Navigating the stormy seas of the stock market is a demanding task for any investor. It becomes even more challenging when the industry in question is as volatile and fast-paced as the Motor Vehicles sector. However, our AI Swing Trader: Downtrend Protection (TA) strategy has risen to the challenge, achieving a 33.95% return for XPeng (XPEV) over the past year.
Market Capitalization Overview
The Motor Vehicles Industry, of which XPeng is a part, boasts an average market capitalization of $31.31B. This figure is largely swayed by Tesla, the highest valued company in the group with a market cap of $813.29B. On the opposite end, we find NVYAF with the lowest valuation, standing at just 2.87M.
Price Movements: Highs and Lows
Over the past year, the average weekly price growth for the Motor Vehicles Industry was negative at -4%. Despite this weekly decline, both the monthly and quarterly averages showed growth, standing at 3% and 5% respectively. The largest price growth was seen by HYZN at 28%, while FFIE faced a substantial drop, with its price declining by 50%.
The Motor Vehicles Industry's weekly volume growth experienced a noticeable decrease of -38%. Nevertheless, the monthly and quarterly volume growths paint a more optimistic picture, showing increases of 47% and 99%, respectively.
A Closer Look at XPeng's Performance
In the week of June 15-22, 2023, XPeng found itself among the top weekly losers, with its share price falling by 8.89% to $10.56. This dip occurred in an industry landscape where, out of 95 stocks analyzed, 78.95% (or 75 stocks) were in a downtrend, compared to only 21.05% (or 20 stocks) experiencing an uptrend.
Despite the tough market conditions and industry-wide downward pressure, our AI Swing Trader: Downtrend Protection (TA) strategy has yielded a commendable 33.95% return for XPeng over the last year. This success story underlines the potential of AI to analyze complex market dynamics and identify profitable opportunities, even amidst turbulence. As we continue to witness the evolution of AI, its promising influence on the development of successful trading strategies becomes increasingly evident.
XPEV saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on September 13, 2023. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 30 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 30 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 18, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on XPEV as a result. In of 48 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
XPEV moved below its 50-day moving average on September 20, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XPEV declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for XPEV entered a downward trend on August 29, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XPEV advanced for three days, in of 167 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
XPEV may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. XPEV’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.160) is normal, around the industry mean (6.824). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (20.822). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (5.686). XPEV has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.040). P/S Ratio (4.871) is also within normal values, averaging (52.364).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. XPEV’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a designer, developer, and manufacturer smart electric vehicles
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XPEV has been closely correlated with NIO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if XPEV jumps, then NIO could also see price increases.