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published in Blogs
Jul 10, 2023

AI Trading Robot Generates 7.22% PROFIT for AFRM last week: A Technical Analysis Review

Last week, a noteworthy financial event transpired in the market landscape. An artificial intelligence (AI) trading robot generated a significant 7.22% profit for Affirm Holdings Inc. (AFRM), an emerging leader in the fintech space. This advancement in algorithmic trading is not just impressive; it also presents a potential paradigm shift in how investors approach market strategies.

A crucial technical indicator in the AI robot's strategy is the Bollinger Bands. Invented by John Bollinger in the 1980s, Bollinger Bands provide a relative definition of high and low prices of a market instrument over a set period. The Bands are a volatility indicator and comprise three lines: the lower band, middle band (a moving average), and the upper band.

Last week, AFRM's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, an event that historically has preceded an upward trend. The AI trading robot appears to have seized this opportunity to take a long position, and the result was a staggering 7.22% profit.

The breaking of the lower Bollinger Band by AFRM's price is not an isolated event. In 16 of 16 past cases where AFRM's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. This historical trend presents a compelling case for the likelihood of a continued upward trend.

If we delve into the probability aspects, the odds of AFRM's continued upward trend stand at a promising 90%. This high probability, coupled with the AI robot's successful trade last week, could potentially signal a bullish future for AFRM.

The success of the AI trading robot highlights the transformative potential of machine learning and AI in the financial markets. By recognizing and acting upon patterns in price movements, these sophisticated algorithms can deliver promising results.

However, while this may seem like a guaranteed route to profits, investors need to be cautious. AI algorithms, while advanced, are not infallible. They operate based on historical data and patterns, which, as every investor knows, do not guarantee future performance. The dynamic and unpredictable nature of financial markets means risks always exist.

Moving forward, traders may consider buying AFRM stock or exploring call options, especially given the historical tendency of the stock's price to rise after breaking its lower Bollinger Band. However, it is essential to keep in mind that while statistical analysis and technical indicators can provide valuable insights, they are not a crystal ball. The markets are influenced by a multitude of factors, many of which can be unpredictable.

The recent success of the AI trading robot in generating a 7.22% profit for AFRM is undoubtedly impressive. It also provides a glimpse into a future where AI-driven strategies may play an increasingly prominent role in investment decisions. However, as with all investments, a cautious and well-informed approach will be key to long-term success.

Related Ticker: AFRM

AFRM sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line

AFRM saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on September 21, 2023. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 21 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 21 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for AFRM moved out of overbought territory on September 19, 2023. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 19 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 19 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 21, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AFRM as a result. In of 42 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AFRM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

AFRM moved above its 50-day moving average on August 25, 2023 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for AFRM crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on August 31, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 5 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AFRM advanced for three days, in of 146 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

AFRM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 112 cases where AFRM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AFRM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.388) is normal, around the industry mean (19.856). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (152.778). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.642). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.088) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.761) is also within normal values, averaging (74.113).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AFRM’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), SERVICENOW (NYSE:NOW), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), Activision Blizzard (NASDAQ:ATVI), VMware (NYSE:VMW), Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ:PANW).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 8.1B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 2.36T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 2.36T. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -3%, and the average quarterly price growth was 2%. WOWI experienced the highest price growth at 75%, while AJIA experienced the biggest fall at -81%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -4%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -8% and the average quarterly volume growth was -1%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 74
Price Growth Rating: 63
SMR Rating: 83
Profit Risk Rating: 89
Seasonality Score: -18 (-100 ... +100)
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Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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General Information

Industry PackagedSoftware

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+1 415 960-1518
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https://www.affirm.com
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AFRM and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AFRM has been closely correlated with COIN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AFRM jumps, then COIN could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To AFRM
1D Price
Change %
AFRM100%
-1.53%
COIN - AFRM
81%
Closely correlated
-1.71%
CLSK - AFRM
71%
Closely correlated
-4.13%
RIOT - AFRM
70%
Closely correlated
-2.16%
BILL - AFRM
66%
Loosely correlated
-1.74%
HOOD - AFRM
65%
Loosely correlated
-1.55%
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