Swing trader: Volatility Balanced Strategy v.2 (TA) showed impressive performance over the last week, generating a return of 4.52% for BNTX.
Last week, an AI trading robot managed to generate a 4.52% gain for BioNTech (BNTX), despite the Aroon Indicator suggesting a strong downward move for the stock. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a bearish pattern in the Aroon Indicator for BNTX on April 28, 2023, which has historically resulted in a downward move in 85% of similar cases. However, the AI trading robot defied expectations and achieved a remarkable gain for the stock.
The Aroon Indicator:
The Aroon Indicator is a popular technical analysis tool used to identify trends and potential reversals in the market. It consists of two lines: the AroonUp (green) line, which measures the strength of an upward trend, and the AroonDown (red) line, which measures the strength of a downward trend.
In the case of BNTX, the Aroon Indicator entered a downward trend on April 28, 2023. The AroonDown red line was above 70, while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three consecutive days. This pattern indicated a strong possibility of a downward move in the stock.
A.I.dvisor's Analysis:
Tickeron's A.I.dvisor analyzed 143 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed the same pattern as observed in the BNTX stock. In 121 of these cases, the stock moved lower, putting the odds of a downward move at 85%. This would generally lead traders to consider selling the stock or buying put options to hedge against potential losses.
AI Trading Robot's Performance:
Despite the bearish signals from the Aroon Indicator, the AI trading robot managed to generate a 4.52% gain for BNTX last week. This remarkable performance raises questions about the effectiveness of the Aroon Indicator in predicting the stock's movement and highlights the potential of AI trading robots in navigating complex market conditions.
The AI trading robot's ability to generate a 4.52% gain for BNTX last week, despite the bearish Aroon Indicator, showcases the potential for artificial intelligence in trading and investment strategies. While traditional technical analysis tools like the Aroon Indicator can provide valuable insights, they may not always accurately predict a stock's future performance. AI-driven trading systems can offer alternative and potentially more accurate predictions, helping investors navigate the ever-changing market landscape.
BNTX saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on September 08, 2023. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 37 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 37 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
The 10-day RSI Indicator for BNTX moved out of overbought territory on August 24, 2023. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 26 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 26 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 12, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BNTX as a result. In of 68 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
BNTX moved below its 50-day moving average on September 18, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BNTX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
The 10-day moving average for BNTX crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 21, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 11 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BNTX advanced for three days, in of 249 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
BNTX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 177 cases where BNTX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.224) is normal, around the industry mean (22.685). P/E Ratio (5.621) is within average values for comparable stocks, (131.324). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.046) is also within normal values, averaging (3.923). Dividend Yield (0.013) settles around the average of (0.033) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.677) is also within normal values, averaging (316.663).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. BNTX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BNTX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 96, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a company, which focuses on the development of molecular immune therapies and biomarker-based diagnostic approaches
Industry Biotechnology
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BNTX has been closely correlated with MRNA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BNTX jumps, then MRNA could also see price increases.
Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BNTX | 1D Price Change % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
BNTX | 100% | -2.01% | ||
MRNA - BNTX | 75% Closely correlated | -3.19% | ||
AXON - BNTX | 43% Loosely correlated | -3.56% | ||
SRNEQ - BNTX | 37% Loosely correlated | -16.61% | ||
FGEN - BNTX | 33% Loosely correlated | -3.75% | ||
GMAB - BNTX | 33% Poorly correlated | -2.51% | ||
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