q2 Report

Agilysys (AGYS) Earnings Preview: Sustained Momentum Ahead of Fiscal Q2 Report

Key Takeaways

  • Agilysys is scheduled to report fiscal 2027 second-quarter results (quarter ended September 30, 2026) after the market close on Monday, October 26, 2026, followed by a conference call at 4:30 p.m. ET.
  • Consensus estimates call for adjusted earnings per share of roughly $0.55 on revenue near $90.9 million, representing strong year-over-year growth from the $0.40 EPS and $79.3 million revenue posted a year earlier.
  • Investors will focus on subscription revenue growth, which management has guided to rise at least 30% for the full fiscal year, along with add-on module adoption and customer retention.
  • Agilysys enters the print on a 17-quarter record revenue streak and has topped consensus earnings per share estimates in six of its last eight quarters.
  • In July 2026, management raised its full-year fiscal 2027 revenue outlook to $368 million to $373 million, up from the prior range of $365 million to $370 million.
  • For deeper coverage, you can track the company's Major News, review Today's Price Move, study analyst Price Targets, and read the Forecast across dedicated pages.
  • Explore Trending AI Robots to see how AI-driven trading strategies are navigating current market conditions.

Earnings Context and Why It Matters

Agilysys provides hospitality software such as property management systems, point-of-sale solutions, and inventory management tools. The company has delivered 17 straight quarters of record revenue, a streak that positions the upcoming fiscal second-quarter report as an important checkpoint. In my view, the print will help clarify whether momentum holds as the business continues shifting toward higher-margin recurring subscription revenue. A year earlier, AGYS posted $79.3 million in revenue and $0.40 per share for the same period, and management has since lifted full-year targets. This report offers a useful window into demand across hospitality segments, the pace of larger deployments, and the sustainability of profitable growth.

Earnings Expectations

Analysts expect AGYS to report adjusted earnings per share of about $0.55 on revenue near $90.9 million for the fiscal 2027 second quarter. That would reflect solid improvement from the prior-year quarter’s $0.40 per share and $79.3 million in revenue. Current full-year guidance calls for fiscal 2027 revenue between $368 million and $373 million, with at least 30% subscription revenue growth after the range was increased in July 2026. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the stock compares to others in the industry. Metrics to watch include subscription revenue growth, the share of total recurring revenue, gross margin trends, and the contribution from add-on products sold to existing customers. The stock has often reacted positively to beats in the past, though post-earnings moves can vary given current valuation levels.

Market Reaction and Investor Sentiment

Sentiment into the report appears constructive, backed by the company’s consistent history of beats and a consensus rating near “Moderate Buy” with a price target around $124. Investor interest has centered on recurring revenue expansion and early artificial intelligence product efforts. At the same time, the shares trade at a premium valuation, which sets a higher bar for results. Potential risks include any slowdown in subscription growth, softer services revenue, or cautious comments on large project deployments. Options-implied and historical post-earnings volatility has been relatively contained lately, suggesting the market is not anticipating a dramatic reaction.

Forward Outlook and Key Factors to Monitor

After the fiscal second-quarter release, attention will turn to whether management reaffirms or adjusts the full-year revenue range of $368 million to $373 million. Subscription revenue growth remains the primary focus given the at-least-30% target for fiscal 2027 and the longer-term goal of increasing the recurring revenue mix. Gross margin and adjusted EBITDA trends will also draw scrutiny, as the shift to subscription software is expected to support further profitability gains. Commentary on implementation capacity and the pace of new customer onboarding will be relevant, since deployment speed affects when contracted subscription revenue is recognized. Investors should also watch for early traction on newer AI-native modules and updates on add-on product adoption within the existing customer base. Retention metrics and retained recurring bookings will provide additional color on demand durability.

Enhancing Research with AI Screening Tools

When I prepare for reports like this one, I often turn to Tickeron’s AI Screener to quickly filter comparable names in the hospitality technology space and review technical patterns alongside fundamentals. The tool helps surface potential opportunities across sectors more efficiently than manual checks and has become a regular part of my workflow for staying on top of names ahead of earnings. It is a practical way to cross-reference valuation and momentum data without spending extra time on spreadsheets.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

Related Ticker: AGYS

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


AGYS's RSI Oscillator remains in overbought zone for 3 days

The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 11 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AGYS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.

AGYS broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for AGYS entered a downward trend on October 07, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 07, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AGYS as a result. In 65 of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AGYS just turned positive on October 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where AGYS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 37 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.

AGYS moved above its 50-day moving average on October 13, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for AGYS crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.

Following a +4.03% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AGYS advanced for three days, in 223 of 322 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 35 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AGYS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 51 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 91 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (10.062) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.853). P/E Ratio (78.882) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.200). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.187) is also within normal values, averaging (2.824). Dividend Yield (0.001) settles around the average of (0.075) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (9.083) is also within normal values, averaging (71.128).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Shopify Inc (NASDAQ:SHOP), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), ServiceNow Inc. (NYSE:NOW), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Datadog (NASDAQ:DDOG), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Atlassian Corp (NASDAQ:TEAM), Autodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK), Workday (NASDAQ:WDAY).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 11.27B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 39 to 274.86B. SAP holds the highest valuation in this group at 274.86B. The lowest valued company is STIXF at 39.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -4%, and the average quarterly price growth was 5%. BRZE experienced the highest price growth at 56%, while HODO experienced the biggest fall at -30%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -55%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -31% and the average quarterly volume growth was -47%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 51
P/E Growth Rating: 57
Price Growth Rating: 58
SMR Rating: 77
Profit Risk Rating: 93
Seasonality Score: 10 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a provider of enterprise computer system integration, software consulting and related information technology services

Industry PackagedSoftware

Industry
Packaged Software
Address
3655 Brookside Parkway
Phone
+1 770 810-7800
Employees
2413
Web
https://www.agilysys.com
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