Akamai Technologies Hitting Upper Rail of Downward Sloped Channel Ahead of Earnings Next Month
Cloud-based application software firm Akamai Technologies (Nasdaq: AKAM) has been trending lower since June and a downward-sloped trend channel has formed as a result. The stock has cycled lower with highs from June, July, September, November, and December forming the upper rail. The stock hit the upper rail on Friday and then turned lower on Tuesday.
I didn’t mention the hit from January as there is still a chance that the stock could break out of the channel with another move higher. But at this point it looks like the stock is poised for its next downward move. The stock’s 50-day moving average is in the same proximity as the upper rail and that could be adding another layer of resistance.
The connected peaks in the stock have come when the stochastic readings were in overbought territory and the indicators are there again. The RSI was elevated, but not in overbought territory at the peak on Friday. That has been the case in most of the instances where the stock hit the upper rail—the 10-day RSI has been elevated but not in overbought territory.
Akamai is set to announce earnings on February 12 and that could serve as a catalyst for the stock to break out of the channel. The stock will have to stay up near the upper rail for the next few weeks for that to happen. The earnings report in November did cause the stock to jump sharply, but it only took it from the bottom part of the channel up to the upper rail.
The company has solid fundamental indicators right now with an ROE of 13.8% and a profit margin of 25%. Earnings and sales have grown at a slow pace in recent years, but the earnings grew by 47% in the last quarterly report and analysts expect earnings to grow by 37% for the year as a whole.
Momentum Indicator for AKAM turns negative, indicating new downward trend
AKAM saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on March 28, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 80 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 80 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day moving average for AKAM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on February 24, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The 50-day moving average for AKAM moved below the 200-day moving average on February 24, 2025. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AKAM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where AKAM's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 32 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 55 cases where AKAM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AKAM just turned positive on March 14, 2025. Looking at past instances where AKAM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AKAM advanced for three days, in of 349 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AKAM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.605) is normal, around the industry mean (30.873). P/E Ratio (31.068) is within average values for comparable stocks, (159.445). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.350) is also within normal values, averaging (2.727). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.032) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.458) is also within normal values, averaging (59.201).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AKAM’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a provider of cloud services for delivering, optimizing and securing online content and business applications
Industry PackagedSoftware