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Sep 09, 2023

Airlines Lose -4.64% in 1W - $AAL, $DAL, $LUV, $SAVE, $UAL and More

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Airlines Lose -4.64% in 1W  - Buy/Sell Ratings: Strong Sell! 📉

Introduction

The airline industry, which encompasses passenger air transportation, has had its fair share of turbulence in the past week. These challenges have culminated in a significant -4.64% loss across the sector. In this blog, we'll dive into the world of airlines, exploring how recent market movements have impacted key players in the industry.

Tickers in This Group:

Industry Description

The airlines industry is responsible for passenger air transportation, including both scheduled and non-scheduled routes. This sector has evolved dramatically, thanks to the advent of low-cost carriers and discount pricing, making air travel accessible to a broader global population. Delta Air Lines Inc., Southwest Airlines Co, and United Continental Holdings, Inc. are among the top players in the U.S. airline market.

Market Cap

Within the Airlines Industry, the average market capitalization stands at approximately 6.5B. Individual companies' market caps within the sector range from 9.4K to 26.8B, with Delta Air Lines Inc. (DAL) holding the highest valuation and KLMR at the lower end.

High and Low Price Notable News

Price fluctuations have been noteworthy in the airline sector over the past week. Weekly prices dropped by an average of -2.27%. On a monthly scale, there was a 6.45% increase, and over the quarter, a 10.15% growth was observed. Notably, ANZLY experienced the highest price growth at 10.53%, while JBLU saw the most substantial decline at -12.65%.

Volume

Weekly trading volume statistics show a significant 55.7% increase in trading activity within the Airlines Industry. Monthly volume growth averaged at 18.1%, while quarterly volume growth was -33.28%.

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

Let's look at some fundamental analysis ratings for insight into the sector's health, with ratings ranging from 1 (best) to 100 (worst):

  • Valuation Rating: 57
  • P/E Growth Rating: 63
  • Price Growth Rating: 55
  • SMR Rating: 68
  • Profit Risk Rating: 91
  • Seasonality Score: -8 (-100 ... +100)

Key Players

Among the noteworthy companies in this sector are Delta Air Lines (DAL), Southwest Airlines Co (LUV), United Airlines Holdings (UAL), American Airlines Group (AAL), and JetBlue Airways Corp (JBLU). These companies play vital roles in shaping the airline industry landscape.

Market Movements

Let's take a closer look at some of the key market movements among these airlines:

  1. $UAL - United Airlines Holdings, Inc. ($49.53): UAL experienced a significant decline of -6.46% this week, signaling a potential downtrend reversal.

  2. $SAVE - Spirit Airlines, Inc. ($16.88): SAVE was a standout performer, with a +5.43% weekly jump.

  3. $DAL - Delta Air Lines, Inc. ($43.02): DAL also faced a challenging week, declining by -6.05%, with expectations of a downtrend reversal.

Notable Trends

Several indicators suggest a negative outlook for this group of airlines. Tickeron predicts a further decline of over 4.00% within the next month, with a likelihood of 73%.

Additionally, 10 stocks in this group exhibit a similar negative trend based on the Momentum indicator, with an average likelihood of 77%.

The airline industry's recent -4.64% loss highlights the challenges faced by key players. Despite this, opportunities for growth and transformation persist. Investors should carefully evaluate these developments when devising their investment strategies in the airline sector.

Certainly, let's dive deeper into the descriptions of the individual ticker symbols mentioned in the blog:

  1. $AAL - American Airlines Group Inc.

    • American Airlines Group (AAL) is one of the major players in the U.S. airline industry. Headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas, it operates both domestic and international flights. AAL has a significant market capitalization and is known for its extensive route network. However, recent market trends have placed AAL in a challenging position, with expectations of a downtrend reversal.
  2. $DAL - Delta Air Lines, Inc.

    • Delta Air Lines (DAL) is another prominent U.S. airline with a global reach. Based in Atlanta, Georgia, DAL is known for its comprehensive service offerings. However, DAL experienced a substantial -6.05% decline over the past week, raising concerns of a possible downtrend reversal.
  3. $LUV - Southwest Airlines Co.

    • Southwest Airlines Co (LUV) is renowned for its low-cost carrier model and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas. Despite its reputation for affordability and quality service, LUV also faced challenges recently, with its weekly performance being closely monitored.
  4. $SAVE - Spirit Airlines, Inc.

    • Spirit Airlines (SAVE) is known for its ultra-low-cost carrier approach, attracting budget-conscious travelers. SAVE experienced a noteworthy +5.43% weekly increase, demonstrating resilience in the competitive airline industry.
  5. $UAL - United Airlines Holdings, Inc.

    • United Airlines Holdings (UAL) is a major player in the airline sector, serving both domestic and international routes. UAL faced a considerable -6.46% decline this week, suggesting the possibility of a downtrend reversal.

These descriptions provide a snapshot of each airline's position in the market and recent performance trends. Investors should conduct thorough research and consider these factors when making investment decisions in the airline industry.

Related Ticker: ATSG, HA, SKYW, ALGT, SAVE, JBLU, CPA, ALK, LUV, UAL, DAL, RYAAY, VLRS, AAL, AZUL, SNCY, ULCC

ATSG in downward trend: 10-day moving average moved below 50-day moving average on September 20, 2023

The 10-day moving average for ATSG crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 20, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 22, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ATSG as a result. In of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ATSG declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for ATSG entered a downward trend on September 21, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 57 cases where ATSG's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

ATSG moved above its 50-day moving average on September 25, 2023 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ATSG advanced for three days, in of 307 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

ATSG may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ATSG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.017) is normal, around the industry mean (103.665). P/E Ratio (11.455) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.385). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (0.412). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.041) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.842) is also within normal values, averaging (0.962).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ATSG’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Delta Air Lines (NYSE:DAL), Southwest Airlines Co (NYSE:LUV), United Airlines Holdings (NASDAQ:UAL), American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL), JetBlue Airways Corp (NASDAQ:JBLU).

Industry description

Airlines industry comprises passenger air transportation, including scheduled and non-scheduled routes. This can include charter airlines, as well as regular commuter ones. Discount pricing and the rise of low-cost carriers over recent decades have expanded the industry by making its services accessible to a much larger global population, compared to the older days when airline travel was a relative luxury for many people in the world. Delta Air Lines Inc., Southwest Airlines Co and United Continental Holdings, Inc. are some of the airlines with the largest stock market capitalizations in the U.S.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Airlines Industry is 6.33B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 9.36K to 24.17B. DAL holds the highest valuation in this group at 24.17B. The lowest valued company is KLMR at 9.36K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Airlines Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 8%, and the average quarterly price growth was 11%. RYAOF experienced the highest price growth at 36%, while SRFM experienced the biggest fall at -28%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Airlines Industry was -12%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 21% and the average quarterly volume growth was 24%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 57
P/E Growth Rating: 64
Price Growth Rating: 61
SMR Rating: 68
Profit Risk Rating: 91
Seasonality Score: -11 (-100 ... +100)
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Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

an operator of air freight services

Industry Airlines

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Air Freight Or Couriers
Address
145 Hunter Drive
Phone
+1 937 382-5591
Employees
5320
Web
https://www.atsginc.com
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ATSG and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor tells us that ATSG and VLRS have been poorly correlated (+28% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that ATSG and VLRS's prices will move in lockstep.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To ATSG
1D Price
Change %
ATSG100%
+2.41%
VLRS - ATSG
28%
Poorly correlated
-6.49%
LUV - ATSG
25%
Poorly correlated
-1.96%
ALK - ATSG
25%
Poorly correlated
-0.37%
DAL - ATSG
24%
Poorly correlated
-0.29%
AAL - ATSG
22%
Poorly correlated
+0.08%
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