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Oct 24, 2018
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Alphabet Hitting Technical Support Ahead of Earnings

Alphabet Hitting Technical Support Ahead of Earnings

Google parent Alphabet (Nasdaq: GOOGL) is set to report earnings Thursday after the closing bell and the stock has hit a technical support level ahead of the report.

Like the rest of the tech sector, Google has been trending lower over the last few months and it is testing its 52-week moving average. In this case though, Google has another support level in addition to the moving average.

Over the last two years, all of the major dips in the stock can be connected with one trendline. The stock has touched that trendline in each of the last three weeks, but has remained above the trendline.

You can see that the stock’s overbought/oversold indicators are as low as they have been in the last few years which is another good sign that the stock could be due to rally. The 10-week RSI hit its lowest level since the summer of 2016 while the weekly stochastic readings are hitting oversold levels for only the fifth time in the last three and a half years.

The sentiment indicators on Alphabet are pretty optimistic, but they have been that way for as long as I can remember. The short interest ratio is a paltry 0.97, but the ratio has been below 2.0 for most of the past year. It was hovering right around 1.0 back at the end of March when the stock bounced off the trendline.

There are 43 analysts following the stock and 38 of them have the stock rated as a “buy” and the other five have it rated as a “hold”. These figures are exactly the same as they were back in July when the company last reported earnings.

Analysts expect the company to report earnings of $10.42 on revenue of $34.04 billion for the third quarter. The EPS estimate has been ratcheted down from $10.46 over the last 30 days. This suggests that the bar is being lowered slightly heading in to the earnings report.

Regardless of what Alphabet’s earnings report says, it will take quite a bit of selling pressure to move the stock below the trendline and with the stock as oversold as it is, that doesn’t look likely in my view.

Related Ticker: GOOGL

Contributor

Harry Richardson — Algorithmic Trader & Strategy Developer Harry is an algorithmic trader specializing in impulse and breakout trading strategies across cryptocurrency and equity markets. With more than 10 years of experience in developing automated trading systems, he focuses on building structured algorithms designed to capture momentum while maintaining strict risk control. His approach combines quantitative analysis, real-market execution, and continuous performance monitoring. Vitalii prioritizes risk management, drawdown control, and strategy stability over short-term optimization, ensuring algorithms are adaptable to changing market conditions. He has developed and tested hundreds of automated strategies, working extensively with live trading environments, forward testing, and portfolio-level algorithm management. His work centers on transforming trading ideas into fully operational, scalable automated systems.


GOOGL's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for GOOGL entered a downward trend on October 27, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 161 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 118 of the 161 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 73%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 16, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GOOGL as a result. In 43 of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 54%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for GOOGL turned negative on October 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 27 of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 55%.

GOOGL moved below its 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for GOOGL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GOOGL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for GOOGL's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +2.55% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GOOGL advanced for three days, in 228 of 339 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.

GOOGL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 21 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. GOOGL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 70 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.576) is normal, around the industry mean (0.972). P/E Ratio (14.078) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-54.364). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.225) is also within normal values, averaging (17.274). Dividend Yield (0.003) settles around the average of (0.986) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (9.416) is also within normal values, averaging (71.888).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 87 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL), Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG), Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META), Spotify Technology SA (NYSE:SPOT), Nebius Group N.V. (NASDAQ:NBIS), Baidu (NASDAQ:BIDU), Tencent Music Entertainment Group (NYSE:TME), Pinterest (NYSE:PINS), Snap (NYSE:SNAP), Zillow Group (NASDAQ:Z).

Industry description

Companies in this industry typically license software on a subscription basis and it is centrally hosted. Such products usually go by the names web-based software, on-demand software and hosted software. Cloud computing has emerged as a major force in this space, making it possible to save files to a remote database (without requiring them to be saved on local storage device); as long as a device has access to the web, it can access the data and the software programs to run it. This has in many cases facilitated cost efficiency, speed and security of data for businesses and consumers. Alphabet Inc., Facebook, Inc. and Yahoo! Inc. are some well-known names in the internet software/services industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Internet Software/Services Industry is 126.2B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 107 to 3.47T. GOOGL holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.47T. The lowest valued company is STBXF at 107.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Internet Software/Services Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was -14%. PODC experienced the highest price growth at 58%, while WSHP experienced the biggest fall at -18%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Internet Software/Services Industry was 59%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 110% and the average quarterly volume growth was 35%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 42
P/E Growth Rating: 64
Price Growth Rating: 63
SMR Rating: 76
Profit Risk Rating: 93
Seasonality Score: 3 (-100 ... +100)
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a holding company with interests in software, health care, transportation and other technologies

Industry InternetSoftwareServices

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Internet Software Or Services
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