Akamai Technologies Hitting Upper Rail of Downward Sloped Channel Ahead of Earnings Next Month
Cloud-based application software firm Akamai Technologies (Nasdaq: AKAM) has been trending lower since June and a downward-sloped trend channel has formed as a result. The stock has cycled lower with highs from June, July, September, November, and December forming the upper rail. The stock hit the upper rail on Friday and then turned lower on Tuesday.
I didn’t mention the hit from January as there is still a chance that the stock could break out of the channel with another move higher. But at this point it looks like the stock is poised for its next downward move. The stock’s 50-day moving average is in the same proximity as the upper rail and that could be adding another layer of resistance.
The connected peaks in the stock have come when the stochastic readings were in overbought territory and the indicators are there again. The RSI was elevated, but not in overbought territory at the peak on Friday. That has been the case in most of the instances where the stock hit the upper rail—the 10-day RSI has been elevated but not in overbought territory.
Akamai is set to announce earnings on February 12 and that could serve as a catalyst for the stock to break out of the channel. The stock will have to stay up near the upper rail for the next few weeks for that to happen. The earnings report in November did cause the stock to jump sharply, but it only took it from the bottom part of the channel up to the upper rail.
The company has solid fundamental indicators right now with an ROE of 13.8% and a profit margin of 25%. Earnings and sales have grown at a slow pace in recent years, but the earnings grew by 47% in the last quarterly report and analysts expect earnings to grow by 37% for the year as a whole.
Momentum Indicator for AKAM turns negative, indicating new downward trend
AKAM saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on September 12, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 76 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 76 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AKAM turned negative on September 15, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
AKAM moved below its 50-day moving average on September 12, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AKAM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where AKAM's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 34 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
The 10-day moving average for AKAM crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 04, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AKAM advanced for three days, in of 347 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 279 cases where AKAM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. AKAM’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.434) is normal, around the industry mean (16.894). P/E Ratio (26.799) is within average values for comparable stocks, (154.978). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.652) is also within normal values, averaging (2.763). AKAM has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.025). P/S Ratio (2.798) is also within normal values, averaging (130.037).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AKAM’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a provider of cloud services for delivering, optimizing and securing online content and business applications
Industry ComputerCommunications
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