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Dec 20, 2018
Altria (MO, $51.4) Invests $12.8 Billion in e-cigarette firm Juul

Altria (MO, $51.4) Invests $12.8 Billion in e-cigarette firm Juul

U.S. tobacco company Altria has bought a 35% stake in e-cigarette startup Juul for $12.8 billion.

With declining trend in cigarette smoking among Americans, Altria’s investment in Juul could potentially help the former diversify into the alternative smoking market. Earlier this month, Altria entered the marijuana space by investing $1.8 billion for a 45% ownership in Canadian cannabis company Cronos Group. Juul has consumers in the U.S., Canada, Israel, Russia and the United Kingdom – thereby potentially allowing Altria to gain a broader global network. Juul, on the other hand, could leverage a big name like Altria to get top-shelf space at stores.

Interestingly, Juul promotes its products as smoke-free sources of nicotine for people wanting to quit smoking. Would that lead to a conflict in the partnership with cigarette giant Altria?

"We understand the controversy and skepticism that comes with an affiliation and partnership with the largest tobacco company in the US. We were skeptical as well," Juul CEO Kevin Burns said. "But over the course of the last several months we were convinced by actions, not words, that in fact this partnership could help accelerate our success switching adult smokers." 

Altria said in a statement, "We are taking significant action to prepare for a future where adult smokers overwhelmingly choose non-combustible products over cigarettes”.

However, e-cigarette industry faces regulatory hurdles. With addiction to vaping reportedly on the rise among teenagers, federal lawmakers are trying to curb its consumption among young people. Federal law prohibits the sale of e-cigarettes to people under the age of 18. There were also reports of  the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) expected to ban e-cigarettes last month, but the FDA ultimately decided to allow the selling of e-cigarettes only in parts of stores that are closed-off to teenagers.

 

Related Ticker: MO

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


MO sees its Stochastic Oscillator ascends from oversold territory

On October 06, 2026, the Stochastic Oscillator for MO moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 55 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In 32 of the 55 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over 58%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

MO moved above its 50-day moving average on October 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for MO crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 6 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 35%.

Following a +1.78% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MO advanced for three days, in 217 of 387 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.

MO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 116 of 283 cases where MO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 41%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 28, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MO as a result. In 34 of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 42%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MO turned negative on September 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 21 of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 47%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 36%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 8 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 8 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 71, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 22 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (25.253) is normal, around the industry mean (16.498). P/E Ratio (14.554) is within average values for comparable stocks, (19.513). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.649) is also within normal values, averaging (3.595). Dividend Yield (0.062) settles around the average of (0.037) among similar stocks. MO's P/S Ratio (5.744) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.780).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 28 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Philip Morris International (NYSE:PM), Altria Group (NYSE:MO).

Industry description

The industry is engaged in the growth, preparation for sale, advertisement, and distribution of tobacco and tobacco-related products like cigarettes. In 2017, tobacco companies spent an estimated $9.36 billion marketing cigarettes and smokeless tobacco in the U.S. – an amount that translates to more than $25 million each day (according to a CDC report). Philip Morris International Inc., Altria Group Inc., and British American Tobacco plc are some major cigar makers. In recent times, vaping or the use of e-cigarette (does not burn tobacco) is gaining momentum – several established cigarette makers are trying to expand their footprint in this new market.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Tobacco Industry is 54.32B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 99 to 302B. PM holds the highest valuation in this group at 302B. The lowest valued company is AHII at 99.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Tobacco Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -12%, and the average quarterly price growth was -21%. XXII experienced the highest price growth at 15%, while RYM experienced the biggest fall at -7%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Tobacco Industry was -12%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -12% and the average quarterly volume growth was -6%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 38
P/E Growth Rating: 52
Price Growth Rating: 69
SMR Rating: 73
Profit Risk Rating: 70
Seasonality Score: 20 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a holding company which produces and markets tobacco products

Industry Tobacco

Industry
Tobacco
Address
6601 West Broad Street
Phone
+1 804 274-2200
Employees
5900
Web
https://www.altria.com
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