Alkermes'(ALKS, $21.13) resubmission of schizophrenia drug application accepted by FDA
On Tuesday, Alkermes Plc. announced that the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) accepted the company's resubmission of its new drug application for its treatment of schizophrenia or bipolar 1 disorder.
The FDA classified the resubmission as a complete, Class 2 response to the Complete Response Letter (CRL) issued in November 2020. Last month, the FDA had turned away Alkermes’ ALKS 3831 candidate, since it had concerns with conditions related to the tablet-coating process.
Alkermes said it will continue to work closely with the FDA as it completes its review of ALKS 3831.
The pharma company said that it wants to make the treatment available to patients as soon as possible.
Momentum Indicator for ALKS turns negative, indicating new downward trend
ALKS saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on May 22, 2023. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 100 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 100 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for ALKS moved out of overbought territory on May 15, 2023. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 21 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 21 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ALKS turned negative on May 19, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ALKS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
ALKS broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 08, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ALKS advanced for three days, in of 280 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 217 cases where ALKS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ALKS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.843) is normal, around the industry mean (41.822). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (52.961). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.710). ALKS has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.025). P/S Ratio (4.296) is also within normal values, averaging (55.800).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ALKS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock worse than average.
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