Altria (MO, $51.4) Invests $12.8 Billion in e-cigarette firm Juul
U.S. tobacco company Altria has bought a 35% stake in e-cigarette startup Juul for $12.8 billion.
With declining trend in cigarette smoking among Americans, Altria’s investment in Juul could potentially help the former diversify into the alternative smoking market. Earlier this month, Altria entered the marijuana space by investing $1.8 billion for a 45% ownership in Canadian cannabis company Cronos Group. Juul has consumers in the U.S., Canada, Israel, Russia and the United Kingdom – thereby potentially allowing Altria to gain a broader global network. Juul, on the other hand, could leverage a big name like Altria to get top-shelf space at stores.
Interestingly, Juul promotes its products as smoke-free sources of nicotine for people wanting to quit smoking. Would that lead to a conflict in the partnership with cigarette giant Altria?
"We understand the controversy and skepticism that comes with an affiliation and partnership with the largest tobacco company in the US. We were skeptical as well," Juul CEO Kevin Burns said. "But over the course of the last several months we were convinced by actions, not words, that in fact this partnership could help accelerate our success switching adult smokers."
Altria said in a statement, "We are taking significant action to prepare for a future where adult smokers overwhelmingly choose non-combustible products over cigarettes”.
However, e-cigarette industry faces regulatory hurdles. With addiction to vaping reportedly on the rise among teenagers, federal lawmakers are trying to curb its consumption among young people. Federal law prohibits the sale of e-cigarettes to people under the age of 18. There were also reports of the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) expected to ban e-cigarettes last month, but the FDA ultimately decided to allow the selling of e-cigarettes only in parts of stores that are closed-off to teenagers.
MO sees its 50-day moving average cross bullishly above its 200-day moving average
The 50-day moving average for MO moved above the 200-day moving average on March 28, 2024. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on April 19, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MO as a result. In of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MO just turned positive on April 23, 2024. Looking at past instances where MO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
MO moved above its 50-day moving average on April 18, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MO advanced for three days, in of 346 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for MO moved out of overbought territory on March 22, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 34 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 34 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
MO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on April 23, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for MO entered a downward trend on April 23, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (3.377). P/E Ratio (9.381) is within average values for comparable stocks, (12.405). MO's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (16.179). Dividend Yield (0.090) settles around the average of (0.065) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.716) is also within normal values, averaging (27.454).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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General Information
a holding company which produces and markets tobacco products
Industry Tobacco