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published in Blogs
Jun 07, 2023

AI Trading Robot Generates 6.99% Gain for ENPH Last Week: A Technical Analysis Perspective

Last week an AI trading robot was responsible for generating a considerable 6.99% gain for Enphase Energy, Inc. (ENPH) shares. This striking gain has sparked intense interest among traders, investors, and financial analysts who are continually seeking to understand and potentially replicate this success.

This article will delve into the core technical indicators that potentially led to this significant price appreciation. These factors provide clues to the predictive prowess of the AI algorithm that enabled such a lucrative trading decision.

The technical trading analysis centers around the Relative Strength Index (RSI), a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. Generally, an RSI below 30 indicates an oversold condition, suggesting the possibility of a price bounce in the near future.

The RSI Indicator for ENPH moved out of the oversold territory on May 08, 2023, possibly indicating a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. The implication of this is significant - it signals a potential opportunity for traders to buy the stock or call options.

The AI trading robot took into account this RSI signal and made its trade decisions accordingly. But the beauty of AI in trading is its ability to analyze a myriad of data points and incorporate historical data into its predictive models. In this instance, the AI advisor analyzed 26 similar instances in the past when the RSI indicator left the oversold territory.

In 25 of these 26 cases, the ENPH stock moved higher post the RSI signal. This impressive historical success rate of approximately 96% suggests that a similar move was highly probable this time around. This statistic, combined with the current market and trading conditions, likely provided the AI trading robot with the confidence to predict a similar upward movement, leading to the remarkable 6.99% gain.

Therefore, the outcome of the AI trading robot's action was a blend of technical analysis, historical patterns, and the innate ability of AI to crunch vast amounts of data quickly and efficiently. The application of AI in trading is not only revolutionizing how trades are being made but also reinforcing the importance of sound technical analysis in decision-making.

The AI trading robot's successful prediction and the ensuing 6.99% gain for ENPH last week offer promising evidence of AI's potential in the world of stock trading. As AI continues to advance and refine its predictive abilities, traders and investors alike can look forward to more such occurrences of profit-generation.

Related Ticker: ENPH

ENPH's RSI Oscillator ascending out of oversold territory

The RSI Indicator for ENPH moved out of oversold territory on September 11, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 24 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 24 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 46 cases where ENPH's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 20, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ENPH as a result. In of 72 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ENPH just turned positive on August 28, 2023. Looking at past instances where ENPH's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ENPH advanced for three days, in of 356 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

ENPH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ENPH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for ENPH entered a downward trend on September 20, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. ENPH’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: ENPH's P/B Ratio (17.391) is slightly higher than the industry average of (5.427). P/E Ratio (31.250) is within average values for comparable stocks, (37.597). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.255) is also within normal values, averaging (1.509). ENPH has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.025). P/S Ratio (6.443) is also within normal values, averaging (28.123).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are First Solar (NASDAQ:FSLR), Enphase Energy (NASDAQ:ENPH), SolarEdge Technologies (NASDAQ:SEDG), Plug Power (NASDAQ:PLUG), Bloom Energy Corp (NYSE:BE), Canadian Solar (NASDAQ:CSIQ), SunPower Corp (NASDAQ:SPWR), GrafTech International Ltd (NYSE:EAF), FuelCell Energy (NASDAQ:FCEL).

Industry description

The industry produces a diverse range of electricity-powered equipment, appliances and components, catering to both households and industries. The products include power, distribution and specialty transformers; electric motors, generators and motor-generator sets; switchgear and switchboard apparatus; light bulbs, tubes, fittings and electric signs etc. Consumer income, construction spending, and industrial production are major drivers of demand for this industry’s products. Large companies tend to have economies of scale in production, marketing, and distribution, while smaller companies can potentially carve out their own market through niche or specialty offerings. The US electrical products manufacturing industry includes about 5,700 establishments (single-location companies and units of multi-location companies) with combined annual revenue of about $125 billion. (according to a study published in First Research). Emerson Electric Co., Hubbell Incorporated and Eaton Corporation plc are major electrical products makers in the U.S.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Electrical Products Industry is 3.89B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 750 to 181.26B. NISSF holds the highest valuation in this group at 181.26B. The lowest valued company is EDYYF at 750.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Electrical Products Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -6%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9%. PWWRF experienced the highest price growth at 43%, while DLYT experienced the biggest fall at -33%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Electrical Products Industry was -20%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -16% and the average quarterly volume growth was -14%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 55
P/E Growth Rating: 72
Price Growth Rating: 57
SMR Rating: 73
Profit Risk Rating: 81
Seasonality Score: -16 (-100 ... +100)
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Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a manufacturer of solar micro-inverter systems

Industry ElectricalProducts

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Semiconductors
Address
47281 Bayside Parkway
Phone
+1 877 774-7000
Employees
2821
Web
https://www.enphase.com
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ENPH and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ENPH has been closely correlated with SEDG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 73% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ENPH jumps, then SEDG could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To ENPH
1D Price
Change %
ENPH100%
+0.71%
SEDG - ENPH
73%
Closely correlated
-2.09%
SPWR - ENPH
67%
Closely correlated
-3.14%
NOVA - ENPH
64%
Loosely correlated
-7.28%
RUN - ENPH
63%
Loosely correlated
-5.22%
CSIQ - ENPH
51%
Loosely correlated
-1.28%
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