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Jul 10, 2023

AI Trading Robot Generates 7.22% PROFIT for AFRM last week: A Technical Analysis Review

Last week, a noteworthy financial event transpired in the market landscape. An artificial intelligence (AI) trading robot generated a significant 7.22% profit for Affirm Holdings Inc. (AFRM), an emerging leader in the fintech space. This advancement in algorithmic trading is not just impressive; it also presents a potential paradigm shift in how investors approach market strategies.

A crucial technical indicator in the AI robot's strategy is the Bollinger Bands. Invented by John Bollinger in the 1980s, Bollinger Bands provide a relative definition of high and low prices of a market instrument over a set period. The Bands are a volatility indicator and comprise three lines: the lower band, middle band (a moving average), and the upper band.

Last week, AFRM's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, an event that historically has preceded an upward trend. The AI trading robot appears to have seized this opportunity to take a long position, and the result was a staggering 7.22% profit.

The breaking of the lower Bollinger Band by AFRM's price is not an isolated event. In 16 of 16 past cases where AFRM's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. This historical trend presents a compelling case for the likelihood of a continued upward trend.

If we delve into the probability aspects, the odds of AFRM's continued upward trend stand at a promising 90%. This high probability, coupled with the AI robot's successful trade last week, could potentially signal a bullish future for AFRM.

The success of the AI trading robot highlights the transformative potential of machine learning and AI in the financial markets. By recognizing and acting upon patterns in price movements, these sophisticated algorithms can deliver promising results.

However, while this may seem like a guaranteed route to profits, investors need to be cautious. AI algorithms, while advanced, are not infallible. They operate based on historical data and patterns, which, as every investor knows, do not guarantee future performance. The dynamic and unpredictable nature of financial markets means risks always exist.

Moving forward, traders may consider buying AFRM stock or exploring call options, especially given the historical tendency of the stock's price to rise after breaking its lower Bollinger Band. However, it is essential to keep in mind that while statistical analysis and technical indicators can provide valuable insights, they are not a crystal ball. The markets are influenced by a multitude of factors, many of which can be unpredictable.

The recent success of the AI trading robot in generating a 7.22% profit for AFRM is undoubtedly impressive. It also provides a glimpse into a future where AI-driven strategies may play an increasingly prominent role in investment decisions. However, as with all investments, a cautious and well-informed approach will be key to long-term success.

Related Ticker: AFRM

AFRM sees its 50-day moving average cross bearishly below its 200-day moving average

The 50-day moving average for AFRM moved below the 200-day moving average on June 11, 2024. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 44 cases where AFRM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

AFRM moved below its 50-day moving average on June 14, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AFRM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

AFRM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 11, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for AFRM entered a downward trend on June 07, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 06, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AFRM as a result. In of 54 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AFRM just turned positive on June 06, 2024. Looking at past instances where AFRM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 27 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AFRM advanced for three days, in of 205 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.055) is normal, around the industry mean (30.381). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (157.406). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.738). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.082) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.495) is also within normal values, averaging (56.897).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AFRM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AFRM’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), SERVICENOW (NYSE:NOW), Shopify (NYSE:SHOP), Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ:PANW), CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ:CRWD).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 10.45B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 3.15T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.15T. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 0%, and the average quarterly price growth was 15%. LGIQ experienced the highest price growth at 93%, while WBSR experienced the biggest fall at -71%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was -29%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -9% and the average quarterly volume growth was -57%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 74
Price Growth Rating: 61
SMR Rating: 83
Profit Risk Rating: 89
Seasonality Score: 10 (-100 ... +100)
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