Jonathan Merton's Avatar
published in Blogs
Apr 10, 2023

Albertsons Companies (ACI, $21.05) is expected to report earnings to fall -22% to 68 cents per share on April 11

Albertsons Companies (ACI) is set to report its earnings on April 11, with analysts expecting a decline in earnings per share of -22% to 68 cents. The last earnings report released on November 30, 2022, showed earnings per share of 87 cents, missing the estimate of 67 cents. While this decline in earnings is a cause for concern, other technical indicators suggest that there may be reason for optimism.

Looking at the valuation metrics, the price-to-book ratio (P/B) of 14.641 is normal, around the industry mean of 5.481. The price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 8.525 is within average values for comparable stocks, which have an average P/E of 138.086. The projected growth (PEG ratio) of 1.547 is also within normal values, averaging 3.646. The dividend yield of 0.023 is around the average of 0.027 among similar stocks, and the price-to-sales ratio (P/S) of 0.142 is also within normal values, averaging 47.684. With 3.08 million shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at $11.99 billion.

In terms of recent market activity, ACI has shown an upward trend as its 10-day moving average broke above its 50-day moving average on April 06, 2023. This technical signal indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In the past, the stock has continued to move higher in 7 out of 7 instances when the 10-day moving average crossed above the 50-day moving average, with odds of a continued upward trend at 90%.

Overall, while the decline in earnings may cause some concern for investors, the other technical indicators suggest that there may be reason for optimism in the stock. The upward trend shown by the moving averages and the normal values of the valuation metrics indicate that there may be room for growth in ACI, making it a stock to watch in the coming months.

Related Ticker: ACI

Momentum Indicator for ACI turns negative, indicating new downward trend

ACI saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on May 09, 2023. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ACI turned negative on May 04, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 23 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 23 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

ACI moved below its 50-day moving average on May 12, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for ACI crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on May 19, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 7 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ACI declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ACI's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 10 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 13 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ACI advanced for three days, in of 200 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

ACI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 140 cases where ACI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.153) is normal, around the industry mean (5.284). P/E Ratio (8.850) is within average values for comparable stocks, (28.211). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.591) is also within normal values, averaging (2.651). Dividend Yield (0.024) settles around the average of (0.027) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.138) is also within normal values, averaging (47.666).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. ACI’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ACI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 70, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Kroger Co (The) (NYSE:KR).

Industry description

The food retail industry includes companies that sell food, beverage and household products. Items sold include grocery, gourmet food, fresh produce, and frozen food. Kroger Co., George Weston Ltd., Grocery Outlet Holding Corp., and Sprouts Farmers Markets, Inc. are examples of major food retailers. While e-commerce companies like Amazon have increasingly been ramping-up offerings in the food retail space, several traditional players have also been expanding their online presence to stand their ground against rising competition.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Food Retail Industry is 9.92B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 30.44K to 38.92B. SVNDY holds the highest valuation in this group at 38.92B. The lowest valued company is QKLS at 30.44K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Food Retail Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -4%, and the average quarterly price growth was 6%. DNOPY experienced the highest price growth at 4%, while MF experienced the biggest fall at -18%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Food Retail Industry was 31%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 47% and the average quarterly volume growth was 174%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 38
P/E Growth Rating: 52
Price Growth Rating: 59
SMR Rating: 61
Profit Risk Rating: 69
Seasonality Score: 8 (-100 ... +100)
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